从 Libra 丑闻到 Solana 失血,Jupiter 多策略布局能否挽回市场信心?

Foresight NewsОпубліковано о 2025-03-05Востаннє оновлено о 2025-03-05

Анотація

Jupiter 近期正通过生态扩张、代币回购计划、产品迭代等多项策略,试图向外界释放逆风突围的信号。

撰文:Nancy,PANews

当下,Solana 生态正经历一场由 Libra 发币丑闻触发的「失血」危机,流动性流失与市场信心的双重打击令生态内部挑战加剧。作为 Solana 生态的明星项目,Jupiter 凭借超高的流动性占比一度扮演核心角色,但 Libra 丑闻的牵连叠加生态整体危机令其深陷泥潭。尽管如此,Jupiter 近期正通过生态扩张、代币回购计划、产品迭代等多项策略,试图向外界释放逆风突围的信号。

交易引擎减速?Jupiter 多项数据仍占据 Solana 生态优势

Jupiter 曾以强劲的市场号召力驱动 Solana 生态繁荣,但 Solana 生态信心危机令其交易引擎减速,难以独善其身。

Artemis 数据显示,Jupiter 的日交易量在今年 1 月中旬攀至历史峰值 29 亿美元。然而,随后交易活跃度呈现逐渐下滑趋势。截至 3 月 3 日日交易量回落至 12 亿美元,较峰值骤降 58.6%。

日活跃地址数的变化同样揭示了社区参与度的衰退。今年 1 月 20 日,Jupiter 活跃地址数创下 120 万个新高,凸显了其彼时的用户参与热潮。然而,截至 3 月 3 日,这一数字已锐减至 39.4 万个,跌幅高达 67.2%。活跃地址的锐减不仅指向交易活跃度的放缓,也暗示用户对 Jupiter 乃至 Solana 生态的信心受到冲击。不过,Solana 整体日活跃地址也在同期下降约 48.1%,也表明 Jupiter 的下滑与生态大环境同步。

交易活跃度的减弱直接波及 Jupiter 的收入表现。Artemis 数据显示,其聚合器日收入从峰值 130 万美元下降 83.3%,截至 3 月 3 日仅为 21.6 万美元。这一收入端的疲软也反映了 Jupiter 在当前市场环境下的脆弱性。

尽管交易活跃度和收入承压,Jupiter 在 Solana 生态中的权重仍展现出一定韧性。Artemis 数据显示,Jupiter 日交易量占 Solana 整体的 11.6%,较 1 月峰值时的 10.4% 略有提升。但 Jupiter 日活跃地址数占比较峰值下降 36.5%,截至 3 月 3 日占 Solana 整体的 9.4%。

而从生态排名来看,根据 Artemis 数据显示,自 2025 年以来,Jupiter 以 2.6 亿美元的日交易量稳居 Solana 生态第二,仅次于 Raydium;日活跃地址数则以 57.2 万个稳居第三;Gas 费消耗量贡献了 4570 万美元,位居第二。这些数据也表明,Jupiter 仍维持着 Solana 核心流动性支柱的角色,但影响力有所缩减。

此外,官网显示,JUP 的总质押量数超 5.8 亿枚,占流通量的 21.5% 以上,这也反映出社区对 JUP DAO 治理的持续参与,或为代币提供短期抛压缓冲。

从信任危机到长期主义,Jupiter 多线布局挽信心

Libra 丑闻是 Jupiter 陷入泥潭的导火索。今年 2 月的 LIbra 内幕交易风波中,Libra 在 Meteora 上创建流动性池,而 Jupiter 因 Meow 的双重身份(Meteora 联合创始人)被指联手 Meteora 作恶。虽然事后 Meteora 联创 Ben 辞职,且 Jupiter 回应未以任何形式参与 Libra 发行,表示未发现团队成员有抢筹行为,但并未让 Jupiter 摆脱声誉危机,其代币 JUP 也一度下跌。

「我们谈论着加密是未来,但在现实中,往往表现出对长期主义和结果负责的意愿严重不足。有一件事是确定的:我们相信自己在做的事情,相信为长期结果负责,相信加密行业在未来会真正改变世界,哪怕短期波动再剧烈也无妨。」近期 Meow 发文表示。

面对 Solana 生态减速和 Libra 风波,Jupiter 以多元策略应对,近一段时间其宣布收购扩张、代币经济调整和透明治理等多线布局,力图挽回市场信任。

在生态扩张上,Jupiter 在过去一年中进行了多项招聘和收购,包括近几个月收购了 Sonarwatch 和 Moonshot 多数股权等,目前仍正进行两项未公布的收购,以增强团队及三大支柱平台 Jup.ag、Jupiverse 和 Jupnet 的能力。收购资金将由国库支付。

在代币价值赋能上,近期 Jupiter 宣布由独立第三方对创始人、Jupiter 财政部、Meteora 财政部和 JUP 代币进行全面审计;同时,Jupiter 成立 Litterbox Trust,该信托由独立第三方管理,已开始运作,未来两年将接收协议 50% 的收入,用于策略性积累 JUP,旨在增强代币长期稳定性。官方称,此举不涉及近期收益,而是为生态和社区的长期发展布局。Artemis 数据显示,截至 3 月 3 月,Jupiter 自 2 月 17 日以来已回购价值 1080 万美元的 JUP。

不仅如此,Meow 近期提出来「2030 提案」,计划将其 2.8 亿枚个人 JUP 代币用于团队激励,并在 2030 年获得 5 亿枚 JUP 作为补偿,该提案仍需社区投票决定。且 Jupiter 还在近期宣布推出「GOAT 框架」,旨在通过四大核心维度——治理(包括 30% 供应量销毁、「Jupuary」活动及工作组预算调整等多项关键决策)、有机性(强调拒绝幕后交易、KOL 推广或市场操纵)、一致性(协同持有者、社区和团队利益)和透明性(三次代币审计、多签钱包公开及大额流动记录),将 JUP 打造成加密行业的最佳代币,确立其作为长期代币的地位。

此外,Jupiter 还最新公布了 2030 团队战略,将在未来 5 年专注去中心化流动性平台、全球社区扩展和 Jupnet 生态,并计划在未来 3 年为新团队成员分配 2.8 亿枚 JUP(目前初创团队还持有 14 亿枚 JUP),但资金来源需社区决策,主要有两种方案供选择:一是使用战略储备拨款,2025 年 7 月起解锁,无需社区投票;二是由 Meow 个人持仓支付,2030 年向战略储备回收,并申请额外 2.2 亿枚 JUP 作为激励(DAO 可调整)。

在产品迭代上,Jupiter 与 ApePro 合并并更名为 Jup Trenches,可提供包括双帐户类型、私钥导出、实时数据等功能,以及去年推出的 Jupiter Mobile 也将进行重大更新。

总的来说,尽管交易引擎减速令 Jupiter 短期内承压,但其 Solana 生态核心支柱的地位未失,未来能否凭借多元策略布局以及 Solana 回暖实现生态止血乃至正向增长,仍需时间验证。

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