以太坊多头掌、接下来怎么走?XRP大跌或探2.15美元、KAS、SUI要反弹LTC、LINK看涨结构显现

金色财经Опубліковано о 2025-08-01Востаннє оновлено о 2025-08-01

以太坊多头主导,突破 3965 美元或创新高

以太坊在 3700 美元上方反弹后进入盘整,多头仍控制市场。此前突破 2800-2880 美元阻力位后,图表结构转向看涨,价格维持在 3273 美元上方显示势头持续。当前焦点在 3965 美元关键阻力位,突破后可能冲击历史新高;回调时 3273-3370 美元区间将提供强支撑,只要该区域稳固,上涨趋势技术上有效。

XRP 回落寻支撑,买家犹豫或跌至 2.15 美元

XRP 曾涨至 7 年新高后回落,受整体市场看跌情绪影响。分析师指出,其上涨由大量买盘推动,但突破 2024 年高点后遇阻,高价位多头被套。更值得注意的是,价格创新高时交易量明显下降(2024 年破 3 美元时交易量 780 亿美元,此次破 3.6 美元仅 410 亿美元),购买兴趣减弱。

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若买家未能发力,XRP 可能从 2.95 美元进一步回落,下一看跌目标 2.15-2.3 美元(被视为 “合适入场位”),更深可能至 1.60-1.93 美元;若有买盘支撑,仍有望回升至 4.64 美元。

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KAS 和 SUI 显反弹信号,技术形态积极

Kaspa 本月上涨 25.57%,从半年 27.19% 的跌幅中恢复,但近一周跌 9.24%,波动性明显。当前交易区间 0.0595-0.0916 美元,支撑位 0.0438 美元,阻力位 0.1078 美元。

RSI 51.28 呈中性,动量指标略偏空,短期情绪改善但长期仍有挑战。

SUI 近期涨 38.55%,周涨 3.54%,但半年跌 5.71%,短期反转信号显现。价格在 2.19-3.48 美元波动,测试 4.19 美元阻力和 1.59 美元支撑。

振荡指标略偏多,RSI 54.22 显示多空平衡,缺乏明确趋势但存在战术机会。

LTC 和 LINK 看涨结构显现,或迎囤币期

Chainlink 近月涨 35%,半年跌 28%,当前区间 11-15.70 美元,阻力 18.03 美元,支撑 8.63 美元。

振荡指标略偏多,但动量指标为负,多头暂控市场但空头压力仍在,需关注区间突破机会。

莱特币近月涨 29%,半年跌 13%,交易区间 76.80-94.61 美元,阻力 103.27 美元,支撑 67.65 美元。

RSI 接近 60 显示买压,但动量指标为负且周跌 1.16%,市场谨慎。

两者均展现看涨结构,分析师认为可能接近关键吸筹阶段,或预示后续大幅上涨。

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Ray Dalio's Latest Macro Analysis Full Text: Buy More Gold, Add Some Bitcoin

In his latest macro analysis, Ray Dalio applies his framework from "How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle" to the current global debt environment. He highlights recent events like Japan selling U.S. Treasuries and rising U.S. long-term yields as signs of an unsustainable debt dynamic. Dalio explains that excessive government debt leads to either unacceptably high interest rates, severe economic downturns, or significant currency debasement through central bank money printing. He summarizes the U.S. fiscal situation: with $5.5 trillion in revenue, $7.5 trillion in spending, a $2 trillion deficit, and total debt at six times annual revenue, debt servicing costs are immense. Without correction, U.S. debt could reach $55-$60 trillion in a decade. Dalio proposes a "3% Three-Way" solution: reducing the budget deficit to 3% of GDP through balanced spending cuts, tax increases, and interest rate reductions to avoid a traumatic adjustment. In response to FAQs, he argues that the risk of a U.S. debt crisis is high and could materialize within a few years if the current path continues. He dismisses the notion that the dollar's reserve status makes the U.S. immune, citing historical precedents of reserve currency declines. He is also unconvinced by Japan's high-debt stability, noting poor returns for yen-denominated assets. For investors, Dalio recommends diversifying globally, underweighting bonds, and overweighting assets like gold and a small allocation to Bitcoin (around 10-15% to gold) to hedge against currency debasement and poor debt returns.

