Will TRUMP token fall further after 95% crash from ATH?

ambcryptoОпубліковано о 2026-02-10Востаннє оновлено о 2026-02-10

Анотація

The TRUMP token, a Solana-based memecoin, has experienced a severe decline, falling 95.5% from its all-time high of $73.43 in January 2025. It was trading at $3.32, following a 42.5% drop since mid-January 2026. This downturn is attributed to a broader market sell-off, with Bitcoin down 24.9%, and negative sentiment from a Congressional investigation into Trump-backed World Liberty Financial. Market indicators show a bearish structure, with strong selling volume and oversold conditions. A short-term bounce to the $4.4-$4.7 range is possible, but any rally is expected to be rejected, leading to new lows below $3.02 and a continuation of the downtrend.

Official Trump [TRUMP] made its all-time high before U.S. President Donald Trump’s inauguration on the 20th of January, 2025. Since then, the Solana [SOL] based memecoin has been making new lows, with brief periods of respite when the wider market rallies.

The latest such bounce came in the first week of 2026. Since the 14th of January, TRUMP witnessed a 42.5% drawdown and was trading at $3.32 at the time of writing. This represented an 95.5% fall from its $73.43 ATH last year.

The reasons for TRUMP’s drawdown

In three weeks, Bitcoin [BTC] has faced a 24.9% price drop. The Congressional investigation into Trump-backed World Liberty Financial [WLFI] after reports of links with foreign sovereign capital has also impacted the Official Trump market sentiment.

The market structure remained bearish on the 1-day timeframe. The OBV has made new lows after the early January bounce, highlighting strong selling volume. The daily RSI has been hovering around 20 since last Thursday, showing extreme oversold conditions.

The extent of the TRUMP bounce depends on...

The imbalance zone between $3.57 and $4.09 (white box) was the first target for a potential price bounce, and it is likely to act as a short‐term supply area. A retest of $4.40 or $4.72 could trigger the next bearish move.

On the other hand, a strong Bitcoin rally above $74k might lift the memecoin as high as $5.19. However, at the time of writing, this scenario seems less likely given the negligible buying pressure.

Should traders wait for the bounce?

Memecoins tend to exhibit amplified volatility when the market sentiment shifts in the short-term. It is possible this can take TRUMP higher than expected. Hence, traders can wait for a rejection from the local resistances outlined before looking to short the bounce.

In the coming weeks, new lows below $3.02 can be expected, prolonging its year-long downtrend.

Final Thoughts

Official Trump was negatively affected by the market-wide sell-off and the World Liberty Financial investigation and faced intense selling.
A short-term bounce toward $4.4-$4.7 is possible, followed by continued downward momentum.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

Пов'язані питання

QWhat was the all-time high price of the Official Trump (TRUMP) token and when did it occur?

AThe Official Trump (TRUMP) token reached its all-time high (ATH) of $73.43 on January 20th, 2025, coinciding with U.S. President Donald Trump's inauguration.

QWhat are the two main reasons cited for TRUMP's significant price drawdown?

AThe two main reasons are a 24.9% price decline in Bitcoin (BTC) over three weeks, which dragged down the wider market, and the negative market sentiment from a Congressional investigation into the Trump-backed World Liberty Financial (WLFI) regarding its links with foreign sovereign capital.

QAccording to the technical analysis, what does the daily RSI value around 20 indicate for the TRUMP token?

AA daily RSI value hovering around 20 indicates that the TRUMP token is in an extreme oversold condition.

QWhat is the potential price target for a TRUMP bounce if Bitcoin experiences a strong rally above $74k?

AIf Bitcoin experiences a strong rally above $74,000, it could potentially lift the TRUMP memecoin as high as $5.19.

QWhat is the overall outlook for the TRUMP token's price trend in the coming weeks according to the article?

AThe overall outlook is bearish. The article suggests that while a short-term bounce toward the $4.4-$4.7 range is possible, it is expected to be followed by continued downward momentum, with new lows below $3.02 likely in the coming weeks, prolonging its year-long downtrend.

