Cardano (ADA) под угрозой: прибыль на 5-месячном пике

cryptonews.ru2024-01-18 tarihinde yayınlandı2025-04-18 tarihinde güncellendi

Cardano (ADA) сталкивается с трудностями в поддержании роста. Давление на цену оказывают краткосрочные держатели, которые активно фиксируют прибыль

Разбираемся, что происходит на рынке Cardano (ADA) и чего ждать от цены криптовалюты.

Инвесторы Cardano готовы к продаже

MVRV (соотношение рыночной стоимости к реализованной стоимости) Long/Short Difference для Cardano упал до -18% — минимума за последние пять месяцев. Это означает, что краткосрочные держатели могут получить значительную прибыль, самую высокую с ноября 2024 года.

Эта тенденция может негативно сказаться на цене Cardano, так как краткосрочные держатели обычно продают, когда видят прибыль, что может усилить давление на снижение. Поскольку эти держатели сейчас в плюсе, их продажи, вероятно, усилят текущий медвежий тренд.

Cardano MVRV Long/Short Difference. Источник: Santiment

Общая рыночная динамика Cardano показывает дополнительные признаки слабости. Индикатор Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), отслеживающий поток денег в криптовалюту и из нее, стабильно снижается с ноября 2024 года.

Сейчас индикатор находится ниже нулевой отметки, что говорит о преобладании оттоков над притоками и недостатке уверенности у инвесторов. CMF показывает осторожность участников рынка, которые не спешат входить в игру в условиях медвежьего тренда. Недостаток уверенности отталкивает инвесторов от Cardano.

График CMF для Cardano. Источник: TradingView

Цена ADA может снизиться

На момент написания этого анализа Cardano торгуется по $0,61, что немного ниже важного уровня сопротивления $0,63. Несмотря на попытки восстановиться, альткоин уже почти месяц движется в нисходящем тренде, что мешает его росту. Без изменения рыночных условий Cardano будет сложно вернуть утраченные позиции и преодолеть указанное сопротивление.

Если ситуация на рынке ухудшится, цена Cardano может опуститься еще ниже — возможно, до уровня поддержки $0,57. Это падение увеличит убытки инвесторов и усложнит восстановление. Поскольку настроения на рынке в основном негативные, маловероятно, что Cardano пробьет $0,63 в ближайшее время.

Анализ цены Cardano. Источник: TradingView

Если рыночные условия улучшатся и инвесторы вновь обретут уверенность, Cardano может изменить медвежий тренд. Превращение уровня сопротивления $0,63 в новую поддержку отменит негативный сценарий и может подтолкнуть цену к $0,70. Пробитие этого уровня станет важным изменением в динамике.

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