marsbit41 хв тому

Ray Dalio's Latest Macro Analysis Full Text: Buy More Gold, Add Some Bitcoin

marsbit41 хв тому

Stripe’s 16-Year Chronicle: From 7 Lines of Code to a $100 Billion Valuation

Stripe's 16-year journey began with a simple promise: "7 lines of code to accept payments." Founded by Patrick and John Collison, the company started by hiding the complexity of bank integrations and merchant accounts behind a clean API, initially targeting developers at startups. This early focus on user experience and technical simplicity fueled rapid adoption. A key early milestone was establishing vital bank partnerships, a challenge overcome by hiring Billy Alvarado, who brought crucial institutional relationship skills. From this foundation, Stripe systematically expanded its product boundaries. It launched Connect for platform payments, Atlas for company formation, Radar for fraud prevention, and Billing for subscriptions. This transformed Stripe from a payment processor into a broader financial infrastructure suite for internet businesses. The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated growth but also led to over-hiring. A 14% layoff in 2022 marked a period of organizational correction. Subsequently, Stripe shifted its growth strategy towards strategic acquisitions to enter new domains quickly. It acquired Bridge (stablecoin infrastructure), Privy (wallet infrastructure), Metronome (usage-based billing), and agreed to buy OpenRouter (AI model routing). These moves signal Stripe's ambition to build a "programmable money system" for the emerging AI and agent-based economy, managing not just currency flows but also the measurement and pricing of computational resources like AI tokens. Internally, Stripe leverages AI agents (like "Minions") to boost engineering productivity. Despite scaling to nearly 8,000 employees and processing $1.9 trillion in payment volume annually, the company remains private. A recent employee tender offer valued it at $159 billion. The core question for Stripe's future is whether it can successfully integrate its expanding product matrix—spanning payments, crypto, and AI infrastructure—into a cohesive platform, positioning itself as the foundational economic layer for autonomous software agents.

marsbit1 год тому

Stripe’s 16-Year Chronicle: From 7 Lines of Code to a $100 Billion Valuation

marsbit1 год тому

Treasury Secretary's Move to Suppress Treasury Yields Ignites 'Currency Debasement Trade'! Gold Hits Three-Month High, Bitcoin Surges Over 25% in a Single Week

US Treasury Secretary Besant's efforts to lower long-term Treasury yields by announcing expanded buybacks had only a brief market impact. However, this move fueled a "currency devaluation trade," weakening the US dollar while boosting both gold (to a three-month high) and Bitcoin (up over 25% for the week). Analysts attribute this reaction to deepening market concerns over the massive US fiscal deficit and structural pressures keeping long-term rates elevated, including fierce competition for capital from global government borrowing and massive AI sector financing. Despite the Treasury's actions, fundamental forces like growth, inflation, and capital demand are seen as limiting its ability to sustainably suppress yields. Bitcoin's strong positive correlation with gold has reinforced its narrative as a hedge against devaluation. While equity markets have shown resilience, some strategists warn that Treasury yields nearing 5% increase pressure on the dollar and high-leverage assets. Figures like Ray Dalio have advised reducing bond exposure in favor of gold and some Bitcoin, citing US debt risks. Market opinions are divided on the sustainability of the devaluation trade, with some noting the lack of a near-term catalyst for its next leg higher. The underlying tension between the Treasury's desire for lower borrowing costs and the Federal Reserve's focus on inflation and reducing market intervention remains a key theme. Upcoming events like Nvidia's earnings and the Jackson Hole symposium will test whether AI profits can continue supporting stocks and if the Fed aligns more with Washington's preference for easier financial conditions.

华尔街日报3 год тому

Treasury Secretary's Move to Suppress Treasury Yields Ignites 'Currency Debasement Trade'! Gold Hits Three-Month High, Bitcoin Surges Over 25% in a Single Week

华尔街日报3 год тому

Alexander Shokhin: Business Needs an Interest Rate Below 10% and the Dollar at 90-95 Rubles

Alexander Shokhin, head of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs (RSPP), has advocated for potentially using "non-market" tools to keep the ruble within a target exchange rate corridor. This, he argues on August 21, would help avoid excessive volatility, though he called the topic a separate discussion. Shokhin had previously raised the idea of a currency corridor in late May, noting the ruble's current exchange rate is not fully market-driven due to a limited currency segment and reduced foreign currency demand. He stated that many business community colleagues propose fixing a corridor, even through non-market methods, to ensure predictability. The business community's key targets, as outlined by Shokhin in late December 2025, are a Central Bank key rate of 12%, inflation of 4–5%, and a US dollar exchange rate of 90–95 rubles by the end of 2026. A turning point for investment, he said, would be lowering the rate to 12% with 6% inflation, though truly comfortable business conditions would require a rate below 10%. He stressed the critical importance of currency predictability for corporate investment decisions. From a data analysis perspective, the idea of a ruble corridor is not new. A similar mechanism was used in Russia from 1995 to 1998, where the central bank held the dollar within fixed boundaries through regular interventions. This regime lasted three years before ending abruptly during the 1998 default, illustrating the fragility of rigid targets under external shocks. The macro-economic link is clear: stricter corridors require more reserves to defend against currency pressure. The key unresolved technical aspect is the specific sources and volume of such interventions given the current market's limited liquidity. Whether this discussion remains theoretical or leads to concrete corridor parameters will be seen in the coming months.

cryptonews.ru4 год тому

Alexander Shokhin: Business Needs an Interest Rate Below 10% and the Dollar at 90-95 Rubles

cryptonews.ru4 год тому

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