Michael Saylor Says Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Is Over, But This Is A Good Thing For Price

bitcoinistОпубліковано о 2026-04-08Востаннє оновлено о 2026-04-08

Анотація

Michael Saylor, founder of MicroStrategy, declares Bitcoin's traditional four-year halving cycle is over, viewing it as a positive development for its price. He argues Bitcoin has achieved global acceptance as a form of digital capital, and its price will now be driven by institutional capital flows rather than cyclical patterns. Saylor believes future growth will be fueled by traditional bank credit and digital lending, which could lead to more stable appreciation. He warns the main risk is harmful changes to the Bitcoin protocol. In response, critic Peter Schiff disputes the consensus on Bitcoin's status, agreeing that capital flows dictate price but warning that outflows will drive it significantly lower, highlighting his continued skepticism of Bitcoin's long-term value.

Michael Saylor, the founder and executive chairman of Strategy, has declared that Bitcoin’s (BTC) traditional four-year halving cycle is over, viewing this shift as an ultimately positive step for the cryptocurrency’s price. He argued that BTC has now achieved global acceptance, and this transition marks a more mature phase that could support stronger, more consistent price appreciation for the flagship cryptocurrency.

Why Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Close Could Boost Price

In an X post dated April 4, Saylor announced that “Bitcoin has won,” suggesting that the cryptocurrency has officially secured its dominant position in the global financial system. He explained that the world now widely accepts BTC as a form of digital capital, reflecting the cryptocurrency’s deep integration as a means of payment and investment for everyday users.

The Strategy founder further argued that Bitcoin’s four-year market cycle has ended, and that price movements are now guided by the inflows and outflows of capital from institutions and investors. This shift seems to be gradually moving BTC away from the sharp bull-and-bear market patterns tied to past halving cycles.

Saylor also added that Bitcoin’s growth in the coming years will largely depend on traditional bank credit and emerging digital lending channels. These funding sources are expected to play a bigger role in shaping how quickly and how far Bitcoin’s value could expand in the future. Moreover, the adoption of established financial instruments could help stabilize BTC’s price trajectory, which is often influenced by speculation and volatility.

Concluding his post, Saylor warned that the greatest risks come from having poor ideas that lead to unnecessary or damaging changes to the Bitcoin protocol. He cautioned that such misguided updates could harm the network if allowed to take root. Essentially, the Strategy founder is urging developers and users to protect the protocol from ill-advised alterations to preserve continued growth and success.

BTC Critic Fires Back At Saylor’s Remarks

Responding directly to Saylor’s post, global economist and Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff pushed back against the remarks. He argued that any claimed consensus about BTC’s status as digital capital exists only in Saylor’s mind. However, Schiff did agree that capital flows will ultimately determine Bitcoin’s price direction.

The critic warned that when capital eventually flows out of BTC, the price will be driven significantly lower. His comments reflect a prolonged skepticism over Bitcoin’s long-term outlook and its status as “digital gold” or a store of value.

While Saylor remains a strong advocate for BTC, consistently accumulating the cryptocurrency through Strategy, Schiff continues to criticize the asset, often comparing it to gold. In one of his latest posts, the economist noted that Bitcoin recently climbed above $70,000 but was immediately hit with a wave of selling pressure, leading to a major pullback. He emphasized that, at present, BTC’s upside potential appears limited while its downside risk remains significant—an outlook he believes is the direct opposite of gold.

BTC trading at $68,963 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

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QAccording to Michael Saylor, what has replaced Bitcoin's traditional four-year halving cycle as the main driver of its price?

AAccording to Michael Saylor, Bitcoin's price movements are now guided by the inflows and outflows of capital from institutions and investors, replacing the traditional four-year halving cycle.

QWhat does Michael Saylor believe Bitcoin has achieved, which marks a more mature phase for the cryptocurrency?

AMichael Saylor believes Bitcoin has achieved global acceptance and is now widely accepted as a form of digital capital, marking a more mature phase.

QWho responded critically to Michael Saylor's remarks and what was their main point of agreement?

