Netting $2.4 Million: These 9 Insider Addresses Knew the US-Iran War Best
On May 18th, Bubblemaps investigators disclosed the discovery of nine highly correlated anonymous accounts on Polymarket that netted over $2.4 million from prediction markets tied to US military actions, with a 98% win rate. The accounts focused almost exclusively on the 2026 US-Iran conflict, placing bets with uncanny precision days before key events like the "Operation Epic Fury" strike on February 28th, which eliminated Iran's Supreme Leader.
Bubblemaps' analysis linked four core accounts—each profiting around $400k—and five others through synchronized timing, transaction patterns, and fund flows. The money moved through shared wallet networks, suggesting professional obfuscation. This case is six times larger than the earlier prosecution of US Army Sergeant Gannon Van Dyke for insider trading on Polymarket.
While platforms like Polymarket have established AI monitoring and explicit rules against trading on stolen or confidential information, the incident has spurred controversial "insider copy-trading" services that help users follow high-success accounts, raising new regulatory questions.
marsbit05/25 02:06
