Pendle周报概览：ARB奖励倒计时、BTC高APY机会及YT-MNT收益分析

区块律动Опубліковано о 2004-09-24Востаннє оновлено о 2024-09-04

#Pendle #ARB STIP #ETH/USDC #BTC 持有者 #eBTC APY

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Overturning the Mainstream Approach to Hallucinations: Metacognition is the New Solution for Large Models to Break the Hallucination Barrier

This paper, "Hallucinations Undermine Trust; Metacognition is a Way Forward," proposes a paradigm shift in combating AI hallucination. It argues that the current mainstream approaches—striving for omniscience by scaling data/models or having AI abstain from uncertain answers—are fundamentally flawed. The former has inevitable knowledge gaps, while the latter imposes a crippling "utility tax," requiring the rejection of many correct answers to achieve high accuracy, due to models' poor "discrimination" (the ability to distinguish correct from incorrect answers internally). The core contribution is redefining hallucination not as "being wrong," but as "expressing false information with unwarranted certainty." The proposed solution is **Faithful Uncertainty** or **Metacognition**: enabling AI to accurately perceive its internal uncertainty and honestly express it in its language (e.g., using hedging phrases when unsure). This creates a more reliable assistant that provides useful information while signaling its confidence, minimizing harm from errors. The paper emphasizes that metacognition is critical for the era of AI Agents. Without it, Agents cannot intelligently decide when to use tools like search engines, leading to inefficiency and misuse. Key implementation challenges are highlighted: the "bootstrapping paradox" of training with static uncertainty data, the "alignment distortion signal" where human preference training suppresses internal uncertainty cues, and the difficulty of causally evaluating true metacognition vs. its superficial imitation. The paper concludes that the goal should not be an infallible AI, but one that is honest about the limits of its knowledge, thereby building user trust through transparent communication of its certainty.

marsbitЩойно

Overturning the Mainstream Approach to Hallucinations: Metacognition is the New Solution for Large Models to Break the Hallucination Barrier

marsbitЩойно

Hedge by Buying Gold and Oil, Chase Soaring Returns with AI. ‘Dated’ Bitcoin Enters a Bear Market

Bitcoin has recently declined, hitting a two-month low near $66,123, while Ethereum fell to a three-month low around $1,837. Analysts suggest the drop is not merely due to factors like ETF outflows or MicroStrategy's selling but reflects a deeper issue: Bitcoin is losing a broader asset competition. In a near-zero interest rate environment, Bitcoin previously thrived as an outlet for investor dissatisfaction with inflation and limited options. However, the market landscape has shifted. Bitcoin now occupies an "awkward middle ground," facing competition on three fronts. For inflation hedging, investors prefer gold, energy stocks, and commodity producers—assets with tangible backing and clearer pricing power. For growth exposure, AI-related companies with actual revenues and profits are more attractive. Even within crypto, investors can choose stablecoins, exchanges, or infrastructure firms tied directly to adoption, offering clearer business models and leverage. Thus, Bitcoin is no longer the top choice for hedging, growth, or crypto exposure. This shift is evident in market reactions: despite recent warnings about persistent inflation from a Fed official, Bitcoin did not rally as it might have in the past. Instead, capital flowed to assets with direct commodity or energy exposure. The recent ETF outflows and MicroStrategy sales are symptoms, not causes, of this new reality. Investors are becoming more selective, demanding clearer value propositions beyond mere scarcity. The emerging bear case for Bitcoin is not about it being a bubble or failed technology, but that scarcity alone is no longer sufficient.

华尔街日报3 хв тому

Hedge by Buying Gold and Oil, Chase Soaring Returns with AI. ‘Dated’ Bitcoin Enters a Bear Market

华尔街日报3 хв тому

Missed the AI Stock Surge, What to Do Now?

The article addresses investor anxiety over having missed the explosive, multi-year rally in AI stocks (e.g., NVIDIA, Micron, SK Hynix) across global markets. It notes that despite the broad bull run, data shows most retail investors lost money in 2025, and even major institutions like Bridgewater and Berkshire Hathaway significantly reduced holdings or held excessive cash, thereby missing substantial gains. The piece highlights common pitfalls: panic selling during corrections, misdirected investments into underperforming AI verticals, and premature profit-taking. It argues that AI represents a foundational, long-term technological shift comparable to electricity or the internet, implying the opportunity is not over. Citing figures like Jack Ma and Ma Huateng, the article suggests the AI wave is just beginning, with vast potential across the entire产业链, from infrastructure to applications. The conclusion advises against chasing trends blindly. Instead, it recommends a disciplined, long-term approach—focusing on one's own strengths within the expansive AI ecosystem to prepare for the next structural opportunities.

marsbit24 хв тому

Missed the AI Stock Surge, What to Do Now?

marsbit24 хв тому

Why Are XRP ETF Inflows Growing While Bitcoin And Ethereum Are Bleeding?

On-chain data reveals a divergence in crypto ETF flows: XRP-focused funds are attracting steady inflows while Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs are experiencing sustained outflows. Since May 20, U.S.-listed XRP ETFs have seen approximately $35 million in inflows, extending a streak of 17 consecutive days without outflows. In stark contrast, Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have faced combined outflows nearing $2 billion over the same period, with Bitcoin funds now in their 11th straight day of withdrawals. Analyst CryptoKrali suggests this shift indicates institutional capital is becoming more selective, favoring XRP due to narratives around regulatory positioning and potential treasury demand, despite XRP's price remaining muted and falling over 6% in the past week. The trend highlights a move away from broad market-cap investments toward specific asset narratives.

bitcoinist1 год тому

Why Are XRP ETF Inflows Growing While Bitcoin And Ethereum Are Bleeding?

bitcoinist1 год тому

Bitcoin’s On-Chain Landscape Looks Far Different From Its 2021 Bull Market Peak

Bitcoin's on-chain activity has significantly declined compared to its 2021 bull market peak, with current daily active addresses and new wallet creations down roughly 44% and 43% respectively. Data indicates the network is attracting fewer new participants and generating less transactional activity. Key drivers for this shift include the rise of Spot ETFs and institutional investment vehicles, which allow Bitcoin exposure without direct on-chain interaction, and a trend of long-term holders becoming more passive. Despite lower on-chain metrics, Bitcoin's price remains elevated, and the decline is not necessarily bearish, as volatility typically drives network activity. Current price action shows a recent increase alongside a significant surge in trading volume.

bitcoinist2 год тому

Bitcoin’s On-Chain Landscape Looks Far Different From Its 2021 Bull Market Peak

bitcoinist2 год тому

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