Bitcoin LTH Show No Signs Of Extreme Greed – NUPL Signals Bullish Continuation

bitcoinistPublished on 2024-11-13Last updated on 2024-11-13

Abstract

Bitcoin reached a new all-time high yesterday at $90,243, fueled by a week of intense buying pressure. This latest surge...

Bitcoin reached a new all-time high yesterday at $90,243, fueled by a week of intense buying pressure. This latest surge has sparked excitement across the crypto market, with many speculating that the next target could be even higher. 

However, as BTC approaches this milestone, we may see a brief consolidation phase before the next upward push. Key data from Glassnode reveals a surprising insight: long-term holders show no signs of extreme greed or aggressive profit-taking despite the rapid price appreciation.

This cautious optimism among long-term holders suggests that they see this rally as the start, not the peak, of a larger bullish phase. Unlike previous euphoric highs, where investors raced to lock in profits, the current sentiment reflects measured confidence in Bitcoin’s potential for sustained growth. 

Analysts are watching closely to see if BTC can establish new support around $90,000, setting the stage for further gains. As BTC consolidates near this level, market sentiment indicates that the rally could have significant room to grow, especially if long-term holders remain steady.

Bitcoin Rally Starting

Bitcoin has officially entered its expected bullish phase after a prolonged 8-month period of sideways consolidation and selling pressure.

The price has surged by 20% above its previous all-time high set in March and is now testing uncharted territory. This breakout has sparked optimism in the market, with many anticipating that Bitcoin’s price could continue to rise as it moves further into price discovery.

Key data shared by Glassnode and crypto analyst Ali Martinez on X reveals some crucial insights into the current market sentiment. Despite BTC’s impressive price movement, long-term holders are not yet showing signs of extreme greed, suggesting that the market is still in the early stages of this bullish phase. 

Bitcoin Long Term Holder NUPL
Bitcoin Long Term Holder NUPL | Source: Ali Martinez on X

The long-term holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric, which tracks the profitability of coins held by long-term investors, is currently in the “greed” zone but has not yet reached the “extreme greed” levels seen in previous cycles. This indicates that while investors are confident and holding their positions, they are not yet fully consumed by the euphoria that typically signals a market top.

This data suggests that big players, including institutional investors and long-term holders, remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s prospects in the coming weeks.

The absence of extreme greed implies that there’s still room for further growth, as the market has yet to reach the same levels of vitality that often precede significant corrections. As BTC continues to push into new highs, this measured confidence could support a sustained upward trend.

BTC Consolidates Below $90,000

Bitcoin is trading at $87,600 after reaching a new all-time high of $90,243. After a week of aggressive buying pressure, the price seems to have found a local top for now, and it looks poised to enter a consolidation phase below the $90,000 mark. Market participants will likely monitor key levels during this phase to assess whether the uptrend can continue.

BTC Consolidates below $90,000
BTC Consolidates below $90,000 | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

If BTC manages to stay above the $85,000 mark, a retest of this level would be expected, with a potential continuation to higher levels if support holds. This would signal that the bullish momentum is still intact and that Bitcoin is gearing up for its next leg up.

However, if the price fails to hold the $85,000 level, BTC could face a retrace to lower demand levels, potentially around the $82,000 mark. A drop below this threshold could indicate a deeper correction, with further downside testing support levels before buyers re-enter the market.

In the coming days, price action around these critical levels will help determine whether BTC will break higher or take a breather before the next rally. Investors will need to stay alert to the evolving price dynamics.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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