24H Hot Posts Overview: TA Made 100K U by 'Shorting Eggs' on Prediction Markets!

比推Опубліковано о 2026-02-27Востаннє оновлено о 2026-02-27

Анотація

This 24-hour roundup covers key discussions from crypto influencers. One trader reportedly earned $100K by consistently shorting egg futures on Polymarket, with commentators highlighting the importance of discipline and market-specific expertise over complex models. In regulatory news, ZachXBT exposed alleged insider trading at Axiom exchange, sparking warnings about the risks of centralized platforms and comparisons of crypto to "online Myanmar." A technical thread detailed arbitrage strategies between Kalshi and Polymarket, including common pitfalls. Another topic explored the experimental use of AI trading bots, with mixed results. (Note: All content represents personal opinions from X platform and not investment advice.)

Dear readers, hello~

What have crypto KOLs been talking about in the past 24 hours?

Note: The following content is compiled from the X platform, represents personal opinions, does not represent the stance of this platform, and does not constitute investment advice.

Made 100K U by 'Shorting Eggs Every Month' on Polymarket!

Hot Replies:

People who focus on one category are more sensitive to pricing deviations in this market than anyone else; this is the real edge, not some complex model;

The volatility of eggs is indeed outrageous, but the most impressive part is that they consistently short it every month. If it were me, I probably would have been shaken out by the weekly fluctuations long ago—discipline is the core skill.

This is hedging in a strongly correlated industry, right? Every trade has its master;

Egg futures are just bizarre. The domestic egg futures market has been manipulated by a few people because the market cap is too small.

Zach's Hammer Falls: Insider Trading at Axiom Exchange

Hot Replies:

Suggest everyone not be too quick to kick them while they're down. For centralized custodial services, users' private keys and funds are in the hands of the project team. Push them too hard, and they might just pull the plug and run.

Institutions manipulate Bitcoin, exchanges engage in insider trading, project teams pump and dump... Nothing is surprising in the crypto world, which is famously called the 'Online Northern Myanmar'.

Common Pitfalls and Experience in Kalshi vs. Polymarket Arbitrage (Technical干货)

Experience post link:https://x.com/mirrorzk/status/2023303202196570420

Letting AI Bots/Agents Trade Crypto for You: How Did It Go?

Twitter:https://twitter.com/BitpushNewsCN

BitPush TG Discussion Group:https://t.me/BitPushCommunity

BitPush TG Subscription: https://t.me/bitpush

Original link:https://www.bitpush.news/articles/7614958

Пов'язані питання

QWhat strategy did the trader use to earn 100,000 USDT on Polymarket?

AThe trader consistently shorted eggs on the prediction market, capitalizing on pricing inefficiencies and high volatility in the egg market.

QAccording to the article, what is considered the real 'edge' in prediction markets?

AThe real edge is having deep knowledge and sensitivity to pricing deviations in a specific category, rather than relying on complex models.

QWhat major issue was exposed involving Axiom Exchange?

AAxiom Exchange was involved in an insider trading scandal, as highlighted by Zach's investigation.

QWhat platform comparison is discussed for arbitrage opportunities in the article?

AThe article discusses arbitrage between Kalshi and Polymarket, including common pitfalls and technical insights.

QWhat caution is advised regarding centralized exchanges in the context of the Axiom scandal?

AUsers are cautioned against provoking centralized exchanges, as they control private keys and funds, and might disconnect services or exit scam if pressured.

Пов'язані матеріали

Michael Saylor Claims It Has Become Impossible to Implement the Bitcoin Update He Opposed!

Michael Saylor stated that it has become mathematically impossible for BIP-110 to achieve its required 55% voluntary support threshold within the current Bitcoin mining difficulty adjustment cycle. According to his analysis of 946 blocks generated up to block 960,561, only 24 blocks included a version field signal supporting BIP-110. Saylor noted that all these signaling blocks were mined by DATUM miners sharing rewards through the OCEAN pool, with no supporting signals from miners outside OCEAN. He concluded that BIP-110 will not reach the 55% level in this cycle and argued the current signals do not represent a broad miner consensus. BIP-110 is a proposal aimed at making it harder to embed large non-financial data, like images or text, into the Bitcoin blockchain, promoting a view that Bitcoin should be used primarily for monetary transactions. Saylor opposes this, arguing the Bitcoin network should not arbitrate which transactions are necessary and that rules should not change based on the preferences of a few. He also contends that high support metrics may be inflated by automated signaling software rather than reflecting genuine miner support.

cryptonews.ru36 хв тому

Michael Saylor Claims It Has Become Impossible to Implement the Bitcoin Update He Opposed!

cryptonews.ru36 хв тому

Within Strategy's Framework, STRC's Dividend Yield Remains at 12% as Share Price Stays Below Par Value

Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of Strategy (MSTR), confirmed that the dividend rate for its STRC perpetual preferred shares will remain at 12.00% through August 2026. The rate has increased from 9% at its July 2025 launch to the current high via a "ratchet" mechanism, which permanently raises the rate by 0.5% whenever the share price falls below $95. This mechanism is intended to push the price back toward its $100 par value and support Strategy's "at-the-market" (ATM) program for issuing new shares to fund Bitcoin purchases. However, the mechanism has not worked as intended. STRC shares closed at $89.46 on July 31, remaining about 10-11% below par value despite the record-high dividend. Competition from rival Strive's higher-yielding SATA securities has pressured demand. The persistent discount has forced Strategy to suspend new STRC issuances via its ATM program, limiting this funding channel for Bitcoin acquisitions. STRC's struggles reflect Bitcoin's own volatility, as the preferred shares historically move in tandem. Analysts have warned the ratchet structure carries long-term, one-way risk. A law firm is investigating Strategy's ability to maintain dividend payments if Bitcoin's price stays low. Retail investors own roughly 83% of outstanding STRC shares, a group seen as prone to panic selling during downturns. In response, Strategy has established financial reserves, including a liquidity cushion covering about 26 months of dividend/interest obligations, and a $2 billion share buyback program alongside a Bitcoin monetization framework, though the company emphasized it is not obligated to sell any Bitcoin.

cryptonews.ru38 хв тому

Within Strategy's Framework, STRC's Dividend Yield Remains at 12% as Share Price Stays Below Par Value

cryptonews.ru38 хв тому

Analyst: Bitcoin's Price Will Drop to $60k in August, Then Rebound to $70k

Financial analyst Andrey Poroshin has provided a new forecast for Bitcoin's price dynamics in August. Poroshin, an analyst at the Bitbanker exchange, expects the cryptocurrency market to experience a downturn this month, with prices retesting the $60,000 level due to a lack of supportive macroeconomic catalysts. He noted that the recent US Federal Reserve decision to hold interest rates did not significantly impact the market, while inflation remains above the 2% target. Poroshin stated that Bitcoin is ending July under pressure from moderate volatility and a lack of new macroeconomic stimuli, leading to continued market caution. According to his base scenario, Bitcoin will drop to a range of $60,000 to $62,000 before recovering to $70,000. He pointed out that even $70,000 remains below the cost of mining in the US, which has prompted some miners to shift towards AI data center operations. Poroshin cited the winding down of BitMEX's operations as a potential catalyst for a price rebound, suggesting the exit of weaker players often coincides with market reversals and reduced short-term selling pressure. He believes Bitcoin is currently less susceptible to geopolitical shocks, such as the Iran-US conflict, and does not expect significant market changes in August related to the pending CLARITY Act. Looking ahead, Poroshin forecasts that September will bring more active price fluctuations driven by potential Fed rate decisions and possible discussions or approval of the CLARITY Act.

cryptonews.ru38 хв тому

Analyst: Bitcoin's Price Will Drop to $60k in August, Then Rebound to $70k

cryptonews.ru38 хв тому

Following the Coldcard Hack, One of the Largest Bitcoin Wallet Hacks Recently, a New Wave of Losses Begins! Losses Are Mounting

Following a major hack targeting Coldcard hardware wallets, losses have surged to approximately 1,367 BTC ($88.6 million) across 4,585 addresses. The third wave of attacks stole an additional 207.7 BTC, exhibiting different patterns from the first two. While initial attacks used shared deposit addresses and targeted P2WPKH wallets, the latest wave employed unique recipient addresses per victim and focused on P2WSH addresses. Analysis by Galaxy Research cannot definitively link all three waves to the same attacker, raising the possibility of a second actor exploiting the known vulnerability. The stolen funds, predominantly from wallets holding under 1 BTC, remain unspent. The vulnerable Coldcard firmware was released in March 2021, and all stolen coins originate from after that date.

cryptonews.ru1 год тому

Following the Coldcard Hack, One of the Largest Bitcoin Wallet Hacks Recently, a New Wave of Losses Begins! Losses Are Mounting

cryptonews.ru1 год тому

Trump Media sells another 2,628 BTC, holdings fall to 4,261 BTC

Trump Media & Technology Group has sold an additional 2,628 Bitcoin (worth approximately $165 million), continuing a series of sales over the past seven months. According to blockchain data from Arkham cited by Lookonchain, these latest transfers to Crypto.com bring the company's total reported Bitcoin sales to 7,281 BTC (worth about $545 million), reducing its holdings by 63%. The company's remaining Bitcoin holdings now stand at 4,261 BTC, valued at $269.8 million. Trump Media initially purchased 11,542 BTC at an average price of $118,522 before beginning the sales. This activity occurs amid broader scrutiny of crypto ventures linked to former President Donald Trump, as lawmakers debate the CLARITY Act, which focuses on ethics rules, digital asset ownership, and potential conflicts of interest for public officials.

cointelegraph2 год тому

Trump Media sells another 2,628 BTC, holdings fall to 4,261 BTC

cointelegraph2 год тому

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