"Stops Are Taken Out Along with the Deposit": A Selection of Hot Topics from the RBC Crypto Forum

RBK-cryptoОпубліковано о 2025-12-09Востаннє оновлено о 2025-12-09

Анотація

"Feet are taken out along with the deposit": A Summary of Hot Topics from the RBC Crypto Forum The RBC Crypto Forum community on Telegram is actively discussing a wide range of cryptocurrency topics. Key discussions include: * **Market Sentiment:** Members are sharing bullish expectations for Bitcoin's growth this week while also analyzing the reasons behind its recent price drop, including the influence of the AI sector, macroeconomics, and geopolitics. There is also discussion on where the current fall might bottom out. * **Altcoin Discussions:** Popular coins like ICP, LUNA, and SOL are being debated, alongside questions about which crypto projects members would hold long-term until 2030. * **Trading & Security:** A user shared their unfortunate trading experiences with stop-losses failing, prompting advice from the community. The potential threat of quantum computers to blockchain security was also a topic. * **Regulation & Access:** Forum participants are discussing the latest statements from Russia's Central Bank regarding banks providing access to the crypto market and exploring safe places to buy cryptocurrency as alternatives to P2P exchanges. * **News & Projects:** Other hot topics include record outflows from BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF, new NFT gifts on Telegram, the Toncoin project, a new smart ring for crypto price alerts, and updates on testnets like Gensyn, Sandchain, and Citrea. The forum also features expert threads from specialists like trader Anat...

Members of the "RBC Crypto. Forum" community on Telegram share experiences, discuss market news, and help each other, while moderators highlight interesting comments and boost the ratings of active users. We present a selection of current topics being discussed in the community.

Bitcoin Sentiment — Bullish
Forum members expect growth this week

What About Altcoins
Discussing ICP, LUNA, SOL, FART, and other coins

"What Would You Hold Long Until 2030?"
Which crypto projects interest forum members

Record Outflows: Investors Withdraw Money from BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF
Why this is happening

New NFT Gifts on Telegram and the Prospects for Cocoon
Discussing news around the Toncoin project

Why the Bitcoin Price Is Falling
Assessing the impact of the AI sector, macroeconomics, and geopolitics

"Any Blockchain Will Be Hacked Within an Hour"
Assessing the threats of quantum computers

"Stops Are Taken Out Along with the Deposit"
A forum member on his trading failures. What advice he was given

"What If They Invent a Time Machine and I'm Not Ready!"
When could you buy bitcoin "for pennies"? Stories from forum members

"Good People, Buy the Dip"
Where will bitcoin's fall stop

Will Banks in the Russian Federation Be Allowed to Provide Access to the Crypto Market
Discussing the latest statements from the Central Bank

Where to Buy Cryptocurrency Safely
Discussing alternatives to P2P exchanges

How Exchangers on BestChange Work
Insights from an exchanger owner

A Smart Ring with Cryptocurrency Price Alerts Has Appeared
Reactions and comments from forum members

Getting Another Badge in Abstract
New activity in the project

Launch of the Gensyn AI Model Market and New Quests in Sandchain and Citrea
Updates in relevant testnets

Fun and Relevant Memes from Subscribers
Send yours!

RBC Crypto Audio Sessions with Experts
List and recordings

Expert Threads on the Forum

We continue to launch personal threads on the Forum from specialists in various spheres of the crypto market and invite new participants. Why this is useful for subscribers:

Unique content on various topics, exclusively for the Forum
The opportunity to directly ask an expert a question and get a precise answer
Personal experience and non-public information from professionals
Expert participation in discussions alongside you

Currently, threads are already being run by trader Anatoly Radchenko, the head of the Expert Center for Digital Assets at the Association of Russian Banks Olga Goncharova, as well as a new participant—the founder of the legal company GMT Legal Andrey Tugarin. They are already actively answering questions, and we are negotiating with new experts.

Take the poll on the Forum: from which spheres would you like to see specialists on the Forum and what content interests you. We will tailor the Forum to your requests and always welcome feedback.

How the Forum Is Useful

The Forum was launched in the summer of 2024 with the goal of forming a unique community among readers and subscribers of "RBC-Crypto" consisting of investors, traders, analysts, miners, and users of blockchain technologies. It is presented in the form of a familiar Telegram chat, but divided into categories and topics. Their selection and content are largely shaped by subscriber demand. You can join via the link.

