XRP Price Alert: The RSI Setup That Led To A 60,000% Surge Has Returned

bitcoinist2026-06-10 tarihinde yayınlandı2026-06-10 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

Amid XRP's recent sell-off to $1, market watchers note the return of a rare monthly RSI signal that previously preceded massive rallies—like the 60,000% surge in 2017. The RSI is now around 41.6, described as a deep oversold level seen only four times in 13 years. While past signals led to gains between 1,000% and 60,000%, analyst Sam Daodu cautions that those astronomical percentages started from extremely low prices and are unlikely to repeat from today's higher base. A more plausible outcome, according to the report, would be a recovery to the cycle high near $3.65—roughly a 3x move—over the next couple of years. For a move significantly beyond that, fundamental catalysts like the CLARITY Act and genuine ETF demand would be needed. Even if the bottom is in, the report suggests the full rally could take until 2027 to develop.

Amid the recent sell-off that pushed the XRP price to test the key $1 support level, a small window of optimism has started to show up again. The token is beginning to align with a rare monthly relative strength index (RSI) setup that—according to past cycles—has appeared before major, explosive rallies.

According to market expert Sam Daodu, the last three times this signal flashed—in 2017, 2020, and 2022—XRP went on to rally dramatically afterward. The gains in those periods ranged from 1,000% to 60,000%. However, there’s an important caveat: those enormous percentage outcomes started from extremely low price levels.

XRP Price Watch

Sam Daodu identified that XRP’s monthly RSI has fallen to about 41.6. In the report’s framing, that reading is not just low—it’s described as the lowest ever. The RSI level is characterized as a deep-oversold zone that XRP has only reached four times in 13 years.

In theory, oversold conditions can sometimes mark the beginning of a turn, which is why the signal has drawn attention again after the XRP price tested $1. Still, Daodu’s view includes a reality check about expectations.

While the earlier examples of significant price increases may be inspiring, they were driven by market conditions that are not easily replicated. For example, when the XRP price was under a penny in 2017, the subsequent rally carried it to $3.84 — a five-figure percentage gain.

The report argues that simply applying the same percentage-gain math to today’s higher price base would imply XRP reaching prices in the hundreds of dollars—something Daodu suggests is not realistic in the current cycle.

The Next Rally Could Stretch To 2027

So the question becomes: if the pattern “holds,” what outcome is plausible rather than fantasy? In the report’s estimate, reclaiming the $3.65 cycle high over the next year or two would be roughly a 3x move from current levels.

That kind of recovery is presented as believable, assuming broader market sentiment turns in crypto’s favor. Going substantially higher, such as $5 or beyond, is described as requiring more than just a technical bounce for the XRP price.

The report ties that possibility to fundamental catalysts, specifically noting that it would depend on the CLARITY Act passing and exchange-traded fund (ETF) demand genuinely expanding, not only RSI strength returning.

Even if the XRP price bottom is already in, the report suggests the rally that follows could take until 2027 to fully develop. It also adds that a flat price through the summer wouldn’t necessarily break the pattern, because the monthly RSI setup is designed to play out gradually over a longer timeline.

The daily chart shows XRP’s recovery to $1.13 after last week’s crash. Source: XRPUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with OpenArt; chart from TradingView.com

İlgili Sorular

QWhat is the rare technical signal that has reappeared for XRP according to the article, and what historical precedents are cited?

AThe article states that XRP is beginning to align with a rare monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) setup that has fallen to a deep-oversold zone, around 41.6. Historically, this signal appeared three times before major rallies: in 2017, 2020, and 2022, after which XRP saw gains ranging from 1,000% to 60,000%.

QWhy does market expert Sam Daodu caution against expecting a repeat of the 60,000% surge from the current price level?

ADaodu cautions that the enormous percentage gains in the past (like 60,000%) started from extremely low price levels, such as when XRP was under a penny in 2017. Applying the same percentage math to today's higher price base would imply unrealistic prices in the hundreds of dollars for the current cycle.

QWhat is presented as a more plausible price target for XRP in the next 1-2 years if the pattern holds?

AThe report estimates that a plausible outcome, if the pattern holds and broader market sentiment improves, would be for XRP to reclaim its cycle high of $3.65. This would represent roughly a 3x move from the price levels mentioned in the article.

QAccording to the article, what fundamental developments would be required for XRP to move substantially beyond the $3.65 target, such as reaching $5 or more?

AThe report states that moving substantially higher than $3.65 would require more than just a technical bounce. It would depend on fundamental catalysts, specifically the passing of the CLARITY Act and a genuine expansion in exchange-traded fund (ETF) demand.

