网络活动剧增, ADA 价格有望上涨

金色财经2024-08-09 tarihinde yayınlandı2024-08-09 tarihinde güncellendi

鲸鱼的囤积(大额交易的增加表明)表明 ADA 价格势头良好。Chang 更新即将发布。

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ADA 价格在最后一天与整个市场一起上涨。ADA 图表显示了一些上行趋势,但成交量疲软表明上涨可能是短暂的。虽然网络活动的改善对价格有利,但如果 ADA 多头没有其他更切实的支撑,主要的上方阻力可能很难突破。因此,卡尔达诺的价格目前可能受比特币的支配,因为 Chang 升级发布可能会成为抛售新闻事件。

ADA 价格还能上涨吗?

卡尔达诺价格图显示出明显的整体下降趋势。价格最近形成了上升楔形形态,这是典型的看跌延续形态。

卡尔达诺价格支撑位在 0.28 美元左右,与楔形形态和先前支撑区域预测的突破目标一致。

阻力位在 0.36 美元至 0.38 美元附近,目前 200 指数移动平均线 ( EMA )(黑线)就位于此处。进一步的阻力位也存在于上升楔形的上边界附近。

楔形内的近期蜡烛图形态表明市场犹豫不决,但略有看跌倾向,尤其是考虑到楔形之前是下降趋势。然而,如果 ADA 价格走势能够上涨并突破 200 EMA,则看跌论点将失效。

相对强弱指数( RSI) 目前为 58.78,表明势头中性至略微看涨,但正接近可能转为看跌的水平。

Cardano 的价格低于 200 EMA,证实了看跌趋势。ADA 也刚刚突破 50 EMA(绿线),这表明牛市力量正在增强。Chaikin 资金流 (CMF) 为 0.03,显示有少量资本流入,但不足以抵消看跌势头。

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ADA 价格走势图

ADA 价格走势显示出混合信号。然而,如果它未能突破 200 EMA,则可能表明多头疲软,尽管市场正在复苏,但价格可能会跌至 0.261 美元以下。

网络统计数据暗示短期反弹

区块链分析公司Messari Research的数据显示,Cardano 网络活动正在增加。虽然交易数量创下两个月新高,但网络交易成本降至 9 个月以来的最低水平。这表明 Cardano 网络具有可扩展性,可以承受更多流量且成本不高。可扩展的网络是价格的看涨信号。

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此外,Cardano 网络上的活跃地址数量突破了四个月以来的最高点,回升至 3 月小牛市前后的数字。活跃地址数量的增加表明投资者正在涌入该网络,这可能转化为看涨价格。

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根据Coinalyze 的数据, Cardano 的未平仓合约在过去 24 小时内增加了 6.16%,表明资本流入该资产。加上价格上涨,ADA 价格可能会继续上涨,直到下一个主要阻力位 200 EMA 左右。这将比当前价格上涨 9%。

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此外,IntoTheBlock分析显示,8 月 7 日至 8 日期间,Cardano 的大额交易数量显着增加。虽然没有 8 月 5 日那么高,但仍比昨天的低点上涨了 0.10%。

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再加上卡尔达诺价格的上涨,这可能预示着鲸鱼正在积累卡尔达诺,这是一个看涨信号。

简单来说

随着网络交易量和活跃地址数达到数月以来的最高水平,ADA 价格可能上涨 9%。同时网络活动的增加表明 Cardano 网络具有可扩展性,可以承受更多流量且成本不高。可扩展的网络是价格的看涨信号。但目前卡尔达诺价格面临 0.36 美元至 0.38 美元左右的主要阻力。

综上所述,我认为短期内ADA将呈看涨趋势,鲸鱼的积累和网络的活动的增加也为市场提供了看涨信号,长期来看随着Chang升级的来临预计将会为市场提振推动 ADA突破目前的主要阻力位。

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