Rebuttal: I Don't Regret Spending 8 Years in the Crypto Industry

marsbitОпубліковано о 2025-12-11Востаннє оновлено о 2025-12-11

Анотація

Ken Chang recently wrote an article lamenting his eight years in crypto as a waste, describing the industry as inherently destructive and a system of financial nihilism that has built the world's largest casino. While many in the space dismiss such critiques, the author acknowledges that Ken’s disillusionment—shared by earlier figures like Mike Hearn—stems from a genuine idealistic disappointment. Crypto promised decentralization and a new financial system but largely delivered speculation and gambling. The author identifies five core aspirations of cryptocurrency: restoring sound money, encoding business logic via smart contracts, making digital property real, improving capital market efficiency, and expanding global financial inclusion. While progress has been made in areas like Bitcoin, stablecoins, and certain efficient financial infrastructures, many grand visions—like overthrowing fiat or revolutionizing digital ownership—remain unfulfilled. The author advocates for a "pragmatic optimism." Speculation and casino-like dynamics are seen as unfortunate but inevitable side effects of building permissionless, open financial infrastructure. The key is to focus on the real, albeit gradual, progress—such as improved financial access and inclusion—while accepting that transformative change is slow and often captured by incremental efficiency gains, not revolution. The goal remains worthy, even if the path is messier than hoped.

Ken Chang recently published an article titled "I Wasted Eight Years of My Life in Cryptocurrency," in which he lamented the inherent capital destruction and financial nihilism of the industry.

People in the crypto space love to ridicule such "dramatic exit" articles and gleefully recount the stories of historical figures like Mike Hearn or Jeff Garzik who made high-profile departures (while never failing to point out how much Bitcoin has risen since they left).

But Ken's article is largely correct. He said:

Cryptocurrency claimed it would help decentralize the financial system, and I once believed it deeply. But the reality is, it is just a super system for speculation and gambling, essentially a replica of the current economy. Reality hit me like a truck: I wasn't building a new financial system; I built a casino. A casino that doesn't call itself a casino, yet it is the largest, 24/7, multiplayer online casino our generation has ever built.

Ken pointed out that VCs have burned tens of billions of dollars funding various new public chains, and we clearly don't need that many. This is true, although his description of the incentive model is slightly off (VCs are essentially conduits for capital—overall, they only do what their limited partners are willing to tolerate). Ken also criticized the proliferation of perpetual and spot DEXs, prediction markets, meme coin launch platforms, etc. Indeed, while you can defend these concepts on an abstract level (except for meme coin launch platforms, which are indefensible), it's undeniable that their proliferation is solely because the market incentivizes it, and VCs are willing to pay for it.

Ken said he entered the crypto space with idealistic aspirations and stars in his eyes. This is familiar to participants in this field: he had libertarian leanings. But in the end, he didn't practice libertarian ideals; instead, he built a casino. Specifically, he is best known for his work on Ribbon Finance, a protocol that allows users to deposit assets into vaults and earn yield by systematically selling options.

I don't want to sound too harsh, but it is what it is. If it were me, I would also engage in deep reflection. When the conflict between principles and work became unbearable, Ken reached his pessimistic conclusion: cryptocurrency is a casino, not a revolution.

What struck me deeply was that it reminded me of the article Mike Hearn wrote nearly a decade ago. Hearn wrote:

Why did Bitcoin fail? Because the community behind it failed. It was supposed to be a new type of decentralized currency, without "systemically important institutions," without "too big to fail," but it became something worse: a system entirely controlled by a few people. Worse yet, the network is on the verge of technical collapse. The mechanisms that were supposed to prevent this have failed, so there is little reason to believe Bitcoin can truly be better than the existing financial system.

The details differ, but the argument is consistent. Bitcoin/cryptocurrency was supposed to be one thing (decentralized, cypherpunk practice), but it turned into something else (a casino, centralized). Both agree: it ultimately did not prove better than the existing financial system.

Hearn and Ken's arguments can be summarized in one sentence: cryptocurrency initially had a purpose, but it ultimately went astray. So we have to ask: what is the purpose of cryptocurrency?


Five Goals of Cryptocurrency

In my view, there are roughly five camps, which are not mutually exclusive. Personally, I most identify with the first and fifth camps, but I have empathy for all. However, I am not dogmatic about any, not even the hardcore Bitcoin camp.