Over 20 thousand participants have joined the forum, sharing ideas, observations, and experiences. The forum moderators have extensive experience using cryptocurrencies and a deep understanding of the blockchain sphere.

It is the opportunity to discuss current market trends with other forum members, as well as the participation of invited experts, that makes the forum unique. Even now, the forum hosts sessions with well-known experts in various fields—representatives of exchanges, crypto projects, legal and other companies. Forum subscribers can ask them questions directly.

Illegal miners threatened with criminal punishment. What to prepare for

Why crypto projects with millions in investments earn less than $100

Arkham announced the "de-anonymization" of ZCash. Which transactions are being tracked

Трендові криптовалюти

CitreaCTR

wrapped stUSDTWSTUSDT

Пов'язані питання

QWhat is the main purpose of the 'RBC Crypto Forum' Telegram community?

AThe main purpose of the 'RBC Crypto Forum' is to form a unique community of investors, traders, analysts, miners, and blockchain technology users among RBC Crypto readers and subscribers. It serves as a platform for sharing experiences, discussing market news, helping each other, and discussing current trends with both community members and invited experts.

QWhat are some of the hot topics currently being discussed in the forum?

AHot topics include bullish market sentiments and expectations for Bitcoin's growth, discussions on altcoins like ICP, LUNA, SOL, and FART, record outflows from BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF, the impact of quantum computing threats on blockchain security, and advice for trading failures.

QWhat are the benefits for subscribers of the expert threads on the Forum?

AThe benefits include access to unique content on various topics exclusive to the Forum, the ability to ask questions directly to an expert and get precise answers, gaining personal experience and non-public information from professionals, and having experts participate in discussions alongside community members.

QAccording to the article, why is the Bitcoin price falling?

AThe forum participants are evaluating the influence of the AI sector, macroeconomics, and geopolitics on the falling price of Bitcoin.

QHow can one safely buy cryptocurrency, as discussed in the forum?

AThe forum is discussing alternatives to P2P exchanges for safely buying cryptocurrency, though the article does not specify the exact alternatives mentioned.

Пов'язані матеріали

The Biggest Political Economy Question in the AI Era: As Robots Become More Capable, How Do Humans Share the Value?

In the AI era, the most pressing political economy question is: as machines become increasingly capable, how can humanity share in the value they create? An article originally critiquing China's tech focus has sparked a deeper debate on this global challenge. Historically, industrial progress improved efficiency but still relied on human labor for wealth creation and distribution. AI is fundamentally different—it is now replacing cognitive and knowledge work. As AI and robots take over more tasks, economic growth may continue while direct human participation in value creation shrinks, creating a core tension between productivity gains and widespread income generation. The issue is not unique to China. While leading tech companies amass enormous wealth, labor's share of income is declining globally. The core problem is a broken link: technological innovation and corporate profits are not translating into sufficient consumer income and demand. Three potential paths forward are outlined: a traditional capitalist model where profits primarily go to capital owners; a state-capitalist approach with public investment in AI; and more innovative models like digital sovereign wealth funds, universal shareholding, or AI-era basic income schemes to directly distribute AI-generated value. The future competitive advantage may lie not just in technological supremacy, but in which society can build a new, inclusive distribution system for the intelligent economy. The ultimate challenge is ensuring that as AI creates value, humans have a means to obtain income and share in the resulting widespread social benefits.

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Generating Profits for Seven Consecutive Quarters, Emerging Markets Carry Trade Outperforms Everything

For the seventh consecutive quarter, dollar-funded emerging market carry trades have delivered positive returns, marking the longest winning streak since 2008. According to Bloomberg's index, this strategy has gained approximately 22% since late 2024, outperforming U.S. Treasuries, emerging market sovereign, and corporate dollar debt. The core of the trade involves borrowing low-interest currencies like the U.S. dollar, euro, or yen to invest in high-yielding emerging market assets, such as Turkish lira bonds offering over 40% returns. Returns were amplified by favorable currency moves, with the dollar weakening against most emerging market currencies and other traditional funding currencies. For instance, the trade gained 48% on the Colombian peso in the past year. A key test came in August 2024 with a historic joint U.S.-Japan currency intervention, which caused only a modest 1% dip in the carry trade risk premium as investors shifted funding from the yen to the euro and Swiss franc. Looking ahead, the primary risk is the timing of Federal Reserve policy changes. While persistent inflation allows the Fed to hold rates, a rapid rise in long-term U.S. yields could threaten the trade. Another concern is crowding, as massive inflows increase vulnerability to a sudden reversal. High interest rates in regions like Latin America and Eastern Europe, supported by external factors like Middle East tensions and energy prices, continue to sustain the opportunity. Major investors remain engaged, favoring currencies like the Mexican peso, South African rand, and Turkish lira.

