# Derivatives İlgili Makaleler

HTX Haber Merkezi, kripto endüstrisindeki piyasa trendleri, proje güncellemeleri, teknoloji gelişmeleri ve düzenleyici politikaları kapsayan "Derivatives" hakkında en son makaleleri ve derinlemesine analizleri sunmaktadır.

Bitcoin demand stays weak despite $1B USDT injection – Here is why!

Bitcoin is exhibiting a clear divergence between spot and derivatives markets. While futures demand has rebounded sharply, spot demand remains weak, indicating the current recovery is primarily driven by leverage. This makes the rally fragile and vulnerable to a sharp correction, especially amid renewed macro uncertainty from events like U.S.-Iran tensions. Recent data supports this cautious view: spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows, and the Coinbase Premium Index turned negative, signaling weaker U.S. institutional demand. Despite Tether injecting $1 billion in new USDT, much of this liquidity appears to be sitting on the sidelines rather than flowing into Bitcoin spot purchases. This fresh capital could further fuel speculative derivatives activity instead of attracting real buyers. Historically, the current bear market of 248 days is shorter than previous major cycles (381 days in 2022, 385 days in 2018), suggesting the broader downtrend may have further room to run. In summary, Bitcoin's bear cycle remains intact, with the recovery being led by fragile derivatives speculation rather than strong spot demand.

ambcrypto3 saat önce

Bitcoin demand stays weak despite $1B USDT injection – Here is why!

ambcrypto3 saat önce

Bitcoin price recovers – But ONE hurdle keeps BTC bulls on edge

Bitcoin is showing signs of demand recovery after weeks of selling pressure, with the 30-day cumulative demand rebounding sharply. However, the recovery is uneven: futures market demand has recovered to neutral levels, while spot market demand remains weak, indicating long-term investors are still hesitant. This divergence suggests traders are positioning for price increases before significant capital enters the spot market. Downside fears in the options market have eased compared to previous sell-offs, indicating expectations are shifting from a sharp capitulation to a slower bottoming process. Despite this calmer sentiment, the recovery faces headwinds from long-term holders distributing coins and taking profits. Data shows supply is rotating from experienced holders to newer participants, and until this selling pressure subsides and spot accumulation strengthens, Bitcoin's recovery is likely to remain gradual rather than accelerating into a sustained bullish trend.

ambcrypto5 saat önce

Bitcoin price recovers – But ONE hurdle keeps BTC bulls on edge

ambcrypto5 saat önce

ApeCoin’s 15% rally meets Q3 accelerator hype – Can APE reach $0.30?

ApeCoin (APE) surged 15%, breaking out of its tight $0.13-$0.14 consolidation to trade at $0.168, supported by a 218% surge in trading volume. The rally was driven by strong market demand, with buy volume exceeding sell volume, pushing the market delta significantly positive. Open Interest and derivatives volume also rose sharply, indicating aggressive new position openings. Technical indicators like the Stochastic Momentum Index show bullish momentum. If sustained, APE could target a breakout above the $0.18 resistance. Fundamentally, the upcoming Q3 accelerator program, aimed at incubating Web3 and gaming projects, could boost APE's utility and adoption. This initiative may help APE reclaim $0.25, with $0.30 as a bullish target.

ambcrypto6 saat önce

ApeCoin’s 15% rally meets Q3 accelerator hype – Can APE reach $0.30?

ambcrypto6 saat önce

Glassnode: Crypto Market in 'Late Bear Market Bottoming Phase', Three Core Signals Absent, Bitcoin Reversal Still Requires Time

According to a Glassnode analysis, the cryptocurrency market is currently in the late stages of a bear market bottom formation. Bitcoin's price has remained below key realized price and short-term holder cost benchmarks for five months, indicating deep undervaluation. A major source of sell-side pressure is from long-term holders realizing losses, with their daily loss-taking recently peaking at $280 million, the highest level since December 2022. While spot Bitcoin ETF outflows have moderated, they remain in a state of monthly net negative flows, and trading volumes are approximately 80% below their 2025 peak, signaling a lack of robust institutional demand. In derivatives markets, positioning has shifted to a cautiously bullish stance. However, options volatility surfaces still price in downside risk, and the spot price sits below the "Max Pain" strike level. The report concludes that the necessary conditions for a market bottom are in place, but a confirmed reversal requires three core signals: a sustained decline in long-term holder loss realization, a stabilization in ETF fund flows, and a sustained price recovery above the Realized Price. Until these signals emerge, a full transition to a bull market is unlikely to occur imminently.