Restoring Sound Money

This was the original dream, shared by most (though not all) early Bitcoin players. The idea is that, over time, Bitcoin will pose a competitive threat to the monetary privileges of many sovereign states, possibly even replacing fiat currency and bringing us back to a new gold standard-like order. This camp typically views everything else in the crypto space as distractions and scams, merely riding Bitcoin's coattails. Needless to say, Bitcoin has made limited progress at the sovereign state level, but in just 15 years, it has come far enough as a significant monetary asset. Adherents of this view live in a constant state of disillusionment and hope, with near-delusional expectations that widespread Bitcoin adoption is just around the corner.

Encoding Business Logic with Smart Contracts

This view, championed by Vitalik Buterin and most of the Ethereum camp, posits: since we can digitize money, we can express various transactions and contracts in code, making the world more efficient and fair. To Bitcoin maximalists, this was once heresy. But it has found success in certain narrow areas, especially those easily expressed mathematically, like derivatives.

Making Digital Property Rights Real

This is my summary of the "Web3" or "read-write-own" philosophy. The idea is not without merit: digital property rights should be as real and reliable as physical property rights. However, its practices—NFTs, Web3 social—have either gone completely astray or, to put it politely, were born at the wrong time. Despite billions of dollars invested, few now defend this philosophy. But I still think there is something worth pondering. I believe many of our current internet dilemmas stem from not truly "owning" our online identities and spaces, nor having effective control over who we interact with and content distribution. I believe we will eventually regain sovereignty over our digital property, and blockchain will likely play a role. It's just that the timing isn't right yet.

Improving Capital Market Efficiency

This is the least ideological of the five goals. Not many get excited about securities settlement, COBOL, SWIFT, or wire transfer windows. But regardless, this is a real driving force behind a significant part of the crypto industry. The logic is: the Western financial system is built on an outdated tech stack, extremely difficult to upgrade due to path dependency (no one dares easily replace core infrastructure handling trillions in daily settlements), so it has long needed an update. This update must come from outside the system and adopt a completely new architecture. The value here is mostly in efficiency gains and potential consumer surplus, making it less exciting.

Expanding Global Financial Inclusion

Finally, there are passionate individuals who see cryptocurrency as an inclusive technology, providing low-cost financial infrastructure globally—for some, even their first access to financial services. This means enabling people to self-custody crypto assets (more commonly stablecoins now), access tokenized securities or money market funds, obtain credit cards issued based on crypto wallets or exchange accounts, and be treated equally on the financial internet. This is a very real phenomenon, and its superficial success offers solace to many disillusioned idealists.

Pragmatic Optimism

So, who is right? The idealists or the pessimists? Or is there a third possibility?

I could go on at length about how bubbles always accompany major technological changes, how bubbles actually catalyze the construction of useful infrastructure, and how cryptocurrency is especially speculative precisely because it is financial technology, but that would be somewhat self-consoling.

My real answer is: maintaining pragmatic optimism is the correct attitude. Whenever you despair over the crypto casino, you must hold onto this tightly. Speculation, mania, and capital extraction should be understood as inevitable yet unpleasant side effects of building useful infrastructure. It comes with real human costs, which I don't mean to downplay. The normalization of meme coins, pointless gambling, and financial nihilism among young people is particularly frustrating and socially unhelpful. But this is a (negative) side effect inevitably produced by building capital markets on permissionless rails. I see no other way; you just have to accept it as part of how blockchains operate. And you can choose not to participate.

The key is: cryptocurrency has its goals, and it's completely normal to harbor ideals about it. It is this purpose that motivates thousands of people to dedicate their careers to this industry.

It's just that it might not be as exciting as you imagined.

The world is unlikely to suddenly fully embrace Bitcoin. NFTs haven't revolutionized digital ownership. Capital markets are slowly moving on-chain. Besides the dollar, we haven't tokenized many assets. No authoritarian regime has fallen because ordinary people hold crypto wallets. Smart contracts are mainly used for derivatives, with little else. To date, the only applications with product-market fit are limited to Bitcoin, stablecoins, DEXs, and prediction markets. Yes, much of the value created may be captured by large companies or eventually returned to consumers in the form of efficiency gains and cost savings.

Therefore, the real challenge is to maintain an optimism rooted in realistic possibilities, rather than indulging in blind, optimistic fantasies. If you believe in a libertarian utopia, the gap between expectation and reality will eventually lead to disillusionment. As for the casino effect, unrestrained token issuance, and rampant speculation, these should be seen as ugly warts on the industry's underbelly—difficult to remove but objectively present. If you believe the costs brought by blockchain now outweigh its benefits, then choosing disillusionment is completely reasonable. But in my view, the current situation is actually better than ever. We have more evidence than ever before that we are on the right path.

Just remember that goal.

