VC 说|聚焦特朗普比特币大会演讲、Velocity 解构加密产业链、ArkStream 复盘 ZKP 技术的四十年...

chainfeedОпубліковано о 2024-07-31Востаннє оновлено о 2024-08-12

📖 加密 VC 说【08/01 目录】

💬 一、加密 VC 们在谈论些什么?

话题 1:特朗普比特币大会演讲(無為資本/Pantera Capital/Paradigm/DeFiance Capital/1confirmation/Delphi Digital/Multicoin Capital/Placeholder/ABCDE/Generative Ventures)
话题 2:Compound 治理攻击(DeFiance Capital/Dragonfly/Pantera Capital)

💡 二、加密 VC 们近期发表什么研究产出?

1️⃣ 剖析区块链行业价值链:各类应用有何发展趋势?(Velocity Capital)
2️⃣ 探讨基于意图的协议对自动做市商流动性的影响 (Variant Fund)
3️⃣ 同质化 AI 基础设施的出路在哪儿?(IOSG Venturesi)
4️⃣ 零知识证明四十年技术发展里程碑 (ArkStream Capital)
5️⃣ 开启回购分红、安全模块升级:深入解读 Aave 新经济模型(Mint Ventures)
6️⃣ Eclipse:集 Solana、以太坊和 Celestia 大成者(Placeholder)

📢 三、一级市场重要融资一览(07/22-07/28)

过去一周公开的融资事件共 24 起,融资金额超 2.20 亿美元(Block Mining/NPC Labs/Caldera/Bitlayer Labs/Igloo/aPriori/Mezo/OpenSocial Protocol/DAOBase/Network3/Redpill/Roxom/Kintsu/Panda Titan/Etherfuse/LayerPixel/Kuru/Multiple Network/STIX/Assisterr/BitFi/RiskLayer/Yup/Zircuit)


1/ 加密 VC 们在谈论些什么?

话题 1:特朗普比特币大会演讲

背景:美国总统候选人唐纳德·特朗普于 7 月 28 日出席 2024 年纳什维尔比特币大会,提出了解雇 Gary Gensler、组建「比特币/加密总统咨询委员会」、将比特币作为国家战略储备等一系列措施,旨在促进美国成为全球加密货币中心。

0xTodd(無為資本):特朗普今天在 Bitcoin2024 上讲话,掌声雷动,欢呼倒海,我看了完整视频,大概做了一些总结。

政策相关:

  1. 如果当选,上任第一天就会炒了Gary Gensler!

  2. 未来会组建「比特币/加密总统咨询委员会」,以制定清晰、友好的加密监管政策。

  3. 目前美国拥有 20w+ 枚比特币,总供应量的 1%,这些以后绝对不会卖掉(主要通过各种执法行动缴获) PS:格局远超德国同行,甚至隐约期待更多加密罪犯能被美国抓了?

  4. 这些美国持有的比特币会成为战略国家比特币储备之一。PS:尽管没有像 RFK JR 那样激进地表示美国会买入比特币,但是这也很厉害了,川普在历任总统里属于比较重视选前承诺的。

  5. 绝不会推行央行数字货币(CBDC)。

  6. 而是转而大力支持美金稳定币以巩固美元霸权地位。PS:我认为如果 USDC 甚至 USDT 得到了未来美国总统的背书,变得更加合法和合规,世界上参与加密货币的人会多很多,因为这可是入金的重要渠道。

  7. 要为美国创造更多的比特币/加密工作岗位,让他们停止离开美国。PS:里斯本、新加坡、巴哈马、香港、迪拜、泰国:缓缓打出一个问号。

比特币观点相关:

  1. 他会让美国和比特币一起变得更加伟大

  2. 美国要成为加密资本之都和加密超级大国。

  3. 美国要引领比特币去往月球。

  4. 加密行业就是100年前的钢铁行业。

  5. 加密市值已经超过白银,希望有一天超过黄金。

  6. 比特币是合作和人类成就的奇迹。

  7. 比特币是自由的(而他支持自由) 。PS:之前V神认为不能仅仅因为某人是加密支持者就支持它当总统。但是如果川普真正理解的「比特币是自由」的本质,我个人认为他已经值得。

  8. 很多人没有不够重视通胀,但是 Bitcoiner 很敏感。(来源

🌕 BTC Toda Moon 派

Dan Morehead(Pantera Capital):当我第一次关注比特币时,整个市值是 40 亿美元。上涨的空间似乎可以高出几个数量级,而下跌的空间却非常小。这是我见过的最不对称的交易。我仍然相信,这是一场长达数十年的变革,还有很长的路要走。【原文为英文】(来源

Matt Huang(Paradigm):想象一下,2008 年,中本聪正要发表一份 9 页的白皮书……而不到二十年后,一位主要的总统候选人正在谈论美国将比特币作为「战略储备」。【原文为英文】(来源

Arthur(DeFiance Capital):在 15 年的时间里,我们共同将一场神奇的互联网货币和网络朋克运动推向了最主流的舞台,并得到了地球上最强大、最伟大国家的主要总统候选人的认可。看到一个植根于坚实原则和基础的想法能走多远是件令人振奋的事。一旦美国开始领导这一进程,其他国家也不会甘于落后。【原文为英文】(来源

Nick Tomaino(1confirmation):2024 年将是美国最火的加密货币大选年。

  • Polymarket 交易量年增长率超过 37 亿美元;

