Dogecoin – Analyzing the effect of profit-taking on DOGE’s latest rally attempts

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-04-10Last updated on 2026-04-10

Abstract

Dogecoin (DOGE) has struggled to sustain its mid-March rally, remaining range-bound since late February. This consolidation phase follows a downtrend from October, with further lows possible depending on Bitcoin and market conditions. On-chain data shows a decline in new address growth, similar to the 2024 downtrend, indicating potential for new price lows. Active addresses and transaction volumes spiked in mid-March as DOGE approached $0.104, reflecting profit-taking behavior. The 3-month mean coin age has been falling, indicating selling by short-term holders, while the 1-year mean coin age is rising, suggesting accumulation by long-term holders. However, this accumulation may not be sufficient for a significant rally beyond $0.104, as short-term holders are likely to sell into any price bounce.

The altcoin market sentiment has been fragile lately. The rally in mid-March brought some coins to new local highs, but they were unable to sustain the move. Dogecoin [DOGE] is one of the many altcoins unable to make new highs. It has been trading within a range since late February.

After the strong downtrend from October, this sideways price trend over the past two months seemed to represent a consolidation phase. That is not to say there won’t be new price lows, however, as this would depend on Bitcoin [BTC] and market conditions.

Source: Glassnode

The new address growth metric uses the growth and contraction in the number of non-zero DOGE wallets to map on-chain growth. A drop in non-zero Dogecoin-holding wallets hinted at a purge of wallets.

The growth tends to increase when Dogecoin goes on a strong rally. In the last eight months, the network growth has progressively slowed down.

The ongoing phase may be reminiscent of the 2024 consolidation in terms of address growth. On the price front though, there were differences, with the primary one being the two-month consolidation above the $0.088 support.

High activity warns of DOGE profit-taking

Source: Santiment

Since the February crash, active addresses and transaction volumes have seen a hike in activity from 10-19 March. During this time, Bitcoin was moving towards the $76k local high and spurred altcoins higher too.

The surge in activity when DOGE prices approached the $0.104 local highs reflected a tendency to take profits and exit the market. The limited upside and the repeated tests of the $0.09 local support zone were a worry for the bulls.

Source: Santiment

Finally, the 3-month mean coin age has been falling since January. This showed that short-term holders were selling the memecoin. Additionally, the 3-month MVRV was near the 8% drawdown mark that has sparked sell-offs in recent months.

On the other hand, the 1-year mean coin age has been rising since February. This alluded to accumulation from long-term holders after the selling from October to February.

It remains to be seen if this accumulation is enough for a rally beyond the $0.104 local highs. Short-term holders will likely sell aggressively into any such bounce and holders need to be cautious of expecting too much from any potential relief rally.


Final Summary

  • New address growth was low and similar in profile to the 2024 downtrend, suggesting that DOGE might make new lows once more.
  • Long-term holders have been accumulating the memecoin since February, but this might not result in a sizeable rally soon.

Related Questions

QWhat does the decline in non-zero Dogecoin wallets indicate according to the article?

AA drop in non-zero Dogecoin-holding wallets hints at a purge of wallets, indicating a contraction in on-chain network growth.

QWhat was the observed behavior of short-term DOGE holders based on the 3-month mean coin age metric?

AThe 3-month mean coin age has been falling since January, showing that short-term holders were selling the memecoin.

QWhat price level did the article identify as a key local support zone for DOGE?

AThe article identified the $0.09 level as a key local support zone that was repeatedly tested.

QWhat does the rising 1-year mean coin age metric suggest about long-term holders?

AThe rising 1-year mean coin age suggests accumulation from long-term holders after the selling period from October to February.

QWhat was the primary concern for bulls regarding DOGE's price action mentioned in the article?

AThe primary concern for bulls was the limited upside and the repeated tests of the $0.09 local support zone, indicating weakness.