Трендові криптовалюти

Пов'язані питання

QWhat are the five main goals or camps of cryptocurrency as outlined in the article?

AThe five main goals or camps are: 1. Restoring sound money. 2. Encoding business logic with smart contracts. 3. Making digital property rights real (Web3/read-write-own). 4. Improving capital market efficiency. 5. Expanding global financial inclusion.

QAccording to the author, what is the 'correct attitude' to have towards the cryptocurrency industry?

AThe author argues that the correct attitude is 'pragmatic optimism,' which involves accepting the speculative and often negative aspects (like the 'casino') as an unavoidable side effect of building useful infrastructure on a permissionless轨道, while staying focused on the original goals.

QWhat was the core disillusionment expressed by Ken Chang and Mike Hearn regarding cryptocurrency?

ABoth Ken Chang and Mike Hearn expressed that cryptocurrency, which was initially envisioned as a decentralized, revolutionary alternative to the traditional financial system (e.g., sound money, cypherpunk ideals), had instead become something worse: a centralized casino or a system that failed to be better than the existing financial establishment.

QWhat does the author identify as the 'truly product-market fit applications' in crypto so far?

AThe author states that the only applications that have achieved true product-market fit so far are Bitcoin, stablecoins, DEXs (decentralized exchanges), and prediction markets.

QHow does the author characterize the relationship between speculative frenzy and useful infrastructure in crypto?

AThe author characterizes the relationship by stating that speculative frenzy, bubbles, and capital allocation (even to negative things like meme coins) are an 'inevitable yet unpleasant side effect' of building useful infrastructure. This is presented as a consequence of building on a permissionless轨道 where there is no central authority to prevent it.

Пов'язані матеріали

As Consensus Accelerates, What Are Young Investors Betting On?

Title: As Consensus Forms Faster, What Are Young Investors Betting On? In the rapid evolution of tech investment, a new generation of young investors is navigating a landscape where AI, robotics, commercial aerospace, and quantum computing are advancing simultaneously. Traditional investment logic based on financial models is giving way to a need for deep technical understanding and the ability to act before industry consensus forms. An analysis of trends from the "WAIC FUTURE TECH" list of young investment leaders reveals key shifts in focus. The first major trend is the movement of AI from the digital screen into the physical world. Investment is shifting from large language models and chatbots towards embodied AI, robotics, AI hardware, and edge computing. While demonstrations generate excitement, the real challenge lies in achieving scalable, reliable, and cost-effective delivery in complex real-world environments like factories and logistics. Success depends not just on algorithms but on the integration of sensors, actuators, and control systems. Second, the competitive focus for large models is moving beyond raw capability toward building an "intelligence flywheel." The goal is to create self-reinforcing systems where user interaction generates data, improving the model, which in turn enhances the user experience and attracts more engagement. Companies that successfully embed AI into workflows to create these closed-loop systems can build lasting value that isn't easily erased by the next model upgrade. Third, facing a potential bottleneck in high-quality human-generated data, investors are looking at new underlying technologies. Reinforcement learning and self-play, as demonstrated by AlphaGo Zero, offer paths for AI to generate its own experience. Scientific foundation models, which aim to build general AI capabilities for fields like life sciences and materials discovery, represent a non-consensus direction that could unlock new frontiers of knowledge and data. Finally, in deep-tech areas like quantum computing, commercial aerospace, and space-based infrastructure, patient capital is essential. These fields have long, uncertain development and validation cycles involving complex engineering, supply chains, and regulations. Investment here requires a long-term view, focusing on foundational team capabilities and the eventual emergence of market demand, even if commercial returns are distant. Collectively, these trends illustrate how young investors are adapting to a new era. They are learning to make earlier, technically-informed judgments, balance hype with real-world viability, and provide the patient capital needed to build the deep-tech foundations of the future.

marsbit28 хв тому

As Consensus Accelerates, What Are Young Investors Betting On?

marsbit28 хв тому

Can Japan Buy Growth with AI? Will the Bond Market Believe It?