marsbit7 saat önce

Glassnode: Crypto Market in 'Late Bear Market Bottoming Phase', Three Core Signals Absent, Bitcoin Reversal Still Requires Time

marsbit7 saat önce

Glassnode: Cryptocurrency Market Entering Late-Stage Consolidation Phase

Bitcoin has now been trading below the realized price and short-term holder cost basis for nearly five months, indicating a prolonged period of undervaluation. The market exhibits late-stage accumulation characteristics. Long-term holders (LTHs) are the primary source of sell-side pressure, with their realized losses reaching a daily peak of $280 million, the highest since December 2022, and accounting for 43% of total on-chain realized losses. A sustained decline in this LTH selling is a crucial prerequisite for a meaningful reversal. Spot ETF flows, while moderating from June peaks, remain in a state of monthly net outflows. Daily trading volumes have collapsed roughly 80% from the October 2025 highs, reflecting weak institutional demand and lack of confidence. Derivatives markets show a cautious tilt towards bullishness, with the put/call ratio hitting a 2026 low and funding rates neutral. However, the options volatility skew remains in "put premium," indicating persistent demand for downside protection, even as the absolute cost of that protection has declined. The spot price currently trades approximately 6% below the $66,000 max pain level. In summary, key conditions for a market bottom are in place, including sustained undervaluation and significant LTH capitulation. However, definitive signals for a transition to a bull market—namely, a sustained drop in LTH realized losses, stabilization of ETF fund flows, and price reclaiming key on-chain cost bases—are not yet confirmed. The market is in the late stages of basing, awaiting these catalysts for a sustained recovery.

marsbitDün 05:07

Glassnode: Cryptocurrency Market Entering Late-Stage Consolidation Phase

marsbitDün 05:07

Glassnode: Crypto Market Enters Later Stages of Bottoming Phase

Glassnode: Crypto Market Enters Later Stages of Bottom Formation Bitcoin has traded below the true market average and the short-term holder cost basis for five consecutive months, indicating a deep undervaluation. On-chain data reveals a significant shift in selling pressure, with long-term holders now accounting for 43% of all realized losses. Daily realized losses for this group recently peaked at $280 million, the highest level since December 2022. While this large-scale capitulation is a hallmark of bear market bottoms, a sustained decline in this metric is a prerequisite for a sustained recovery. Institutional demand remains weak. US spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to see monthly net outflows, although the pace has moderated from June's peak. Furthermore, average daily ETF trading volumes have contracted by approximately 80% from their October 2025 peak, reflecting subdued institutional participation. Derivatives markets present a mixed picture. Overall positioning has shifted to cautiously bullish, with the put/call ratio dropping to a yearly low. However, the options volatility skew remains elevated, signaling that traders are still paying a premium for downside protection. The spot price also trades below the gamma "max pain" level. In summary, multiple indicators suggest the market is in the later phases of a bottoming process, characterized by long-term holder capitulation and weak institutional inflows. However, key confirmation signals for a durable trend reversal—a sustained drop in long-term holder selling pressure, stabilization of ETF flows, and a price recovery above key cost bases—are still pending.

