# Пов'язані статті щодо BCMI

Data Suggest Bitcoin May Be Entering A New Bear Phase, Warns CryptoQuant

Bitcoin may be transitioning into a new bear market phase, according to a CryptoQuant analysis by Woominkyu. The Bitcoin Cycle Momentum Indicator (BCMI) has declined to between 0.4 and 0.5, signaling a cooling period rather than a temporary pullback. Historically, cycle bottoms occur when BCMI falls to 0.25–0.35, suggesting further downside potential. Demand has sharply declined since early October, with institutional demand contracting. US spot Bitcoin ETFs became net sellers in Q4 2025, selling approximately 24,000 BTC. Perpetual futures funding rates dropped to their lowest since December 2023, indicating reduced risk appetite. Bitcoin's price has fallen below its 365-day moving average, a key bull-bear market indicator. If a bear market is confirmed, the realized price could be around $56,000, representing a 55% drawdown from recent all-time highs. Intermediate support is seen near $70,000. Bitcoin was trading at $87,635 at the time of writing, down 10% year-to-date and 30.5% from its peak above $126,000.

bitcoinist12/25 15:57