Bitcoin News Today: 1,256 Days Without a Capitulat
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Bitcoin News Today: 1,256 Days Without a Capitulation Signal — Bitcoin Looks Like a Bottom on the Supply Side, But the Final Stress Is Absent, According to CryptoQuant's Analyst
Bitcoin is consolidating around $64,000 after pulling back from its October 2025 all-time high near $126,000, and two on-chain indicators are giving conflicting answers to the market's most important question: is a bottom forming? Long-term holder realized supply is maturing in the right direction — moving toward levels historically associated with cycle bottoms. But the sales pressure indicator, which captures the final capitulation event that confirmed every prior bottom, has not produced a single signal in 1,256 days. That silence is the longest in Bitcoin's entire history.
Bitcoin's LTH Realized Supply — the total realized supply of coins that have matured into the long-term holder cohort — currently sits at 12.17 million BTC. The metric reached a local cycle high of 12.42 million in early June before a slight pullback, but remains in a zone of strong year-over-year growth. Over the past year, LTH Realized Supply has more than doubled — a rate of growth that reflects active supply maturation and a significant transition of coins from short-term traders into a more resilient, conviction-driven holder base.
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