[Bitop市场观察] 零售报告远超预期,四大指数齐涨,浇熄Fed降2码预期

币界网2024-08-16 tarihinde yayınlandı2024-08-16 tarihinde güncellendi

币界网报道:

美国商务部昨(15)晚20:30公布7月份零售销售报告,结果月增幅1.0%,创下2023年1月以来新高、远超市场预期的0.4%; 年增率2.66%,表明消费者即使在面对高物价和高借贷成本下,仍保持着弹性。

不过值得注意的是,虽然7月零售销售创下19个月来最大单月增幅,但此前数据8度遭到下修,经济状况仍需更多数据观察。

减轻经济衰退隐忧,美股四大指数拉涨

美国零售销售好转之际,就业数据也有改善。 劳工部同日公布上周初领失业金人数按周减少7,000人,跌至22.7万人,少于市场预期的23.5万人。

缓解投资者经济濒临衰退的疑虑后,美国四大指数 15 日全面走高:

其中又以半导体类股领涨,英伟达(Nvidia)上涨4.05%,收122.86美元,重返50日移动平均线之上、台积电ADR同步上涨2.35%,收173.96美元。

九月降息一码机率增至超 70%

另外芝商所(CME)FedWatch工具显示,市场预测美联储9月降息一码至5.00~5.25%的机率从一天前的62.5%跃升至当前的72.5%、降息两码至4.75~5.00%的机率则从37.5%下滑至27.5%。

比特币短暂冲高后下杀

比特币原本在零售和失业金数据公布后一度冲上59,800美元,但今(16)日零点后卖压再度涌现,比特币一路下挫,今晨四点左右最低更来到56,078美元。撰稿当下报57,472美元,近24小时下跌1.45%。

和美股走出相反的行情,令投资者措手不及。不确定是因为降息两码的预期被浇熄,还是比特币正好处于下降趋势中,价格尚未达到大户目标所致。

不过从费波那契和成交密集区来看,如果比特币目前没有办法守住当前价格水平的话,那下个支撑可能会是54,500美元左右。

以太坊走势雷同,今晨最低下杀2,515美元,撰稿当下报2,568美元,近24小时下跌3.25%。

过去24小时全网爆仓2.2亿美元

据Coinglass数据显示,过去24小时,加密货币全网爆仓金额超过2.2亿美元(多头占1.73亿美元),有超过5.7万人遭清算。

本文由bitop市场观察团队分析师编撰,内容仅为个人观点分享,不构成相关的任何投资建议。分析有时效性,投资有风险,入市需谨慎 !

 

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