On-Chain Indicator at 10-Year Lows Could Trigger Bitcoin (BTC) Reversal: InvestAnswers

dailyhodlPublished on 2022-07-01Last updated on 2022-07-01

Abstract

A popular crypto analyst is highlighting a key metric while assessing the future for Bitcoin...

A popular crypto analyst is highlighting a key metric while assessing the future for Bitcoin (BTC) amid faltering markets.
The anonymous host of InvestAnswers tells his 442,000 YouTube subscribers about the significance of Bitcoin’s dormancy flow, which measures the average number of days that coins have remained untouched.
“This dormancy flow is kind of interesting for a few reasons. First of all, the asset Bitcoin is obviously trading below its fair value as HODLers, including long-term ones, are kind of liquidating.
This is generally the case when the oldest coins are being spent. It’s like the whole dormancy thing, it’s when the HODLers stop spending and reverse buying behavior, that is the key reversal to watch for.”

Source: InvestAnswers/YouTube The analyst next points out how Bitcoin dormancy has fallen to a 10-year low, adding that historical data suggests that such lows precede price moves to the upside.
“If you look at this chart, I added a little gray thing saying a ‘decade low.’ It actually technically is an all-time low because the data from pre-2010 was kind of not really analyzable enough because there wasn’t enough of it.
But this decade-low dormancy flow is interesting. We have to wait and watch for that to peak up. Every time in history it spikes down, it tends to reverse course very quickly.
We’re going to keep an eagle eye on this little orange wick down and when that turns, that means we could be done selling so and pivot back up.”
At time of writing, Bitcoin is down less than a percent over the last 24 hours, priced at $20,321. I

Related Reads

How Will the Price Move Before SpaceX's Next Share Unlock?

TL;DR Investors buying SPCX after SpaceX's IPO are not simply investing in a typical tech stock. It’s a high-valuation asset driven by Musk's narrative, Starlink, and space transport potential, but with a key twist: a very small initial float of ~4% has led to significant post-listing price appreciation. The current price action reflects a timing gap. Before the first lock-up expiration (estimated around August, subject to official confirmation), scarcity and high demand could continue to push prices up. Short-term bulls focus on low float, FOMO, and potential index inclusion. However, bears point to the supply dynamics that will change post-lockup. Existing shareholders still hold over 95% of shares, which will be released in stages starting from the first unlock window. This introduces future selling pressure from low-cost holders. The upcoming Q2 earnings report is a critical catalyst before the unlock. It will test whether the company's fundamentals can justify the current ~$2.1T valuation. Strong results could support the pre-unlock momentum, while weak figures could amplify concerns about future supply. The trading thesis is shifting from immediate scarcity ("can't buy enough") to evaluating future absorption capacity ("who will buy when more supply hits"). The path ahead hinges on the specifics of the unlock schedule, Q2 earnings performance, and whether anticipated passive index buying materializes.

marsbit19m ago

How Will the Price Move Before SpaceX's Next Share Unlock?

marsbit19m ago

Bitcoin Short-Term Bullish Structure Validated, HYPE Low-Entry Window Opens | Guest Analysis

**Market Analysis Summary (Week of June 2026)** **Overall Market Context:** The market environment is exceptionally complex, with the unexpected US-Iran agreement and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz triggering a global asset repricing and significant volatility. This heightened noise underscores the importance of a structured analytical framework. **Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis & Strategy:** * **Current Status:** The price has climbed above $65,000, currently in a rebound phase (segment 38-39) following a complex 12-segment correction from the May high of $82,850. * **Key Levels:** * **Primary Resistance:** $69,500–$70,500. A successful breakout above $65,000 targets this zone. * **Primary Support:** $65,000 (immediate), followed by $59,000–$60,000 and $55,000. * **Weekly Outlook & Strategy:** The focus is on the confirmation of the $65,000 level. * **Bullish Scenario (Hold $65K):** A move toward the $69.5K–$70.5K resistance zone is anticipated, which is a potential area for initiating medium-term short positions. * **Bearish Scenario (Break below $65K):** A retest of the $60,000–$62,000 support range is likely. * **Medium-Term Strategy:** Currently neutral. Plan to establish short positions (up to 60% allocation) either in the $69.5K–$70.5K resistance zone upon signs of rejection, or on a confirmed breakdown below $65,000 and further below $59K–$60K. * **Short-Term Strategy:** Utilize 30% capital for scalping opportunities based on support/resistance levels, using 30/60-minute charts. **HYPE Analysis & Strategy:** * **Current Status:** The price has stabilized around $52 after a four-segment decline from the June high of $75.87 and is now in a rebound (segment 50-51). * **Key Levels:** * **Primary Resistance:** $62.50–$64.57. Watch for potential rejection here to form a lower high. * **Primary Support:** $52–$55.50, followed by $47–$49. * **Weekly Outlook & Strategy:** Adopt a "buy on dips, avoid chasing rallies" approach. * **Core View:** Monitor the price action and potential formation of a lower high ("endpoint 51") in the $62.50–$64.57 resistance zone. * **Short-Term Strategy:** Consider light long positions (max 30% allocation) if the price finds support and shows reversal signals in the $52–$54.50 or deeper $47–$49 support zones, confirmed by proprietary quantitative bottom signals. **Trade Review:** Last week's HYPE short-term long trade, executed based on proprietary "Price Difference" and "Momentum" model signals, yielded a profit of approximately 11.88%. The entry was near $54.39 and exit near $60.85. **Risk Management Reminder:** Always set an initial stop-loss upon entry. Move stop-loss to breakeven at +1% profit, then trail it upwards to lock in gains as the trade progresses. *Disclaimer: All analysis, models, and strategies are based on personal technical analysis for educational purposes only, not investment advice. The market carries inherent risk.*

