Decoding Monero’s 43% slide – 2 zones to watch for XMR reversal

ambcrypto2026-01-27 tarihinde yayınlandı2026-01-27 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

Monero (XMR) experienced a significant 43.8% decline after reaching a new all-time high of $799.89 in mid-January. It has since retraced to key support levels around $520 and the $400–$440 zone. Technical indicators, including the CMF below -0.05 and RSI under 50, suggest further downside potential. A drop below $411.5 could confirm a bearish trend. However, a recent bounce from the $450–$480 range may target resistance zones at $500–$510 and $560–$580. Traders are advised to consider selling into any bounce unless Bitcoin reclaims key resistance and shifts market sentiment. The overall outlook remains cautious due to selling pressure and the structure of the recent rally.

Monero [XMR] saw a heavy increase in trading volume in mid-January, when the altcoin reached a new all-time high at $799.89. Since then, XMR has retraced by 43.8%.

A recent AMBCrypto report highlighted that Monero was likely to pull back toward $520 and the $400-$440 region. This has come to pass, but now the privacy token was resting atop a key support.

Is longer-term XMR bias bullish or bearish now?

Monero has retraced a good chunk of the rally from August that took the privacy token to new all-time highs. The swing points chosen on the chart above were based on the impulse move upward on the weekly timeframe.

Zooming in on the daily timeframe, we can see that the swing structure remained unbroken. The retracement did see a bearish internal shift.

The CMF was also below -0.05, and the RSI has fallen below the neutral 50. XMR was trading below its 20 and 50-day moving averages. Together, the signs showed that further losses were possible.

Exploring the bearish scenario

With Bitcoin [BTC] facing selling pressure and Monero testing a key Fibonacci retracement level as support, things looked difficult for XMR bulls. The recent rally to ATHs had a classic, high-volume blow-off top.

A drop below the $411.5 level would confirm an indication trend on the 1-day timeframe. As things stand, the bullish argument for new all-time highs does not seem to hold water.

Traders’ call to action- Sell the bounce

After collecting the liquidity huddled up around $450-$480, XMR has bounced higher on the 26th of January. This bounce has the potential to target the magnetic zones to the north.

These liquidity pools were at $500-$510 and $560-$580. In the coming days, a price bounce to these levels is possible. Traders should watch out for a drop below $411.5 to confirm longer-term bearishness, or a bounce to magnetic zones for a reversal.

Final Thoughts

The speed of the XMR rally and its cool-off suggested the run might be over, especially with the selling pressure on Bitcoin.
A price bounce toward $560 would be for selling, unless Bitcoin manages to reclaim the $94.5k resistance and turn altcoin sentiment bullish.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

İlgili Sorular

QWhat was the percentage decline in Monero's (XMR) price after reaching its all-time high in mid-January?

AMonero (XMR) retraced by 43.8% after reaching its all-time high.

QAccording to the article, what are the two key support zones that were highlighted for a potential XMR reversal?

AThe two key support zones highlighted were the $520 level and the $400-$440 region.

QWhat technical indicator levels are mentioned as being unfavorable for XMR, suggesting further losses were possible?

AThe Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) was below -0.05, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) had fallen below the neutral 50. XMR was also trading below its 20 and 50-day moving averages.

QWhat price level would confirm a longer-term bearish trend for XMR on the 1-day timeframe?

AA drop below the $411.5 level would confirm a longer-term bearish trend on the 1-day timeframe.

QWhat does the article suggest traders should do if XMR's price bounces toward the $560-$580 zone?

AThe article suggests that traders should sell the bounce at the $560-$580 zone, unless Bitcoin manages to reclaim the $94.5k resistance and turns altcoin sentiment bullish.

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İşlemler

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Popüler Makaleler

XMR Nasıl Satın Alınır

HTX.com’a hoş geldiniz! Monero (XMR) satın alma işlemlerini basit ve kullanışlı bir hâle getirdik. Adım adım açıkladığımız rehberimizi takip ederek kripto yolculuğunuza başlayın. 1. Adım: HTX Hesabınızı OluşturunHTX'te ücretsiz bir hesap açmak için e-posta adresinizi veya telefon numaranızı kullanın. Sorunsuzca kaydolun ve tüm özelliklerin kilidini açın. Hesabımı Aç2. Adım: Kripto Satın Al Bölümüne Gidin ve Ödeme Yönteminizi SeçinKredi/Banka Kartı: Visa veya Mastercard'ınızı kullanarak anında Monero (XMR) satın alın.Bakiye: Sorunsuz bir şekilde işlem yapmak için HTX hesap bakiyenizdeki fonları kullanın.Üçüncü Taraflar: Kullanımı kolaylaştırmak için Google Pay ve Apple Pay gibi popüler ödeme yöntemlerini ekledik.P2P: HTX'teki diğer kullanıcılarla doğrudan işlem yapın.Borsa Dışı (OTC): Yatırımcılar için kişiye özel hizmetler ve rekabetçi döviz kurları sunuyoruz.3. Adım: Monero (XMR) Varlıklarınızı SaklayınMonero (XMR) satın aldıktan sonra HTX hesabınızda saklayın. Alternatif olarak, blok zinciri transferi yoluyla başka bir yere gönderebilir veya diğer kripto para birimlerini takas etmek için kullanabilirsiniz.4. Adım: Monero (XMR) Varlıklarınızla İşlem YapınHTX'in spot piyasasında Monero (XMR) ile kolayca işlemler yapın.Hesabınıza erişin, işlem çiftinizi seçin, işlemlerinizi gerçekleştirin ve gerçek zamanlı olarak izleyin. Hem yeni başlayanlar hem de deneyimli yatırımcılar için kullanıcı dostu bir deneyim sunuyoruz.

215 Toplam GörüntülenmeYayınlanma 2024.12.10Güncellenme 2025.03.21

Tartışmalar

HTX Topluluğuna hoş geldiniz. Burada, en son platform gelişmeleri hakkında bilgi sahibi olabilir ve profesyonel piyasa görüşlerine erişebilirsiniz. Kullanıcıların XMR (XMR) fiyatı hakkındaki görüşleri aşağıda sunulmaktadır.