Пов'язані матеріали

The Value Distribution of Stablecoins

**Summary: The Value Distribution of Stablecoins** The article argues that stablecoins are evolving from mere trading tools into broader channels for dollar access. It divides the stablecoin ecosystem into four layers to analyze how value is distributed: 1. **Issuance Layer:** Mints stablecoins, holds reserve assets, and captures the spread between reserve yield and user costs (e.g., Tether, Circle). This layer currently earns the largest profit margin. 2. **Infrastructure Layer:** Connects stablecoins to the traditional financial system, handling fiat on/off-ramps, banking integration, compliance (KYC/AML), and asset management (e.g., Bridge, BVNK). This is the "unglamorous" but critical work, building the essential bridges between crypto and real-world finance. 3. **Acquiring/Distribution Layer:** Integrates stablecoins into merchant systems, manages payment flows, and provides enterprise financial software (e.g., Stripe, Coinbase). They act as the access point for businesses. 4. **Application Layer:** The end-users and businesses that ultimately use stablecoins for payments, settlements, or as a store of value. They benefit from convenience but have little pricing power. The core thesis is that while the issuance layer currently dominates profits, the often-overlooked **infrastructure layer holds significant long-term potential**. The real challenge and barrier to mass adoption is not the on-chain transfer of stablecoins (which is simple), but the complex "last mile" integration into existing business workflows, banking systems, and regulatory frameworks across different countries. Companies in this layer are currently in a "land grab" phase, investing heavily to build networks, secure bank partnerships, and establish compliance pathways. While their position is currently pressured by the profitable issuers above and distribution platforms below, the article suggests that if stablecoins become a default financial rail for businesses, the infrastructure providers who have done the hard work of integration will ultimately gain strong pricing power and become entrenched, essential players.

marsbit4 год тому

The Value Distribution of Stablecoins

The Value Distribution of Stablecoins The article argues that stablecoins are evolving from a mere trading tool into a broad "dollar channel." It analyzes the industry's value chain through four layers: 1. **Issuance Layer (e.g., Tether, Circle):** The top layer that mints stablecoins, holds reserve assets, and captures the thickest interest rate spread. 2. **Infrastructure Layer (e.g., Bridge, BVNK):** Connects stablecoins to the traditional financial system, handling critical but complex "dirty work" like fiat on/off-ramps, banking integration, compliance (KYC/AML), and cross-border settlement. 3. **Acquiring/Distribution Layer (e.g., Stripe, Coinbase):** Embeds stablecoins into merchant systems, manages payment flows, and integrates with enterprise software. 4. **Application Layer:** End-users and businesses that ultimately use stablecoins for payments, settlement, or storing value. The author posits that while the issuance layer currently captures the most profit, the most overlooked and potentially critical layer is infrastructure. The core challenge for stablecoin adoption isn't the on-chain transfer (which is simple), but bridging the gap between blockchain and the real-world financial system. This involves solving practical problems for businesses: fiat conversion, reconciliation, tax handling, and user onboarding. Infrastructure companies are currently in a difficult "land-grab" phase—building networks, securing banking relationships, and achieving compliance country-by-country. They face pressure from both the profitable issuance layer above and distribution platforms below. However, the author suggests this layer is building a crucial moat. Once stablecoins become a default business rail, the infrastructure players who have done the hard work of integration may gain significant, durable value and pricing power.

链捕手4 год тому

Why Is Nvidia Borrowing $20 Billion When It's Not Short of Cash?

Nvidia's recent announcement to issue at least $20 billion in senior notes, despite holding a strong cash position with over $48.6 billion in free cash flow last quarter, is not a sign of financial need. Instead, it represents a strategic move to leverage its high credit rating (recently upgraded to AA by S&P) to secure low-cost, long-term debt. This capital will support long-term AI infrastructure investments, data centers, R&D, supply chain prepayments, and strategic investments, while allowing the company to continue aggressive shareholder returns through stock buybacks and dividends. The decision reflects a mature capital management strategy: using debt to finance long-term growth assets is more efficient and less dilutive to shareholders than equity financing. It signals that Nvidia, like other tech giants (Alphabet, Meta, Amazon), is entering a new phase of heavy AI capital expenditure, shifting from a pure growth story to a story about capital allocation, credit strength, and long-term ecosystem positioning. The key question for investors is whether Nvidia can maintain its high cash flow generation and ensure that returns from these AI investments justify the cost of capital over the long term. The bond issuance amplifies its expansion capabilities but also ties its valuation more closely to the broader AI investment cycle's sustainability and profitability.