Odaily星球日报23m ago

Bitcoin Short-Term Bullish Structure Validated, HYPE Low-Entry Window Opens | Guest Analysis

Odaily星球日报23m ago

Bitcoin Short-Term Bullish Structure Validated, HYPE Accumulation Window Opens | Guest Analysis

**Bitcoin and HYPE Market Analysis: Short-Term Outlook and Trading Strategies** This market analysis examines Bitcoin (BTC) and HYPE amid volatile conditions, providing short-term outlooks and specific trading strategies. **Key Outlooks:** * **Bitcoin (BTC):** Focus is on whether BTC's recent move above $65,000 holds. A successful breakout could lead to a test of the $69,500-$70,500 resistance zone, where medium-term short positions are considered. A failure, breaking below $65,000, may trigger a decline towards the $59,000-$60,000 support area. * **HYPE:** The token completed a four-wave correction and is now rebounding. The key resistance zone is $62.5-$64.57. The trading strategy is "buy on dips," looking for entry opportunities near the $52-$54.5 or deeper $47-$49 support zones, pending confirmation from proprietary models. **BTC Trading Strategy:** * **Medium-term:** Primarily looking to establish short positions (up to 60% allocated capital) if price rallies to the $69,500-$70,500 resistance area and shows signs of reversal. Alternative plans involve initiating shorts on a breakdown below $65,000. * **Short-term:** Allocate up to 30% capital for intraday "spread" trades based on support/resistance levels on 30/60-minute charts. **HYPE Trading Strategy:** * **Short-term:** Adopt a dip-buying approach. Consider light long positions (under 30% capital) when price tests key support levels ($52-$54.5 or $47-$49) and shows stabilization, confirmed by proprietary "Price Spread" and "Momentum Quant" models. **Trade Recap:** The analysis reviews a successful HYPE long trade from the previous week, executed at ~$54.39 and closed at ~$60.85 for an ~11.88% gain, based on signals from the aforementioned models. **Risk Management Emphasis:** The article stresses strict capital allocation (under 30-60%), immediate initial stop-loss placement, and a trailing stop-loss protocol to lock in profits as trades move favorably. ***Disclaimer:** All analysis, models, and strategies are for educational purposes based on technical analysis, not investment advice. Markets are volatile; trade with caution.*

marsbit26m ago

Bitcoin Short-Term Bullish Structure Validated, HYPE Accumulation Window Opens | Guest Analysis

marsbit26m ago

Trust Wallet Introduces Tokenized U.S. Stocks With bStocks Integration

Trust Wallet, a leading self-custody crypto wallet, now offers bStocks, providing users direct access to tokenized U.S. stocks on BNB Chain without needing a traditional brokerage. Initially launching with five securities—including tokenized versions of Tesla, NVIDIA, and Micron Technology—the service allows eligible users 24/7 trading and conversion via USDT. These bStocks represent economic exposure to underlying shares, automatically processing price changes and dividends. Furthermore, users can utilize these tokenized assets across BNB Chain's DeFi ecosystem for lending and trading while still earning dividends. The integration marks a significant step in making traditional financial assets more accessible via self-custody wallets and on-chain ecosystems. Important legal disclaimers apply regarding the product's availability and regulatory status in various jurisdictions.

TheNewsCrypto26m ago

Trust Wallet Introduces Tokenized U.S. Stocks With bStocks Integration

TheNewsCrypto26m ago

Insurance Veteran Re-Entrepreneurship, Re Opens the Door to Reinsurance with On-Chain Protocols

Insurance veteran Karn Saroya leads Re, a protocol aiming to digitize the global reinsurance market by bridging it on-chain. It tackles high regulatory barriers by using a licensed reinsurer, Cover Re SPC, to handle compliant contracts, separating legal risk from the protocol layer. Users can deposit stablecoins into two tokenized tranches: reUSD (senior, principal-protected with fixed yield) and reUSDe (junior, higher-yield, first-loss). The protocol has secured $409 million in underlying premiums across low-volatility commercial lines like auto and workers' compensation. Re has raised $21 million from investors including Tribe Capital and Electric Capital. Its fixed-supply 1 billion RE governance token, part of an ongoing points program, is planned for a Coinbase listing. Re differentiates itself by offering non-correlated real-world asset yields, a compliant structure, and substantial scaled capital compared to peers like Nexus Mutual or Ensuro.

Foresight News33m ago

Insurance Veteran Re-Entrepreneurship, Re Opens the Door to Reinsurance with On-Chain Protocols

Foresight News33m ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片

Top Questions