Notcoin вернулся в многомесячный нисходящий тренд. Снова

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2021-04-27Last updated on 2024-08-27

В последние дни Notcoin (NOT), как и другие Телеграм-токены, реагирует на новости об аресте Павла Дурова

Скандальный арест основателя «Телеграма» Павла Дурова спровоцировал падение стоимости Notcoin (NOT), популярного токена экосистемы «Телеграм».

Notcoin оказался под давлением

Notcoin — игровой Web3-проект на базе сети TON, появившийся в январе этого года в виде мини-приложения в «Телеграме». С мая NOT стал доступен на многих крупных биржах. В последние дни новости об аресте основателя «Телеграма» Павла Дурова значительно повлияли на цену NOT. Это событие встревожило рынок и ослабило бычий импульс монеты.

Индекс относительной силы RSI, который был близок к пересечению нейтральной линии, теперь почти упал до порога перепроданности. Это говорит о внезапном и резком снижении давления на покупку.

RSI. Источник: TradingView

В результате темпы массового принятия Notcoin упали, достигнув почти двухмесячного минимума. Этот показатель измеряет общий вклад новых адресов в активные адреса сети. Сейчас он составляет 15,31% — это самое низкое значение с начала июля. Оно отражает рост неопределенности среди инвесторов, особенно новых, которых испугали последние события.

Темпы принятия Notcoin. Источник: IntoTheBlock

Прогноз NOT: возврат к нисходящему тренду

Цена Notcoin четырежды не смогла прорвать почти трехмесячный нисходящий тренд. По итогам двух из этих попыток NOT даже закрылся выше линии тренда, но все равно не смог закрепить рост.

На момент написания альткоин утратил поддержку $0,0094 и приближается к $0,0076 после падения более чем на 27% за последние три дня. Есть шанс, что цена может отскочить отсюда и вновь превратить в поддержку уровень $0,0094. Это возможно, поскольку, несмотря на медвежьи сигналы, NOT все же может привлечь спрос со стороны тех, кто хочет закупиться активом по низким ценам.

Анализ цены NOT. Источник: TradingView

Однако если общее падение будет доминировать, Notcoin может упасть ниже $0,0076. Это приблизит монету к историческому минимуму $0,0045, а его тестирование опровергнет бычий сценарий.

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