Foresight NewsDün 02:41

Glassnode: Crypto Market Enters Later Stages of Bottoming Phase

Foresight NewsDün 02:41

Bottom Building in Progress

Bitcoin's market presents a mixed but evolving picture as it potentially grinds toward a cyclical bottom. Macro conditions remain conflicted, with high liquidity countered by quantitative tightening and real yields. On-chain analysis reveals Bitcoin has traded in deep value territory for five months, a historically prolonged discount phase conducive for accumulation. However, long-term holder capitulation is now the dominant downward pressure, with daily realized losses hitting levels unseen since late 2022 and showing no signs of cooling yet. Off-chain, institutional ETF demand remains weak, with persistent monthly outflows and trading volumes still ~80% below the previous bull market peak. While outflows have eased from their June peak, a reversal to net inflows is not yet evident. Derivatives markets show a cautiously long tilt in positioning, with the put/call ratio at a 2026 low. Yet, options pricing still reflects elevated demand for downside protection, even as the absolute cost of that hedging has declined recently. In conclusion, the makings of a bottoming process are visible across on-chain, off-chain, and derivatives data, but key confirmation signals are missing. The market requires a sustained cooldown in long-term holder selling, stabilization in ETF flows, and a price reclaim above key cost basis levels before a definitive regime shift can be confirmed.

insights.glassnodeDün 20:06

insights.glassnodeDün 20:06

Bitcoin whale places $31M short bet – Will BTC drop to $60K again?

Bitcoin has declined for two consecutive days, trading near $62,7K. Amid this pullback, a whale opened a significant 40x short position on 493 BTC (worth $31 million), indicating strong bearish sentiment. This aligns with a broader market shift, as the overall Long/Short Ratio fell below 1, showing more traders are betting on a price drop. Furthermore, derivatives and options trading volumes have notably declined, signaling reduced speculative activity and a cautious, wait-and-see approach among traders. Technical analysis points to continued weakness, with indicators like the MACD still negative and the trend structure favoring further downside. Analysts suggest Bitcoin could retest the $60K level unless it manages to reclaim $64K to reverse the bearish pressure.

ambcryptoDün 14:02

Bitcoin whale places $31M short bet – Will BTC drop to $60K again?

ambcryptoDün 14:02

Ondo, the Leader in RWA Tokenization, is Entering the Perp DEX Arena

Ondo Finance, the dominant player in the real-world asset (RWA) tokenization space, is entering the perpetual futures (Perp) DEX arena with the launch of "Ondo Perps." This move signifies a strategic pivot from primarily being an asset issuer to becoming a comprehensive trading infrastructure provider. The platform uniquely focuses on tokenized traditional assets like stocks, indices (e.g., US 500), and commodities (gold, silver, oil), offering up to 20x leverage for 24/7 trading. A key differentiator is its planned multi-asset collateral system, which will allow users to employ tokenized stocks and bonds as margin, enabling sophisticated portfolio hedging and strategies. This approach leverages Ondo's existing strengths—deep institutional relationships, regulatory approvals, and a vast library of tokenized assets—to create a bridge between traditional finance liquidity and decentralized, permissionless trading. By integrating its asset issuance (Ondo Global Markets) with a proprietary trading venue, Ondo aims to complete the RWA financialization loop, transforming tokenized holdings from passive investments into productive capital for leverage and complex financial engineering. The launch positions Ondo Perps not just as another derivatives exchange, but as a foundational piece of next-generation infrastructure merging TradFi assets with DeFi-native execution.

Foresight News2 gün önce 14:08

Ondo, the Leader in RWA Tokenization, is Entering the Perp DEX Arena

Foresight News2 gün önce 14:08

Bitcoin’s recovery to $64K on hold? KEY metrics flash mixed signals after leverage wipeout

Bitcoin's recovery to $64K faces mixed signals after a late-June downturn triggered significant market adjustments. A sharp price decline to $57.8K led to substantial liquidations, wiping out leverage and shifting funding rates from negative to slightly positive, indicating improved sentiment without excessive speculation. This short squeeze reduced selling pressure, allowing a price rebound fueled by fresh long positions and the unwinding of crowded shorts. However, underlying demand metrics present caution. Exchange outflows have slowed, with reserves increasing from 2.25 million to 2.66 million BTC since October, suggesting reduced accumulation into long-term storage. While reserves remain below previous cycle peaks, this growing available supply could limit future rallies if not met with renewed demand. The recovery's sustainability now hinges on persistent spot buying and renewed investor accumulation amidst these conflicting signals.

ambcrypto2 gün önce 14:02

Bitcoin’s recovery to $64K on hold? KEY metrics flash mixed signals after leverage wipeout

ambcrypto2 gün önce 14:02