asiftahsin
06/23 23:34
Technical Outlook: BTC Faces Strong Resistance While Bears Maintain Overall Control
Bitcoin remains under bearish pressure after losing key support levels and continues trading below the major EMA cluster. Although price is attempting to stabilize above the $60K region, the overall market structure still favors sellers until BTC reclaims higher resistance.
📈 EMA Structure (Bearish)
20 EMA: $65,028
50 EMA: $68,780
100 EMA: $71,887
200 EMA: $77,537
Price remains below all major EMAs.
The 20 EMA is acting as immediate dynamic resistance.
The 50 & 100 EMA continue to cap recovery attempts.
The 200 EMA remains the key macro trend barrier.
👉 BTC must reclaim the EMA cluster to signal a meaningful trend reversal.
📐 Fibonacci & Market Structure
BTC continues trading below the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $75,613.
The previous ascending structure has broken down, confirming a bearish market shift.
Price is consolidating above the $61,500–$62,800 demand zone after a sharp decline.
A relief rally could target:
$62,800
$64,150
$65,000 (20 EMA)
$68,780 (50 EMA)
$75,613 (0.236 Fibonacci)
Failure to hold the current support zone could expose:
$61,575 (major support)
Psychological $60,000 level
Lower liquidity zones beneath if selling pressure intensifies.
🧠 ICT / Smart Money View
Previous downside move swept significant sell-side liquidity.
Multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) remain overhead and may act as magnets during any recovery.
Market Structure Shift (MSS) remains bearish.
Current consolidation appears corrective rather than impulsive.
👉 Until BTC reclaims $65K–$69K, smart money structure continues to favor sellers.
📉 RSI Momentum
RSI (14): 36.9
RSI has recovered slightly from oversold territory.
Momentum is improving but remains below the neutral 50 level.
This suggests weakening bearish momentum but not yet a confirmed bullish reversal.
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