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Doge Matrix ($doge m): The New Breed of Community-Driven Cryptocurrency Introduction In the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency, new projects constantly emerge, each aiming to capture the interest of investors and enthusiasts alike. One of the latest entrants to this domain is Doge Matrix, represented by the ticker symbol $doge m. This project has attracted attention thanks to its roots in the popular meme culture surrounding Dogecoin, establishing its place within the web3 space. This article aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of Doge Matrix, covering its overview, creator, investors, functionality, timeline, and notable aspects. What is Doge Matrix ($doge m)? Doge Matrix is a community-driven cryptocurrency project that seemingly builds upon the widespread appeal of Dogecoin, a digital currency known for its Shiba Inu mascot and its meme origins. While the overarching objectives of Doge Matrix are not extensively defined, it is characterized by a commitment to harnessing community involvement and support. Unlike traditional cryptocurrencies that often emphasize utility or intrinsic value through underlying technologies, Doge Matrix positions itself within a space that embraces the cultural phenomenon of cryptocurrencies, particularly appealing to those who resonate with the ethos of meme-based assets. Drawing on the strengths of the Dogecoin community, Doge Matrix operates as part of a broader ecosystem, inviting participation and engagement from users who share an interest in cryptocurrency and the digital landscape. Who is the Creator of Doge Matrix ($doge m)? The identity of the creator of Doge Matrix remains unknown. This lack of transparency is not an uncommon occurrence in the cryptocurrency space, where some projects are launched without revealing the identities of their founders. The absence of information regarding the founding team can raise questions among potential investors about the project’s accountability and direction. Who are the Investors of Doge Matrix ($doge m)? As it stands, there is no publicly available information detailing the investors or investment foundations that back Doge Matrix. The project appears to rely primarily on community support rather than institutional investment. This model aligns with the community-driven nature of the initiative, fostering an environment where the direction of the project is shaped by its participants rather than being dictated by a select few financial backers. How Does Doge Matrix ($doge m) Work? The specifics regarding the operational mechanisms of Doge Matrix are somewhat vague, reflecting a broader trend of projects in the meme coin space where innovative functionalities are not always clearly articulated. Nonetheless, Doge Matrix seems designed to tap into the existing cryptocurrency ecosystem by encouraging user participation while tapping into the familiar cultural references associated with Dogecoin. Its potentially unique characteristics derive from community interactions rather than technological advancements, emphasizing shared experiences and collaboration among token holders. While the exact innovations have not been explicitly outlined, the project appears to create a space where community members can engage, share ideas, and propel the project's potential forward. Timeline of Doge Matrix ($doge m) Reflecting on the project’s timeline reveals notable events that have defined its journey thus far: November 25, 2024: Doge Matrix reached its all-time high value, marking a significant milestone in its early history. January 1, 2025: Conversely, Doge Matrix hit its all-time low value, illustrating the volatility often associated with cryptocurrencies, especially in the early stages of a project's lifecycle. Ongoing: The project continues to be actively traded and supported by its community, although specific future milestones or objectives have yet to be disclosed. Key Points About Doge Matrix ($doge m) Community Focus At the heart of Doge Matrix is a commitment to community engagement. The project thrives on the premise of collaboration and shared objectives among its members, emphasizing the importance of collective effort. Unlike centralized projects that often have a defined leadership structure, Doge Matrix at present showcases a more fluid approach to governance, where every community member's voice matters. Volatility The cryptocurrency market is notorious for its volatility, and Doge Matrix is no exception. Its price history reflects significant fluctuations between high and low values, which is typical of many new cryptocurrencies but underscores the risks associated with investment in emerging tokens. Lack of Detailed Information One of the most striking features about Doge Matrix is the scarcity of detailed information regarding its technological underpinnings and operational mechanisms. This ambiguity necessitates that potential investors conduct thorough due diligence before engaging with the project. Conclusion In summary, Doge Matrix ($doge m) illustrates a new wave of cryptocurrency projects that lean heavily on community engagement and cultural relevance. While lacking in certain specifics—such as clear leadership, defined objectives, and detailed functionality—the project has managed to generate interest within the crypto community, leveraging the established appeal of meme culture. 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3.8k Total ViewsPublished 2025.02.03Updated 2025.02.03

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