AGlobal economist and Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff responded critically. He agreed that capital flows will ultimately determine Bitcoin's price direction.

QWhat does Michael Saylor warn is the greatest risk to Bitcoin's continued growth and success?

AMichael Saylor warns that the greatest risk comes from poor ideas that lead to unnecessary or damaging changes to the Bitcoin protocol.

QHow does Peter Schiff's outlook on Bitcoin's risk and potential compare to that of gold?

APeter Schiff believes that at present, Bitcoin's upside potential appears limited while its downside risk remains significant, which is the direct opposite of his outlook for gold.

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In Jinjiang, Fujian, a Storage Super Unicorn Lies Quiet

In Fujian's Jinjiang, a city known for sportswear, lies a quiet semiconductor giant: Fujian Jinhua Integrated Circuit Co. (JHICC). Once a promising domestic DRAM manufacturer alongside Yangtze Memory and ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), its journey was derailed in 2018 when the U.S. placed it on an Entity List and filed criminal charges for alleged trade secret theft. This halted production for years. A turning point came in February 2024 when a U.S. federal court found JHICC not guilty. However, it had lost crucial time. While CXMT soared to become a top-valued A-share company in 2024, JHICC, with an estimated valuation of 80 billion RMB, was just restarting. Its current output is primarily customized DDR4 chips, not the advanced DDR5/HBM demanded for AI, but it still benefits from the broader memory chip upcycle. JHICC's story is tied to Chen Zhengkun, a veteran engineer who left Micron to lead the venture. Founded in 2016 with state-backed funding, JHICC partnered with Taiwan's UMC to develop DRAM technology. Rapid progress was cut short by the U.S. actions, which Micron initiated, partly due to its heavy reliance on the Chinese market. Post-sanctions, Chen's team worked to rebuild the production line with reduced reliance on U.S. technology. According to its records, JHICC achieved small-scale production and revenue growth under immense pressure. It now focuses on the stable "niche" DRAM market (e.g., TVs, routers) with a monthly capacity of ~40,000 wafers, aiming for 60,000 by 2026. It holds over 1,000 patents but remains on the Entity List. For Jinjiang, investing in JHICC was a bold industrial leap. The local government provided unwavering financial and logistical support during the crisis, helping the company survive. JHICC has become the anchor for a growing local semiconductor cluster. Though its scale lags behind domestic peers, JHICC's persistence symbolizes a hard-won foothold in a global market long dominated by Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron. Having missed one boom, it seeks a place in the new AI-driven memory supercycle.

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**Summary: Key Events and Developments to Watch (August 3-9)** The upcoming week is marked by significant financial disclosures, key legislative deadlines, and notable product updates. **Major Financial Events:** Several companies are scheduled to release their Q2 2026 earnings. American Bitcoin (ABTC) will report on August 3, followed by SpaceX and Hut 8 Mining Corp. on August 4, and Circle on August 5. Notably, a significant portion of SpaceX shares (up to 12% of total shares) will be unlocked on August 6 following their earnings release. **Key Legislative Deadline:** The U.S. Senate faces an August 7 deadline to secure 60 votes for the CLARITY Act, a bipartisan bill aiming to establish a federal regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies. The Senate may hold a full vote on the bill during the week. **Economic Data:** The U.S. July Non-Farm Payrolls report will be released on August 7, providing crucial labor market data. **Technology & Product Updates:** * **Shutdowns:** DeFi portfolio tracker Zapper and wallet app Ctrl Wallet will cease operations on August 3. * **Upgrades:** LayerZero will deprecate its v1 relayers on August 3. XRP Ledger's new version 3.3.0, featuring five new functions, is expected next week. * **AI:** Elon Musk announced that the advanced Grok 4.6 AI model is set for release around August 7. * **Bitcoin:** The BIP-110 forced signaling for a potential Bitcoin network change is scheduled to begin around August 8. **Other Notable Events:** Chinese robotics firm Unitree Tech has set its preliminary price inquiry for its IPO for August 5. South Korean exchange Upbit will delist AQT and AERGO tokens on August 3.

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