Ray Dalio: The Revival of a China-led 'Tribute System', and the AI Industry Will Develop Like the EV Industry
Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, discusses shifting global power dynamics and the AI competition between the U.S. and China. He argues U.S. credibility as a global power willing to fight for its interests is declining, while China is accumulating wealth and influence. Dalio observes a trend where world leaders visit China, which he compares to a modern "tribute system"—not oppressive, but a hierarchy where nations acknowledge China's strength, affecting trade and security. This shift creates market uncertainty, prompting investors to seek asset diversification, including gold.
Regarding AI, Dalio contrasts the U.S. and Chinese approaches. U.S. companies like OpenAI focus on monetization and subscriptions for revenue. In contrast, China treats AI as a public utility, akin to electricity or water, aiming for widespread worker accessibility over immediate profitability. He draws a parallel to China's electric vehicle industry success, where companies like BYD achieved rapid market growth. Dalio and JPMorgan's Mary Callahan Erdoes note China lacks U.S.-style fear of AI displacing jobs; instead, it focuses on leveraging AI for development and dominance in next-generation industries like robotics.
Odaily星球日报06/08 08:27
