Analyst warns Bitcoin may enter ‘new redistribution phase’ – $63,700 next?
The crypto market is experiencing cooling volatility after a period of heightened tension. Bitcoin, which peaked at $73,000 amid the US-Iran conflict, is now in a corrective phase, trading around $67,174. Analysts highlight $63,700 as a critical on-chain support level; a break below could lead to further declines toward $57,000 or even $52,400. A drop to $48,700 would signal a stronger correction and challenge the medium-term bullish outlook.
Analyst Joao Wedson warns that losing key structural levels may mark the start of a "new redistribution phase." Bitcoin's current trading range ($67k–$74k) places it in a "high heat" zone, indicating a stretched market. However, long-term holders remain calm, with the Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) metric at 0.34—well below the 2.0 level typical of market tops—suggesting accumulation rather than distribution.
Short-term signals remain weak, with the MVRV Ratio near -10%, indicating unrealized losses for recent buyers. Market sentiment reflects "Extreme Fear," with a reading of 12 on the Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Upcoming geopolitical developments, particularly potential Middle East ceasefire talks, could influence Bitcoin's direction. A ceasefire may boost risk appetite, while prolonged tensions could favor traditional safe-haven assets, potentially limiting Bitcoin's upside above $70,000.
ambcrypto03/08 11:01