QWhat is the suggested timeline for a potential rally to fully develop, even if the price bottom is already in?

AThe article suggests that even if the price bottom for XRP is already in, the subsequent rally could take until 2027 to fully develop. It adds that a flat price through the summer wouldn't necessarily break the pattern, as the monthly RSI setup plays out gradually over a longer timeline.

İlgili Okumalar

U.S. Tech Momentum Stocks Post Largest Single-Day Gain Ever, But Is the Plunge Over?

US tech momentum stocks staged a sharp rebound on Tuesday (July 21st). Morgan Stanley's TMT Momentum Factor surged over 12%, marking its largest single-day gain on record, exceeding even peaks from the 2000 dot-com bubble. Key momentum indices from Goldman Sachs also posted their strongest daily performances in years. The rally was led by semiconductors, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index jumping 4.6%. This rebound followed three consecutive down days and a cumulative 33% plunge in momentum stocks, one of the steepest drawdowns since the dot-com era. Analysts attribute the surge largely to a short squeeze. Heavy selling had pushed high-beta momentum stocks into deeply oversold territory, forcing many short sellers, particularly in Asia, to cover their positions, creating a self-reinforcing buying spiral. However, the rebound's internals appear weak. Trading volume was notably low, and advancing stocks still lagged decliners on the S&P 500, indicating a narrow, concentrated rally rather than broad market participation. Diverging views emerge on the outlook. BTIG warns the bounce has hit key resistance and recommends selling into strength, citing extreme volatility and historical parallels to past market tops. Conversely, Goldman Sachs and UBS believe the momentum unwind is nearing its end, suggesting it may be time to gradually add exposure, as positioning has been significantly reduced. They caution, however, that high volatility warrants a measured approach, potentially using defined-risk strategies. The upcoming earnings season, particularly reports from major tech firms like Alphabet, is seen as a critical test for the rally's sustainability. Simultaneously, bond markets flashed a warning, with yields rising partly due to spiking oil prices. Analysts note that if long-term Treasury yields break decisively higher, it could pose a significant headwind for equities, especially growth stocks.

marsbit6 dk önce

U.S. Tech Momentum Stocks Post Largest Single-Day Gain Ever, But Is the Plunge Over?

marsbit6 dk önce

U.S. Tech Momentum Stocks Record Largest Single-Day Gain Ever, but Has the Rout Ended?

U.S. tech momentum stocks staged a dramatic rebound on Tuesday, July 21st. Key momentum indices like the Morgan Stanley TMT Momentum Factor and Goldman Sachs' High Beta Momentum Long Index posted historic or near-historic single-day gains, fueled largely by semiconductor stocks. This sharp rally followed a severe three-day sell-off that saw momentum stocks plunge 33%, marking one of the steepest pullbacks since the dot-com bubble. Analysts attribute the bounce primarily to a short squeeze, as forced covering from over-leveraged traders, particularly in Asia, created a buying spiral. However, the rally's health is questioned due to weak market breadth—overall trading volume was low, and decliners outnumbered advancers in the S&P 500 despite the index's gain—suggesting a narrow, concentrated surge rather than broad recovery. Opinions on the sustainability diverge. BTIG strategists warn the rebound has hit key resistance levels, citing extreme volatility and historic stock dispersion as signs of an ongoing broader correction, and recommend selling into strength. Conversely, Goldman Sachs and UBS view the aggressive momentum unwinding as nearing its end, noting reduced positioning and a lack of new fundamental catalysts. They suggest the sell-off presents a selective opportunity to add exposure, albeit cautiously and gradually using defined-risk strategies. The immediate trajectory hinges on the ongoing earnings season, with market focus on Alphabet's capital expenditure guidance for AI investment clarity. Meanwhile, bond markets present a risk, with rising Treasury yields—potentially heading toward 5.5%—and widening credit spreads for mega-cap tech companies posing a threat to equity valuations. The combination of technical factors, earnings results, and macro conditions leaves the durability of the rebound in doubt.

链捕手8 dk önce

U.S. Tech Momentum Stocks Record Largest Single-Day Gain Ever, but Has the Rout Ended?

链捕手8 dk önce

Long-Divided Must Unite, Long-United Must Divide: When L1 Becomes Its Own Rollup, What Is Ethereum's Endgame?

