Hyperliquid、Ethena、Aave 三巨头论道：DeFi 的未来在哪里？

marsbitОпубліковано о 2025-10-19Востаннє оновлено о 2025-10-20

编者按：DeFi 作为加密行业最具变革性的领域之一，正在从早期的实验性协议，逐步演化为全球金融基础设施的重要组成部分。

本文整理自 2025 年 Token2049 期间的一场圆桌讨论。论坛由 Dragonfly 合伙人 Haseeb Qureshi 主持，邀请了三位来自 DeFi 核心协议的代表人物：JEFF（Hyperliquid）、GUY（Ethena）和 STANI（Aave）。

三位嘉宾围绕稳定币的泛化趋势、永续合约的未来、链上收益产品的主流化路径、DeFi 与 CeFi 的融合、系统性风险管理，以及 DeFi 协议的「集团化」演化进行了深入探讨，分享了他们对行业热点的判断与态度。

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Upbit is Anxious: A Hasty Counterattack Aimed at Regaining Stablecoin Market Share

Title: Upbit's Rushed Counterattack to Reclaim Stablecoin Market Share Facing a dramatic shift in South Korea's stablecoin market, leading exchange Upbit launched a promotional campaign from July 26 to August 9, waiving the 0.05% trading fee for stablecoins paired with the Korean Won (KRW) and rapidly listing new stablecoins like RLUSD and USDG. This move is a direct response to its plummeting market share in this sector. Historically a duopoly with Bithumb, the market has been reshaped since October 2025 when Coinone permanently removed fees for USDC trading. By June 2026, Coinone led with 34.8% of stablecoin volume, followed by Bithumb (31.1%) and Upbit (30.1%). This contrasts sharply with the overall crypto market, where Upbit commands 60%. The data shows stablecoin demand is highly sensitive to fees, as users primarily buy them to transfer capital overseas for derivatives trading or forex arbitrage. South Korean exchanges have seen a net outflow of stablecoins for 18 consecutive months, totaling approximately 14.9 trillion KRW, underscoring their role as a cross-border capital conduit. Upbit's limited-time promotion initially boosted its daily stablecoin volume by 162%, but the surge was almost entirely in USDT (98.1% of volume). The newly listed stablecoins saw negligible, fleeting interest. Furthermore, the promotional effect quickly waned in the second week, with volume dropping 33% on weekdays. A concurrent weakening of the KRW also contributed to the trading spike, independent of the fee waiver. The analysis suggests that once the promotion ends, Upbit is unlikely to retain its temporary gains unless it matches Coinone's permanent zero-fee policy, forcing a choice between market share and fee revenue. Upbit's strategic push may be less about immediate profit and more about preparing for future regulatory shifts. With South Korea's *Digital Asset Basic Act* on the horizon, which will regulate KRW-backed stablecoins, and following Dunamu's (Upbit's parent) integration into Naver Financial to build a payment ecosystem, securing a dominant position in the dollar stablecoin distribution channel holds long-term strategic value. However, potential regulatory conflicts could prevent Upbit from listing a future Naver-issued KRW stablecoin, making the current fight for dollar stablecoin flow even more critical.

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Upbit is Anxious: A Hasty Counterattack Aimed at Regaining Stablecoin Market Share

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Ethereum devs to narrow 66 proposals tied to Hegotá upgrade

Ethereum developers are reviewing 66 proposals to define the scope of the next major network upgrade, Hegotá, with a focus on enhancing protocol-level privacy. Currently, only the FOCIL (Fork-choice enforced inclusion lists) EIP is confirmed for inclusion. Additional proposals like Frame Transactions (EIP-8141), Keyed Nonces (EIP-8250), and Recent Roots for Frame Transactions (EIP-8272) are also targeted for Hegotá to enable native privacy features for applications. FOCIL aims to improve censorship resistance, while the privacy-focused EIPs would provide foundational tools for private transactions. Developers aim to release Hegotá next year, with upcoming core developer calls being crucial for shaping Ethereum's 2027 roadmap. Proposals not selected may be considered for future upgrades. Prior to Hegotá, the network will first deploy the Glamsterdam upgrade in the second half of 2026, which is designed to improve scalability, security, and usability.