marsbit4 год тому

Why Is Nvidia Borrowing $20 Billion When It's Not Short of Cash?

marsbit4 год тому

Liberland Fires Tech Secretary After Alleged Blockchain And Website Takeover Attempt

Liberland's congress has voted to remove Technology Secretary Dorian Stern Vukotić, following a resolution accusing him of attempting to hijack the Liberland.org domain, removing administrative multisig protections, blocking the president from voting, and launching unauthorized tokens. The incident serves as a case study in blockchain governance, highlighting risks that go beyond smart contracts to include control over domains, admin keys, and off-chain authority. For the crypto industry, it underscores the need to scrutinize decentralization claims against operational realities, where a small group can still compromise governance. The story reflects a broader market shift where infrastructure security and governance are becoming as critical as price action. Editorial framing should treat the development as a verified information signal about governance risks, avoiding overstatement of Liberland's legal status and leaving room for follow-up evidence.

bitcoinist5 год тому

Liberland Fires Tech Secretary After Alleged Blockchain And Website Takeover Attempt

bitcoinist5 год тому

How to Do Research Well: Deliberately Practice the Real Skills That Matter

No one truly teaches you how to do research. You're often given a desk, a pre-selected problem, and vague instructions to "create something new." Consequently, many people reverse-engineer the job based on visible outputs—papers, posts, announcements—learning only how to *appear* like a researcher rather than how to *become* one. True research capability is built from stacking small, trainable skills, nearly all of which can be developed through deliberate practice. **Pick Your Own Problem:** Most researchers absorb problems from advisors or trends, lacking the underlying reasoning. Choosing a problem you genuinely care about, as John Schulman advises, leads to original work. Develop "taste" like a muscle: predict experiment outcomes, guess paper results from methods, and track which findings remain important over time. **Upgrade Your Inputs:** Relying on shared reading lists (arXiv hot lists, filtered group chats) leads to unoriginal conclusions. Undervalued old literature often holds crucial insights (e.g., MoE, LSTM, backpropagation). Richard Sutton's "The Bitter Lesson" or Claude Shannon's 1952 talk on creative thinking are more predictive than lengthy modern surveys. Breadth matters as much as depth: draw from neuroscience, mechanism design, hardware knowledge, and honest statistics. Read papers directly, especially appendices and limitations sections. **Write Everything Down:** As Paul Graham noted, writing exposes flaws in seemingly mature ideas. Writing is the cheapest defense against self-deception. Following Feynman's principle, Darwin programmatically wrote down facts contradicting his theory to combat memory bias. Maintain a detailed log of hypotheses, setups, predictions, results, and updated understandings. Reviewing past logs fosters essential humility.

marsbit6 год тому

How to Do Research Well: Deliberately Practice the Real Skills That Matter

marsbit6 год тому

Торгівля

Спот

Ф'ючерси

Обговорення

Ласкаво просимо до спільноти HTX. Тут ви можете бути в курсі останніх подій розвитку платформи та отримати доступ до професійної ринкової інформації. Нижче представлені думки користувачів щодо ціни ATH (ATH).

Will TRUMP token fall further after 95% crash from ATH?

Анотація

The reasons for TRUMP’s drawdown

The extent of the TRUMP bounce depends on...

Should traders wait for the bounce?

Final Thoughts

Пов'язані питання

Пов'язані матеріали

The Value Distribution of Stablecoins

The Value Distribution of Stablecoins

Why Is Nvidia Borrowing $20 Billion When It's Not Short of Cash?

Liberland Fires Tech Secretary After Alleged Blockchain And Website Takeover Attempt

How to Do Research Well: Deliberately Practice the Real Skills That Matter

Торгівля

Популярні статті

Як купити ATH

Обговорення