"The Inevitable Cycle: When L1 Becomes Its Own Rollup – What is Ethereum's Endgame?" For years, the Ethereum community grappled with concerns that L2s were fragmenting the ecosystem and eroding L1's value. While L2s provided cheaper execution, they also splintered liquidity and the unified user experience of a single chain. This has prompted a fundamental reassessment of the relationship between L1 and L2. Ethereum's roadmap is evolving. The "Scale" initiative merges L1 and L2 expansion into a holistic framework. L1 itself is advancing with higher gas limits, statelessness, and zkEVM verification, no longer content to be just a low-throughput settlement layer. Consequently, the primary value proposition of L2s is shifting from merely providing cheap blockspace to offering L1 cannot easily provide: application-specific optimizations, privacy features, and flexible governance models. L2s are becoming a spectrum of execution environments with varying degrees of security inheritance from Ethereum. A critical challenge in this multi-chain future is interoperability. The vision is to make Ethereum "feel like one chain again." This relies on advancements in native account abstraction (like EIP-7702) and intent-based architectures (Open Intents Framework), where users declare desired outcomes, and solvers handle the complex cross-chain execution. Furthermore, shortening Ethereum's finality time from minutes to seconds is crucial, as it underpins trust between chains for bridges, stablecoins, and cross-chain applications. Perhaps the most provocative idea is that Ethereum L1 itself could become a form of "its own Rollup." As zkEVM and proof systems mature, high-performance nodes could execute transactions and generate validity proofs. Regular validators would then verify these proofs instead of re-executing all transactions. This blurs the traditional L1/L2 hierarchy, making "Rollup" more of a general execution-verification architecture. Native Rollup aims to integrate L2 validation more directly into the Ethereum protocol, allowing L2s to inherit L1's security more fully and move away from reliance on security councils. In the end, L2s are not destined to replace L1 or be made obsolete by it. The likely future is a unified system where diverse execution environments—each optimized for specific use cases like DeFi, gaming, or privacy—coexist. They will share a common foundation of security, liquidity, and verifiable state, seamlessly connected to restore a cohesive user experience. The next phase for Ethereum is not just about scaling through separation, but about intelligently reintegrating what was separated back into a coherent whole.

链捕手24 dk önce

Long-Divided Must Unite, Long-United Must Divide: When L1 Becomes Its Own Rollup, What Is Ethereum's Endgame?

链捕手24 dk önce

Agent Race Ends, Super Workbench Takes Over

The era of fragmented AI agents is ending. Over the past month, China's tech giants—Tencent, Alibaba, and ByteDance—have simultaneously shifted strategy: instead of launching new, standalone AI agents, they are consolidating their various agent projects into unified "super workbenches." Tencent integrated its QClaw teams into WorkBuddy, a strategic product hailed as a potential third flagship after QQ and WeChat. Alibaba is merging its QoderWork, Wukong, and MuleRun agents into a new "Qianwen Office" platform under DingTalk's leadership. ByteDance rebranded its TRAE SOLO coding agent to TRAE Work, signaling a broader focus on workflow collaboration. This convergence marks a pivotal industry consensus. The initial exploration phase, where companies rapidly built numerous overlapping agents for different scenarios, proved costly and inefficient. With open-source tools eroding technical barriers, competition has shifted from agent creation to resource consolidation and cost control. Historically, platform wars are won not by creating more products, but by simplifying them—as seen with browsers unifying web access and super-apps consolidating services. Now, the "super workbench" aims to become the unified AI entry point for work. This reflects a deeper market realization: the primary audience for AI is no longer just programmers (a market in the tens of millions) but all knowledge workers (a market of billions). The real opportunity lies in augmenting everyday tasks—managing emails, documents, data, and meetings—across the entire workday. The core battleground is becoming control over the primary AI entry point that employees use daily. Tencent's WorkBuddy leverages WeChat and Tencent Docs; Alibaba's Qianwen Office taps into DingTalk's organizational data; ByteDance's TRAE Work integrates with Feishu's workflows. Whoever owns this "super workbench" gains strategic control over orchestrating enterprise data and APIs. This shift is redefining enterprise software. Traditional SaaS applications, valued for their user interfaces, will recede into the background. Their core functionalities will be exposed as standardized "Skills" or APIs for the super workbench's agents to invoke. Software value will shift from selling user seats to charging based on API calls and outcomes delivered. The evolution of agents is moving through clear stages: first as novel standalone products, then as consolidated primary work entry points, and finally as pervasive, invisible capabilities embedded into the digital fabric. The recent moves by major tech firms signal the transition from the first stage into the second, accelerating toward the third. In the end, the most successful agent technology may become invisible—like electricity or the HTTP protocol—a fundamental, unnamed infrastructure powering work itself.

marsbit52 dk önce

Agent Race Ends, Super Workbench Takes Over

marsbit52 dk önce

İşlemler

Spot
活动图片