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The Nasdaq is Now Trading for 23 Hours a Day. Whose Business Is It Taking?

NASDAQ plans to launch 23-hour, five-day-a-week stock trading starting December 6, 2026, pending final infrastructure readiness. The new overnight session, from 9 PM to 4 AM ET, directly targets Asian investors by aligning with their daytime hours. The move is fundamentally an order flow battle. Nasdaq aims to recapture trades from after-hours platforms, broker internal systems, and rival exchanges. Data shows overnight trading is concentrated in a few broad market ETFs (like SPY, QQQ) and mega-cap stocks (like Tesla, Nvidia), focused on risk management rather than stock-picking. While offering faster price discovery, extended hours raise systemic costs, may widen bid-ask spreads due to lower liquidity, and shift pricing power. The trend highlights the growing centrality of US markets for global asset pricing, even for non-US assets via ETFs. For markets like Hong Kong, the priority is enhancing asset quality and connectivity rather than merely extending hours. Ultimately, extended trading is an amplifier; what matters is which market defines the next global price.

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Berkshire Hathaway's Q2 13F Portfolio Reshuffle: Increased Stakes in Google and Delta Air Lines, Consecutive Quarter of Cutting Bank of America

Berkshire Hathaway's second-quarter 13F filing, released August 14th, reveals significant portfolio shifts under new leadership. The total portfolio value rose to approximately $299.3 billion. Key highlights include a major increase in Alphabet (Google) holdings. Berkshire's stake in Google-A surged 45.24% to $28.16 billion, while its Google-C holdings jumped 658% to $9.61 billion, making Alphabet the firm's third-largest combined holding after Apple and American Express. Conversely, Bank of America was the largest reduction, with shares cut by 5.89% for the second consecutive quarter, though it remains the fifth-largest holding. Berkshire also increased positions in Delta Air Lines (up 44%) and homebuilder Lennar, while initiating a small new position in D.R. Horton. The consumer sector saw Constellation Brands completely sold off. Overall, the portfolio reflects a continued move toward technology and specific cyclical sectors like housing and airlines, while trimming some financial and consumer stakes. Apple remains the top holding at 22% of the portfolio.

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Berkshire Hathaway's Q2 13F Portfolio Reshuffle: Increased Stakes in Google and Delta Air Lines, Consecutive Quarter of Cutting Bank of America

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Michael Saylor Compares Bitcoin and Gold!

Michael Saylor, founder of MicroStrategy, argues that Bitcoin fundamentally changes how wealth is stored and transferred by transforming digital scarcity into economic value. He describes Bitcoin as the first digital monetary network, combining computers, digital networks, and cryptography. It digitizes monetary assets, allowing their supply to be controlled by public protocols rather than institutions, thus converting economic value into information transmissible over global networks. Comparing Bitcoin to gold, Saylor states that while increasing Bitcoin's supply is harder, its integration with software and transfer is easier. He highlights Bitcoin's proof-of-work mechanism, which ties it to the physical world by consuming real energy to secure the ledger, making past transactions immutable. This creates a shared security system involving miners, energy companies, and investors. Saylor suggests "digital monetary energy" is a more accurate term than "digital gold." He emphasizes that the Bitcoin network is an adaptive ecosystem of miners, nodes, developers, and users. Its core design is intentionally simple, focused on maintaining a secure ledger for scarce digital assets, with complex functionalities built in higher-layer applications. This architecture allows Bitcoin to serve as a foundation for transmitting value and fostering innovation in payments and financial services. Saylor notes Bitcoin's deeper impact lies in creating digital sovereignty, where private keys give individuals permissionless control over their economic power, with ownership verified mathematically, not by institutions. He concludes that while gold's physical scarcity makes it money, Bitcoin's digital scarcity does the same, characterizing Bitcoin as the monetary energy of the digital age.

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378 переглядів усьогоОпубліковано 2024.12.11Оновлено 2026.06.02

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