  • 政治 Memecoin 总市值超过 10 亿美元

  • 候选人承诺让财政部购买 2720 亿美元以上的 BTC。【原文为英文】(来源

Luke Saunders(Delphi Digital):我一直认为加密货币有两个终局:1)主要国家使用比特币作为储备资产;2)非加密货币公司使用代币作为主要的价值获取资产。有史以来第一次,两者都近在眼前。【原文为英文】(来源

Tushar Jain(Multicoin Capital):比特币作为美国战略储备资产势必将引发国家级别的 FOMO。我预计,更灵活的主权财富基金会试图领跑。【原文为英文】(来源

Chris Burniske(Placeholder):Musk + Trump = $DOGE + $BTC。【原文为英文】(来源

🤔 人间清醒派

Du Jun(ABCDE):很乐意看到各国政府支持比特币,无论是通过 ETF,还是将比特币纳入到国家储备货币中等等措施,但是一些人将加密货币行业的未来寄托于现实世界的政客,我觉得本末倒置,不是比特币需要他们,是政客需要比特币。中本聪发明比特币可不是为了讨好政客的。(来源

Will Wang(Generative Ventures):特朗普的话听听就好,只有 BTC Holder 团结和多到可以明确所有选举并惩罚不履行承诺的政客时,他的话才值得和他一条一条过下。继续努力!Mass Adoption。(来源

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话题 2:Compound 治理攻击

背景:曾经对 Balancer 实施了治理攻击的巨鲸 Humpy 再次对 Compound 发起治理攻击,通过囤积大量代币通过相关提案,将 2500 万美元从 Compound 金库中直接存入其自己的 goldCOMP 金库。

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After Losing 97% of Its Market Value, iQiyi Attempts to Use AI to Forcefully Extend Its Lifespan

After losing 97% of its market value since its 2018 peak, iQiyi is aggressively pivoting to AI in a desperate attempt to survive. At its 2026 World Conference, CEO Gong Yu announced an "AI Artist Library" with over 100 virtual performers and a new AIGC platform, "NaDou Pro," promising faster production and lower costs. This shift comes as the company faces severe financial distress: its market cap sits near delisting thresholds at $1.36 billion, with significant losses, declining membership revenue, and depleted cash flow. The AI strategy has sparked controversy. Top actors have issued legal threats against unauthorized digital replicas, while in Hengdian, over 134,000 background actors are seeing their already scarce job opportunities vanish as AI replaces them for background roles. iQiyi's move represents a fundamental shift from being a high-cost content buyer to a landlord" to becoming a "platform capitalist" that transfers production risk to creators. This contrasts with competitors like Douyin (TikTok's Chinese counterpart), which is investing heavily in *real* actor-led short dramas, betting that authentic human connection retains users better than AI-generated content. The article draws a parallel to the 1920s transition to "talkies," which made cinema musicians obsolete but ultimately enriched the art form. In contrast, iQiyi's AI drive is framed not as an artistic evolution but as a cost-cutting measure that could degrade storytelling, replacing genuine human emotion with algorithmically calculated stimulation and potentially numbing audiences' capacity for empathy. The core question remains: can a company focused solely on financial survival preserve the art of storytelling?

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Only a 50% Chance of Passing This Year, Can the CLARITY Bill Succeed Before the Midterm Elections?

The CLARITY Act, which passed the House in July 2025 with strong bipartisan support (294-134), faces a critical juncture in the Senate. The Senate Banking Committee is expected to hold a markup soon, but key issues remain unresolved, including stablecoin yield provisions, DeFi regulations, and securing full Republican committee support. Other contentious points involve the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act (BRCA), ethics amendments for government officials, and SEC-related matters. The legislative calendar is tight, with limited time before the midterm elections. If the committee markup is delayed beyond mid-May, the chances of passage in 2026 drop significantly. Senator Cynthia Lummis has warned that failure this year could delay comprehensive crypto market structure legislation until 2030 or later. Galaxy estimates the probability of the CLARITY Act becoming law in 2026 is only about 50%. The bill provides crucial regulatory clarity by defining jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and CFTC, establishing a path for decentralization, and bringing digital commodity intermediaries under federal regulation. Its passage is seen as vital before potential power shifts in the next Congress, which could bring less favorable leadership to key committees. The timeline is compressed, and the bill must compete for floor time with other priorities like Iran authorization and DHS appropriations. Key hurdles include finalizing the stablecoin yield compromise text, addressing law enforcement concerns about BRCA, and navigating political dynamics around SEC nominations. The outcome of the Banking Committee markup and the level of bipartisan support will be critical indicators of its future success.

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Fu Peng, Chief Economist at New Huo Group, discusses the integration of crypto assets into traditional finance, marking a shift from a speculative phase to institutionalization. He highlights the current era as the second major fusion of finance and technology, driven by AI, data, and computing power, with crypto assets becoming part of the FICC+C (Fixed Income, Currencies, Commodities + Crypto) framework. Regulatory clarity in the U.S., such as the GENIUS and Clarity Acts, has paved the way for institutional adoption by defining digital assets as financial instruments. Fu views RWA (Real World Assets) as a tool for asset tokenization rather than a standalone asset class, noting that financial innovation differs between Eastern and Western markets due to cultural approaches to risk and regulation. He emphasizes that stablecoins are essential for future finance, but Asian markets, including Hong Kong, will adopt them cautiously. Macro liquidity now significantly influences crypto markets, as institutional participation increases correlation with traditional assets. Fu suggests the macro-driven bear market may end by year-end, reducing the relevance of Bitcoin’s four-year cycle. For asset allocation, he recommends value-oriented AI stocks for stability, Bitcoin for moderate certainty, and Ethereum for higher volatility.

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