ZCash traders, patience may pay off – But only after THIS move

ambcryptoОпубліковано о 2025-12-16Востаннє оновлено о 2025-12-16

Анотація

ZCash (ZEC) declined 3.82% in 24 hours, underperforming Bitcoin. Despite a bullish structure shift earlier in December, momentum has slowed. ZEC is defending the $400 support level, but repeated tests may weaken it. A breakdown is possible due to ongoing selling pressure. Traders should wait for a move above $425 and a successful retest before considering long positions. Market-wide sentiment and Bitcoin's performance remain key factors. The privacy sector, including Monero and Dash, has also underperformed recently.

ZCash fell 3.82% over the past 24 hours, following Bitcoin’s slide to the $87.5k low.

While Bitcoin [BTC] managed to bounce higher, ZCash [ZEC] was not able to undo the recent losses.

In a recent report, AMBCrypto noted that a rally to $605 was on the cards after a breakout from a descending channel. Another report observed that, so long as the $382-$395 demand zone was defended, there’s a chance of a ZEC rally.

As things stand, the bullish momentum has slowed down in recent days but has not died down.

There is still the possibility of a ZCash recovery. However, the market-wide sentiment is impacting the altcoins.

The underperformance of the privacy sector, with Monero [XMR] and Dash [DASH] down 0.89% and 14.5% within the past four days, helped explain the ZCash performance.

ZCash continues to defend the $400 support

On the daily chart, the move past the $409.3 local high on the 9th of December confirmed a bullish structure shift. Additionally, the $410 area was an imbalance on the same timeframe from the end of November.

Highlighted in white, the imbalance has served as a steady demand zone in recent days.

The OBV has begun to push higher, and the RSI signaled momentum was turning as well.

On the 1-hour chart, bearish momentum and structure were observed. The OBV also showed heightened selling pressure since Friday, the 12th of December.

Chances of a breakdown below $400?

So far, the psychological $400 support has held up well, but multiple retests of the same level weaken it.

Over the past week, this support has been tested thrice. Given the lower timeframe selling pressure, a breakdown was possible.

Traders’ call to action – wait for THIS trigger for longs

It is best to allow the lower timeframe to align with the higher timeframe trend before looking to trade in the trend’s direction. In ZEC’s case now, a move above the $425 local resistance and a retest of the same would offer a buying opportunity.

Traders can look to remain neutral until market-wide sentiment and Bitcoin capital inflows improve, as BTC faced high selling pressure recently.


Final Thoughts

  • ZCash was unable to clear the $480 resistance and has retraced back to the $400 psychological support.
  • ZEC bulls are likely to have more success in the short-term, provided the $425 supply zone is overcome.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion

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Raising Interest Rates Is Not a Tech Killer, EPS Is: A Strategy for Discarding the Weak and Retaining the Strong After the AI Theme's Sharp Decline

**Summary: Rising Interest Rates Are Not the Killer of Tech; EPS Is: The "Keep the Strong, Ditch the Weak" Strategy After the AI Theme Plunge** The author argues that the sharp sell-off in tech and AI-related stocks, triggered by a strong US jobs report that heightened Fed rate hike fears, represents a "pullback to pick up passengers" rather than a "car crash." The true end of a tech bull market is not determined by an extra 25 basis point hike, but by industry overcapacity and the disproval of earnings per share (EPS) expectations. Historical analysis shows that during past rate hike cycles, the Nasdaq-100 often outperformed, provided EPS growth remained strong. The current phase is seen as a shift from a "broad narrative-driven rally" to a "focused verification stage" for AI. The investment strategy should be to "keep the strong, ditch the weak." * **Retain exposure** to high-conviction AI infrastructure leaders with clear order visibility, stable margins, strong cash flow, and upward EPS revisions (e.g., AI servers, advanced packaging, optical modules, key cloud suppliers). * **Reduce exposure** to high-beta, narrative-driven stocks with unclear profit paths (e.g., some quantum computing, space, or speculative chip stocks), especially on rebounds. Valuation concerns should focus on whether earnings can catch up to high multiples, not on high P/E alone. Crowded positioning signals a concentration into quality assets, not necessarily a market top. The upcoming Q2 earnings season will be a key validation point. The core principle is to hold stocks with proven EPS, while using macro events (CPI data, central bank meetings) to manage timing and risk.

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Raising Interest Rates Is Not a Tech Killer, EPS Is: A Strategy for Discarding the Weak and Retaining the Strong After the AI Theme's Sharp Decline

marsbit4 год тому

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