加密市场现状随想:投资上个周期代币是一种浪费,寻找例外情况来超越市场

比推Published on 2024-08-06Last updated on 2024-08-06

我们的任务是首先找到新的代币发行模型,以赚取最多的现金。

撰文:Ignas | DeFi

编译:深潮 TechFlow

投资大多数上一轮周期的代币是浪费,要么它们很无聊,要么这些团队已经「成功」,只是在假装关心他们的项目。寻找例外以超越市场表现。

Solana 适合交易,但长期持有更适合存放在以太坊上。L2s 在这两方面目前都表现不佳。

  • $SOL 的短期成功依赖于投机者对 meme 代币的热情,因为它仍然被视为 meme 代币的中心。

  • 从中期来看,Solana 拥有多样化的领域来吸引社区。当 meme 代币狂热消退时,它们将蓬勃发展。

L2 的未来取决于吸引独特的非分叉去中心化应用(想想 zkSync 为吸引 Lens 支付的 2000 万美元)。然而,由于它们的代币经济学糟糕,它们的代币可能在这一周期落后。

  • Polymarket 颇具前景,但用户体验仍然不佳:桥接到 Polygon、多个审批流程,以及移动端体验差。

  • Polymarket 如果在 Solana 上运行或与账户抽象集成(如 Avocado 智能钱包)将会蓬勃发展。

Polygon 应该不遗余力地留住 Polymarket。相反,每条链都应该争取吸引 Polymarket。

Crypto Twitter 的主要账户无法解释市场发生了什么:

加密货币的复杂性随着传统金融的进入而增加,加密类别数量激增,而他们并不在乎,因为他们只需要 3 倍到 5 倍的收益来实现目标,包括我在内。

以积分换空投的模式已经过时,但项目团队由于 TGE 的风险而避免大胆创新。

革新空投到积分的策略并发明新的吸引人的代币发行模型的创新者将表现最佳。我们的任务是首先找到这些新的代币发行模型,以赚取最多的现金。

代币经济学设计的创新停滞不前;团队专注于筹款,风险投资者偏爱旧有的成熟模型,而投资者对复杂的方案感到厌倦。

DAO 面临投票冷漠,因为它们的协议变得过于复杂,导致持有者缺乏参与的动力。

DeFi OG 代币可能表现良好,原因在于其高流通代币供应和商业模型:潜在催化剂可能是对 meme 代币的厌倦和对收益分享的监管明确。

Cosmos 生态系统面临挑战,但其社区仍然强大且忠诚。如果社区继续奋斗并摆脱当前的困境,Cosmos 可能会成功崛起,就像 Solana 一样。

免责声明:这些只是我目前的想法,我可能完全错误。可以查看我关于市场状况的第一次吐槽

说明: 比推所有文章只代表作者观点,不构成投资建议

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