# Fundamentals İlgili Makaleler

HTX Haber Merkezi, kripto endüstrisindeki piyasa trendleri, proje güncellemeleri, teknoloji gelişmeleri ve düzenleyici politikaları kapsayan "Fundamentals" hakkında en son makaleleri ve derinlemesine analizleri sunmaktadır.

The 100x obsession: Fundamentals grow in importance as crypto matures

The article explores why crypto investors often chase high-risk narratives for "100x returns" over established fundamentals, arguing this behavior stems from a deep human desire for life-changing wealth, not simply maximizing returns. Citing behavioral finance expert Meir Statman, it explains investors mentally divide wealth into a "not-poor" layer for security and a "be-rich" layer for transformative goals. This drives them toward speculative assets like meme coins, despite mature protocols like Aave generating real revenue. While fundamentals like liquidity and resilience determine long-term value, compelling stories offer the lottery-ticket appeal institutional investors, bound by risk-adjusted mandates, avoid. The piece concludes that the hunt for massive gains is a constant, driven by aspirations more than asset class specifics.

cointelegraph16 saat önce

The 100x obsession: Fundamentals grow in importance as crypto matures

cointelegraph16 saat önce

Bitcoin, XRP left out – The S&P Digital Asset Index shows crypto’s biggest shift yet

Pantera Capital and S&P Dow Jones Indices have launched the S&P Digital Asset Index, a basket of 18 cryptocurrencies focused on fundamental strength. Notably, Bitcoin and XRP are excluded from the initial confirmed assets, which include Ethereum, BNB, Solana, Hyperliquid, and Tron. This selection highlights a potential market shift, prioritizing Layer-1 networks with proven scalability, utility, and sustainable on-chain revenue—reportedly $3 billion annualized in the past six months—over mere market capitalization. Analysts suggest this "fundamental index for crypto" could guide institutional capital toward assets with real economic activity, possibly leading to a significant divergence in the next market cycle where fundamentals, not just price momentum, drive investment.

ambcrypto07/22 07:47

Bitcoin, XRP left out – The S&P Digital Asset Index shows crypto’s biggest shift yet

ambcrypto07/22 07:47

Misjudged A-Shares: Resilience, Expectations, and Confidence

China's A-share market recently faced selling pressure, especially in tech sectors, initially triggered by a global tech sell-off that began in South Korea. However, the article argues this is a case of "mistaken injury" and highlights the market's underlying resilience. This resilience stems from three main pillars: **1) Tech Sector Fundamentals:** Unlike Korea's market dominated by a few memory chip stocks, China's tech sector is diversified across computing, communications, electronics, and semiconductors, supported by dual narratives of global AI supply chains and domestic substitution. Core areas like optical modules and fiber optics continue to show strong earnings growth. **2) "National Team" Support:** State-backed institutions and large corporations have made significant market purchases and announced buybacks, providing liquidity and signaling confidence. This is seen as a stabilizing policy signal, often associated with market bottoms. **3) Broader Market Pillars:** Other major sectors are showing endogenous recovery momentum. Consumer stocks benefit from stabilizing CPI and signs of sector recovery (e.g., liquor price hikes). Cyclical sectors like aluminum have high earnings, potential price increases due to tight supply, and low valuations. The financial sector offers stable dividends and low valuations. The conclusion is that the sell-off was driven by external contagion, not a collapse in fundamentals. With strong policy support and recovering momentum across key sectors, the A-share market possesses the toughness to regain stability.

marsbit07/22 02:26

Misjudged A-Shares: Resilience, Expectations, and Confidence

marsbit07/22 02:26

Is the Fastest and Deepest Tech Stock Sell-off in History Nearing Its End?

The article discusses whether the historically rapid and severe sell-off in tech momentum stocks is nearing its end. Citing analysis from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, it notes that the TMT momentum factor has plunged 40% from its peak in just 17 trading days, marking the fastest and deepest such decline on record. Key experts, including Goldman's Mark Wilson, attribute the crash primarily to extreme crowding, high leverage, and structural factors rather than a fundamental deterioration in the economy or corporate earnings. They point to strong underlying data, such as robust bank lending and raised guidance from companies like TSMC, which contrast sharply with the market's price action. While Wilson suggests the momentum unwinding process is likely "approaching its end," he cautions that immediate catalysts for a sharp reversal are lacking. The report highlights extreme internal market stress, with single-stock volatility far exceeding index volatility, and warns that despite the sell-off, positioning in momentum factors remains elevated. It concludes that the core market矛盾 (contradiction) lies in this disconnect between solid fundamentals and violent price corrections driven by positioning and leverage.

marsbit07/19 01:45

Is the Fastest and Deepest Tech Stock Sell-off in History Nearing Its End?

marsbit07/19 01:45

Is the Fastest, Deepest Tech Stock Sell-Off in History Nearing Its End?

