SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

Odaily星球日报2024-02-28 tarihinde yayınlandı2024-02-28 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

昨天市场相对平静,经济数据好坏参半,资产价格在近期区间内盘整。在加密货币方面,价格持续上涨,在过去一天半的时间里,BTC期货的空头清算量接近3亿美元,随著加密货币市值回到$2万亿美元上方,除GBTC外的ETF交易量也在过去几天里创下新高。

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

昨天市场相对平静,经济数据好坏参半,资产价格在近期区间内盘整。2 月份 Richmond 联储制造业指数反弹 10 点至 -5 ,主要得益于当前和未来就业指数的跃升,而支付价格增速则从 4.2% 降至 3.5% 。另一方面,美国耐用品订单环比暴跌至 -6.1% ,创 2020 年 4 月以来最大跌幅,主要是因为运输类耐用品订单(飞机)下滑 16.2% 。此外,消费者信心指数大幅低于预期,现况和预期指数以及就业类别均表现疲软。总而言之,尽管美国经济无疑仍然强劲,但我们可能正在接近正向数据的短期峰值,接下来我们可能会看到就业数据出现一些弱化的情况。

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

本周五是美国政府部分“停摆”的期限,如果政客们决定再次将事情拖到最后一刻,可能会在 3 月 8 日面临更大规模的停摆,预计未来几天将解决融资法案的细节,持续决议案可能是一个选择,这将增加下周整体消息面的风险。

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

在加密货币方面,价格持续上涨,在过去一天半的时间里,BTC 期货的空头清算量接近 3 亿美元,随著加密货币市值回到 $ 2 万亿美元上方,除 GBTC 外的 ETF 交易量也在过去几天里创下新高。市场 FOMO 情绪高涨,不同的 altcoin 都出现反弹,期货现货的价差也在扩大。

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

不出所料,加密货币波动率大幅上涨, 1 周至 1 个月的波动率均位于 57-61% 左右的水平。交易商似乎在现货价格爆炸式上涨时陷入 short-gamms 的困境,不过随著价格接近 60 k,短期看跌期权也开始回涨。

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

您可在 ChatGPT 4.0 的 Plugin Store 搜索 SignalPlus ,获取实时加密资讯。如果想即时收到我们的更新,欢迎关注我们的推特账号@SignalPlus_Web3 ,或者加入我们的微信群(添加小助手微信:SignalPlus 123)、Telegram 群以及 Discord 社群,和更多朋友一起交流互动。

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