Japan's cabinet has introduced the 2026 Basic Policy on Economic and Fiscal Management and Reform, shifting its primary fiscal target. The new framework moves away from the traditional annual primary balance goal and instead prioritizes a stable reduction of the debt-to-GDP ratio. This change is tied to a strategy of increased "responsible proactive fiscal" spending, aiming to boost long-term growth through investments in strategic sectors like AI, semiconductors, energy, and robotics. The government estimates total public and private investment in 62 key technologies could exceed 370 trillion yen by 2040. The market reaction has been mixed and cautious. While equity markets may respond to policy signals, bond markets are focused on fiscal credibility. Concerns center on whether the weakening of the clear primary balance anchor could lead to looser fiscal discipline. If investors doubt that these strategic investments will generate sufficient productivity gains, tax revenue, and nominal growth to outpace rising interest costs, they may demand higher yields on Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs). Recent volatility in the yen and JGB yields, with the 10-year yield briefly reaching 2.9%, reflects this skepticism. The success of this new framework hinges on two factors: whether Japan can achieve a nominal growth rate consistently higher than its long-term interest rates, and whether future budgets demonstrate disciplined control over bond issuance. The government's narrative is that strategic investment is essential to break Japan's cycle of low growth, aging, and labor shortages. However, the bond market will continuously assess the credibility of this plan, pricing the risk that it may represent fiscal expansion rather than a viable growth strategy.

marsbit1 год тому

Can Japan Buy Growth with AI? Will the Bond Market Believe It?

marsbit1 год тому

Misjudged A-Shares: Resilience, Expectations, and Confidence

China's A-share market recently faced selling pressure, especially in tech sectors, initially triggered by a global tech sell-off that began in South Korea. However, the article argues this is a case of "mistaken injury" and highlights the market's underlying resilience. This resilience stems from three main pillars: **1) Tech Sector Fundamentals:** Unlike Korea's market dominated by a few memory chip stocks, China's tech sector is diversified across computing, communications, electronics, and semiconductors, supported by dual narratives of global AI supply chains and domestic substitution. Core areas like optical modules and fiber optics continue to show strong earnings growth. **2) "National Team" Support:** State-backed institutions and large corporations have made significant market purchases and announced buybacks, providing liquidity and signaling confidence. This is seen as a stabilizing policy signal, often associated with market bottoms. **3) Broader Market Pillars:** Other major sectors are showing endogenous recovery momentum. Consumer stocks benefit from stabilizing CPI and signs of sector recovery (e.g., liquor price hikes). Cyclical sectors like aluminum have high earnings, potential price increases due to tight supply, and low valuations. The financial sector offers stable dividends and low valuations. The conclusion is that the sell-off was driven by external contagion, not a collapse in fundamentals. With strong policy support and recovering momentum across key sectors, the A-share market possesses the toughness to regain stability.

marsbit1 год тому

Misjudged A-Shares: Resilience, Expectations, and Confidence

marsbit1 год тому

Торгівля

Спот

Популярні статті

Як купити T

Ласкаво просимо до HTX.com! Ми зробили покупку Threshold Network Token (T) простою та зручною. Дотримуйтесь нашої покрокової інструкції, щоб розпочати свою криптовалютну подорож.Крок 1: Створіть обліковий запис на HTXВикористовуйте свою електронну пошту або номер телефону, щоб зареєструвати обліковий запис на HTX безплатно. Пройдіть безпроблемну реєстрацію й отримайте доступ до всіх функцій.ЗареєструватисьКрок 2: Перейдіть до розділу Купити крипту і виберіть спосіб оплатиКредитна/дебетова картка: використовуйте вашу картку Visa або Mastercard, щоб миттєво купити Threshold Network Token (T).Баланс: використовуйте кошти з балансу вашого рахунку HTX для безперешкодної торгівлі.Треті особи: ми додали популярні способи оплати, такі як Google Pay та Apple Pay, щоб підвищити зручність.P2P: Торгуйте безпосередньо з іншими користувачами на HTX.Позабіржова торгівля (OTC): ми пропонуємо індивідуальні послуги та конкурентні обмінні курси для трейдерів.Крок 3: Зберігайте свої Threshold Network Token (T)Після придбання Threshold Network Token (T) збережіть його у своєму обліковому записі на HTX. Крім того, ви можете відправити його в інше місце за допомогою блокчейн-переказу або використовувати його для торгівлі іншими криптовалютами.Крок 4: Торгівля Threshold Network Token (T)Легко торгуйте Threshold Network Token (T) на спотовому ринку HTX. Просто увійдіть до свого облікового запису, виберіть торгову пару, укладайте угоди та спостерігайте за ними в режимі реального часу. Ми пропонуємо зручний досвід як для початківців, так і для досвідчених трейдерів.

486 переглядів усьогоОпубліковано 2024.12.10Оновлено 2026.06.02

Як купити T

Обговорення

Ласкаво просимо до спільноти HTX. Тут ви можете бути в курсі останніх подій розвитку платформи та отримати доступ до професійної ринкової інформації. Нижче представлені думки користувачів щодо ціни T (T).

活动图片