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Tsinghua and Whiton Mentor-Disciple Team Cracks 40-Year-Old Mystery, Core Math All Written by GPT, Anyone Could Do It

Tsinghua and Wharton researchers have used GPT-5.6 Sol Pro to solve a 40-year-old open problem in optimization theory, proving a fundamental limit for gradient descent. They demonstrated that by adjusting only the step size sequence—without adding momentum or changing the algorithm's structure—the convergence rate of gradient descent cannot exceed Ω(T^{-1.9319}). This establishes a mathematical ceiling, showing that structural modifications are necessary to achieve the fastest possible convergence rates like O(1/T²). The core proof, involving a geometric construction based on "resisting oracles," was entirely generated through iterative interaction with the AI. The proof was then formally verified using the Lean 4 theorem prover, achieving zero "sorry" or "admit" statements, confirming its logical correctness without human intervention in the non-trivial mathematical steps. This result bridges the gap between the known O(T^{-1.2716}) rate achieved by the "silver stepsize" sequence and the newly proven impossibility bound. The work suggests a new paradigm where researchers can leverage general-purpose AI to explore and formally verify complex theoretical proofs.

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Anthropic Admits Fault, Evidence of Secretly Downgrading Claude's Intelligence

Anthropic publicly apologized after users discovered a hidden A/B test in Claude Code (versions 2.1.237+) that seemingly "dumbed down" the model. Developer argofowl found that selecting the "high" reasoning effort was being mapped internally to a value of "10," which previously corresponded to the "low" setting. While Anthropic engineers clarified this was only a change to the numerical mapping scale and assured it did not affect performance based on internal evaluations, the lack of communication about the test sparked widespread user backlash and self-tests on social media. Separately, significant complaints emerged about the flagship Opus 5 model, with users reporting it became "unstable," prone to lazy outputs, factual errors, and repetitive corrections. An Anthropic engineer acknowledged Opus 5's performance instability, calling its resolution a top priority. The incident highlights a growing industry-wide rift between improving benchmark scores and declining user-perceived quality and reliability. It underscores the lack of transparency in continuous model updates, where server-side changes, A/B tests, and configuration adjustments occur without clear user notification, eroding trust as AI models become critical infrastructure.

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Unpacking the Truth Behind On-chain Assets: Leverage, Liquidity, and Risk

The article analyzes the concept of "real-world asset" (RWA) tokenization, arguing that while tokenizing assets on-chain is a useful step, it is far from transformative on its own. The author compares it to placing a barcode on a shipping container—it enables identification but does not build the necessary market infrastructure. The core argument is that true value emerges not from tokenization, but from integrating these tokens into DeFi systems where they can be valued, financed, hedged, traded, and liquidated under stress. Key challenges identified include: 1. **Multiple Time Clocks**: A fundamental tension exists between blockchain's 24/7 settlement and the slower, business-hour-dependent processes of traditional markets, custody, and redemption. This "duration mismatch" can create dangerous liquidity gaps during crises. 2. **Liquidity Misconceptions**: True liquidity is not measured by Total Value Locked (TVL) or trading pairs, but by the ability to exit a position within a required timeframe at an acceptable price. It requires analyzing multiple exit paths and stress-testing scenarios. 3. **Leverage and Risk**: Leverage unlocks economic utility (e.g., using tokenized assets as collateral) but also introduces fragility. Risk models must account for more than asset volatility, incorporating factors like legal enforceability, oracle freshness, and market structure. Paradoxically, a "safer" asset like tokenized Treasury bonds could require a higher collateral discount than ETH due to slower, less-proven liquidation mechanisms. 4. **A Risk Graph**: RWA risk should be modeled as a network of interconnected dependencies (e.g., issuers, custodians, oracles, stablecoin pools), not a single score. Failures can propagate through this graph, turning operational issues into systemic liquidity crises. The article states that tokenized government bonds are merely an entry point, while more complex frontiers like computing power and energy assets present greater challenges and opportunities. It also examines the interplay and risks between tokenized stocks and perpetual futures contracts. The conclusion is that the future lies not in "tokenizing everything," but in building robust market layers where tokenized rights become resilient financial primitives within a programmable capital system. The token is just the barcode; the market is the machine.

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