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06/23 06:31看涨

Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom 2026: Is $60,000 the

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Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom 2026: Is $60,000 the Floor or Is October the Real Low Three things just happened simultaneously to Bitcoin that have only occurred together at the exact bottom of every bear market in this asset’s history. In 2015, 2019, 2022 and now, in the summer of 2026. The monthly RSI just hit its second lowest level in 17 years. Bitcoin miners have capitulated, a signal that has marked the floor of every cycle without exception. And for the first time this cycle, more than half of all Bitcoin in existence is underwater. Three signals, one alignment. The last time they lined up like this, the price that followed changed the financial lives of everyone who was paying attention. The confusion most investors feel right now is understandable. The stock market has been printing record highs while Bitcoin bled 52% from its peak over eight months. If they are both risk assets, how are they moving in opposite directions? The answer is that Bitcoin does not always follow stocks. It moves on its own four-year rhythm, a cycle that has repeated since the asset was created. Right now, stocks are in the late innings of a bull market while Bitcoin is in the final stage of a bear. Both things are true at once. The selloff has two engines. The first is the mechanical cycle, where late leverage positions get flushed and sentiment collapses and everyone declares Bitcoin dead. It happens every time. The second engine is what made this particular drawdown deeper than prior cycles: artificial intelligence. Since April, memory chip ETFs pulled in $12.7 billion while Bitcoin ETFs bled over $2 billion. That is the rotation in black and white. People sold Bitcoin to buy AI stocks. Capital that rotates out eventually rotates back in.

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