The tech sector is experiencing its most severe and rapid momentum-driven sell-off on record. According to Morgan Stanley data, the TMT momentum factor has plunged 40% from its peak in just 17 trading days, a pullback unprecedented in both speed and magnitude, affecting everything from semiconductors to credit markets. Goldman Sachs' Mark Wilson notes this "brutal rotation" stems primarily from crowded positioning and concentrated leverage, not a fundamental deterioration in the economy or corporate profits. Despite strong underlying fundamentals—such as robust U.S. bank earnings and TSMC raising its 2026 revenue guidance—prices have disconnected, creating a core market contradiction. Market risk structures are quietly unraveling beneath low index volatility. The volatility of Goldman's high-beta momentum basket is approximately 10 times that of the S&P 500, a disparity last seen during the 2020 pandemic shock. Simultaneously, the gap between single-stock and index volatility has widened to historic extremes. While Wilson believes the momentum unwinding is "approaching an end," significant near-term catalysts for a reversal are lacking. He warns that crowded positioning remains a key risk, valuations are still elevated, and the second derivative of earnings growth will become critical. The summer period may see new market leaders emerge, but with traditional asset correlations breaking down, portfolio construction and risk management have become significantly more complex.

链捕手07/19 01:42

Is the Fastest, Deepest Tech Stock Sell-Off in History Nearing Its End?

链捕手07/19 01:42

Understanding the Q2 Crypto Market in 5 Charts: RWA Booms, Fundamentals Continue to Improve

"5 Charts to Decrypt the Crypto Market in Q2: RWA Explosion and Fundamentals Rebound" In Q2 2026, the crypto market presented a complex picture. While major cryptocurrencies fell 36% in H1, underperforming most major asset classes except gold, crypto-related equities surged 23%, doubling the S&P 500's return. This highlights diverse investment opportunities within the sector, from AI-benefiting miners to Wall Street-linked tokenization platforms. Key takeaways from five crucial charts: 1. **Divergence:** A significant performance gap emerged between crypto assets and publicly traded crypto companies. 2. **Robust Fundamentals:** The top 10 crypto applications generated $5.9B in revenue over the past year, with leaders like PancakeSwap nearing $1B, demonstrating real business traction. 3. **RWA Boom:** Tokenized real-world assets (RWA) reached a record $33B, up 12% QoQ and 45% YTD, fueled by tokenized treasuries, credit, and equities. 4. **Prediction Market Growth:** Prediction market open interest hit a new high of $1.8B, with Q2 volume reaching $43B, driven largely by sports and upcoming political events. 5. **Attractive Correlations:** The Bitwise Crypto Innovators 30 Index showed low or negative 90-day rolling correlations with most major assets (like stocks, bonds, gold), offering potential diversification benefits alongside high returns. Overall, despite bearish price action, the data reveals resilient industry fundamentals with continued growth in users, revenue, and institutional adoption, laying groundwork for future cycles.

marsbit07/16 01:45

Understanding the Q2 Crypto Market in 5 Charts: RWA Booms, Fundamentals Continue to Improve

marsbit07/16 01:45

Understanding the Q2 Crypto Market in 5 Charts: RWA Explosion, Fundamentals Continue to Recover

Summary of Q2 Crypto Market: RWA Boom and Continued Fundamental Recovery The second quarter of 2026 presented a mixed picture for the crypto market. While major crypto asset prices declined by 36% in H1 2026, the fundamentals of the industry showed significant strength. Key highlights from Bitwise's market review include: 1. **Divergence Between Crypto Stocks and Tokens:** Crypto-related public equities, tracked by the Bitwise Crypto Innovators 30 Index, rose 23% in H1, outperforming most major asset classes. This signals robust investment opportunities within the crypto ecosystem, such as Bitcoin miners benefiting from AI and traditional finance firms deepening crypto integration, even during a bear market for tokens. 2. **Substantial Crypto Application Revenue:** Leading decentralized applications generated a combined $5.9 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, with top protocols like PancakeSwap, Hyperliquid, and Aave each nearing $1 billion. This demonstrates the existence of real, revenue-generating businesses within the sector. 3. **Breakout Growth in Real-World Asset (RWA) Tokenization:** The total value of tokenized real-world assets reached a record $33 billion in Q2, up 12% quarterly and 45% year-to-date. Growth is driven by tokenized U.S. Treasuries, corporate credit, equities, and venture capital shares, indicating accelerating institutional adoption. 4. **Expanding Prediction Markets:** Prediction market open interest hit a new high of $1.8 billion in Q2, with sports being a key category. Quarterly trading volume also reached a record $43 billion. Platforms like Polymarket represent a form of mainstream, albeit often unaware, adoption of crypto infrastructure for event betting, with further growth expected around the U.S. midterm elections. 5. **Attractive Profile of Crypto Equities:** The Bitwise Crypto Innovators 30 Index exhibited low 90-day rolling correlations with most major assets (developed market stocks, EM stocks, REITs, bonds, gold) and negative correlation with commodities. This combination of high returns and portfolio diversification is highly attractive to institutional investors. In conclusion, despite weak token prices, core industry fundamentals—including user activity, business revenues, and institutional adoption—continue to advance, building a strong foundation for the next market cycle.

