Bitcoin miner stress returns to historic lows – Is a BTC recovery near?
Bitcoin mining stress has hit historic lows, comparable to past capitulation periods in 2015, 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024. Despite two consecutive downward difficulty adjustments, mining profits remain low, forcing weaker miners to sell reserves. However, this process may reduce long-term selling pressure. Investor sentiment is also extremely pessimistic, with Bitcoin's Sharpe ratio hitting -20, reflecting one of the worst risk-adjusted return periods this cycle. Similar conditions in past cycles preceded extended accumulation phases where sellers exhausted their steam. The alignment of miner exhaustion and negative market sentiment could eventually fade downside pressures, potentially setting the stage for a broader market recovery if long-term holders continue absorbing supply and volatility subsides.
ambcrypto07/06 11:04