Analyst Says All Conditions Are In Place For XRP, Here’s What It Means

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-01-28Last updated on 2026-01-28

Abstract

XRP's price has been consolidating near $1.90 after a period of subdued trading. Analysts, including CW and ChartNerd, suggest that the altcoin is primed for a potential trend reversal. A significant liquidation phase cleared excess leverage, allowing spot demand to drive momentum. XRP recently bounced from a descending channel's lower boundary around $1.80 and is now retesting the upper trendline near $1.90. A decisive breakout above this level could invalidate the current downtrend and initiate a new upward move. From a broader perspective, XRP has already completed a major structural shift by breaking a long-term resistance line in late 2024, leading to a peak of $3.65 in 2025. The token has since been in an accumulation phase, with analysts estimating it is 90% through the prerequisites for a rally continuation. The key remaining condition is a sustained breakout confirmed by multiple daily closes above $1.90.

XRP’s price action has been quiet in the past few days, with the majority of recent trading sessions spent trading just below and above $1.9.

Interestingly, one analyst noted that the altcoin’s price action has already done most of the heavy lifting needed for a trend reversal after weeks of controlled downside and repeated reactions around descending resistance. The remaining question, according to the analysis, is whether price confirms what the structure is already suggesting.

Reset By Liquidations And Whale Activity

Technical view of XRP’s price action shared by a crypto analyst known as CW on the social media platform X begins with a reset in market positioning. Most of the long positions that were accumulated during its earlier rally to $2.40 in the first week of January have been cleared, and this has removed excess leverage.

Interestingly, that liquidation phase has coincided with the XRP price tagging the lower boundary of a descending channel structure on the 4-hour candlestick timeframe chart. Over the past 24 hours, the token’s price bounced from the lower trendline in the mid-$1.80 region and has since rotated higher to now retesting the upper boundary of the converging structure, which is around $1.90.

Source: Chart from CW on X

This move was accompanied by an increase in net buying, and according to the analyst, all that remains is a breakout of the upper line. From a structural standpoint, this outlook is important, as it reduces forced selling and allows spot demand to play a larger role in determining direction.

A decisive break above the upper trendline would invalidate the current downtrend and begin an uptrend. In practical terms, this scenario will only come to pass if the altcoin is able to confirm that buyers have regained control by securing multiple candlestick closes above $1.90.

Breakout, Retest, And The Case For Continuation

A separate technical perspective, illustrated in the chart below, frames XRP’s current structure within a much longer price history stretching back to 2024. This analysis also shows how XRP is well advanced in a broader bullish setup and has already completed the majority of the conditions needed for an upward rally continuation.

XRP first achieved a major structural shift when it broke above the long-term resistance line drawn from its late 2024 peak, a move that ultimately carried the price to a new peak of $3.65 in 2025. Following that breakout, XRP transitioned into an extended accumulation phase that has now lasted for more than a year. The only thing missing now is the upside continuation.

According to crypto analyst ChartNerd, the only missing element is a sustained upside follow-through. Based on that structure, XRP is estimated to be about 90% of the way through the work needed for a rally continuation.

XRP trading at $1.89 on the 1D chart | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com

Related Questions

QWhat is the current price range of XRP as mentioned in the article?

AXRP has been trading just below and above $1.9 in recent sessions.

QAccording to analyst CW, what has been met for a potential reversal in XRP's trend?

AMost of the long positions from the earlier rally have been cleared, removing excess leverage, and the price has bounced from the lower trendline of the descending channel.

QWhat key price level does XRP need to break and hold above to invalidate the current downtrend?

AXRP needs to secure multiple candlestick closes above $1.90 to confirm a breakout and invalidate the downtrend.

QWhat major structural shift did XRP achieve in late 2024 according to the analysis?

AXRP broke above the long-term resistance line from its late 2024 peak, which led to a new peak of $3.65 in 2025.

QWhat is the estimated completion percentage of the conditions needed for an XRP rally continuation, as per analyst ChartNerd?

AXRP is estimated to be about 90% of the way through the work needed for a rally continuation.

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941 Total ViewsPublished 2024.04.01Updated 2024.12.03

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