Foresight News07/15 08:03

Understanding the Q2 Crypto Market in 5 Charts: RWA Explosion, Fundamentals Continue to Recover

Foresight News07/15 08:03

After Aave's Exit and TVL's Sharp Fluctuation, Where Does MegaETH's Valuation Anchor Lie?

Following the withdrawal of Aave and a sharp drop in its Total Value Locked (TVL), the valuation of the high-performance DeFi blockchain MegaETH faces scrutiny. Once a highly anticipated project with a fully diluted valuation (FDV) reaching around $2 billion, MegaETH saw its TVL plummet from a May peak of $245 million to just over $30 million in July, a roughly 70% decline. Its native token, MEGA, currently trades around $0.048 with a market cap of approximately $54 million and an FDV of about $480 million. The report identifies a core vulnerability: MegaETH's TVL was heavily dependent on a single protocol, Aave V3, which at its peak contributed around 90% of the chain's TVL. A significant portion of this capital is attributed to leveraged yield-farming strategies involving stablecoins like USDe. When the profitability of these strategies diminished, capital rapidly exited, exposing the lack of diversified, sustainable activity. Three key mismatches between MegaETH's valuation and its fundamentals are highlighted: 1. **Valuation vs. Real Usage:** With an FDV of ~$4.8B but only ~$1M in annualized protocol revenue and ~2,600 daily active addresses, the valuation appears disconnected from current economic activity. 2. **Token Narrative vs. Ecosystem Reality:** Despite its DeFi narrative, nearly 80% of the chain's recent protocol revenue comes from a trading card game, Monster, not from core DeFi applications like Aave. The chain's native stablecoin, USDM, also shows low trading volume and a declining market cap. 3. **Short-Term Hype vs. Long-Term Delivery:** Initial hype from token generation, blue-chip integrations, and influencer support has faded. Major protocols like Uniswap now hold minimal TVL on the chain, indicating that early capital was largely transient and driven by incentives rather than organic demand. The situation reflects a broader market trend where investors are becoming less tolerant of valuations based on inflated TVL and narrative, demanding clearer evidence of sustainable transactions, revenue, and ecosystem development. While MEGA's price may experience short-term rebounds from market sentiment, a fundamental re-rating likely depends on the team's ability to convert its remaining resources into tangible, user-retaining applications and genuine ecosystem growth.

链捕手07/10 14:43

After Aave's Exit and TVL's Sharp Fluctuation, Where Does MegaETH's Valuation Anchor Lie?

链捕手07/10 14:43

Decoding EigenCloud’s market defying rebound – 2 factors fueling EIGEN

EigenCloud's EIGEN token has staged a significant rebound amid broader market turmoil, driven by two key bullish factors. First, on-chain capital flows have strengthened, with Total Value Locked (TVL) rising by over $353 million to approximately $4.719 billion, indicating growing investor conviction. Second, derivatives market activity turned bullish, marked by a 27% surge in Open Interest (reaching ~$43 million) and a positive Funding Rate, signaling strong long positioning, though increased retail participation introduces volatility risk. Furthermore, the protocol's fundamentals improved as quarterly losses narrowed substantially, from $8.70 million in Q1 2026 to about $2.43 million. The combination of rising on-chain liquidity, bullish trader sentiment, and better financial performance suggests the rally may have room to extend.

ambcrypto07/09 15:02

Decoding EigenCloud’s market defying rebound – 2 factors fueling EIGEN

ambcrypto07/09 15:02

Karpathy's Latest Outburst: A Single Sentence That Silenced the Entire Agent Developer Community

Andrej Karpathy, a core researcher at Anthropic, recently critiqued the current AI agent development frenzy. He argues that the biggest mistake is forcing agents to perform tasks without first thoroughly understanding the underlying large language models. Drawing from his 2016 "World of Bits" project at OpenAI—an early attempt at web-based agents that ultimately failed due to premature technology—he emphasizes that foundational model work is crucial. Karpathy offers three key pieces of advice: First, focus on getting the base models right before pushing agents. Second, recognize that creating a demo is easy, but building a real product takes a decade, akin to the journeys of autonomous driving and VR. Third, the product is the core capability, not the agent shell; a robust foundation will naturally enable advanced agents. He also suggests looking to neuroscience for inspiration, comparing agent components to brain structures like the hippocampus and thalamus. Despite his caution, Karpathy concludes that independent developers and startups, not large labs like OpenAI, are at the forefront of agent innovation. This is because the agent field is new, with no entity having a five-year head start, leveling the playing field for agile experimenters. His core message is not to abandon agent work, but to build it on a solid, deeply understood foundation.

marsbit07/06 02:33

Karpathy's Latest Outburst: A Single Sentence That Silenced the Entire Agent Developer Community

marsbit07/06 02:33

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