Can KAITO sustain its 13% rally before $14.9mln token unlock?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-07-17Last updated on 2026-07-17

Abstract

The KAITO token surged over 13% in 24 hours, extending its weekly gains beyond 25%. This rally was supported by significant market activity, with Open Interest (OI) hitting a yearly high of $70.88 million and daily trading volume soaring above $47 million. The price broke out of its previous consolidation range, confirming a bullish structure, but is now encountering resistance between $0.80 and $0.85. A key test for the rally's sustainability is an upcoming token unlock in three days, which will release 17.60 million KAITO tokens (worth approximately $14.93 million) into circulation, potentially creating selling pressure. While strong capital inflows and buying activity currently support the uptrend, the market's direction will depend on whether demand can absorb the increased supply.

Kaito [KAITO] gained more than 13% in 24 hours as trading activity accelerated. The rally pushed its weekly gains above 25%, extending the altcoin’s bullish structure.

However, an upcoming token unlock could test whether buyers have enough capital to sustain the move.

Why is trader interest rising?

Derivative traders showed the highest level of interest in the KAITO token this year, as the Open Interest (OI) reached $70.88 million. The OI surpassed the $60 million mark, which was hit at the start of the year and has been the highest all along.

When OI is rising alongside the price action, it indicates that more long positions are being stacked.

Source: CoinGlass

Additionally, daily trading volume more than tripled from $15 million on the 12th of July to above $47 million.

Token Terminal placed the weekly total slightly above $209 million. Its chart also showed steady growth over five consecutive days. Together, rising volume and Open Interest showed stronger market participation behind KAITO’s rally.

Source: Token Terminal

Can bulls clear $0.85?

KAITO also broke above the $0.38–$0.54 range, which had contained the price since late March.

Buyers cleared the range’s upper boundary in early July, confirming a bullish structural shift. Net Volume remained positive, with net buying reaching approximately 1.98 million KAITO at press time.

Source: KAITO/USDT on TradingView

Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bands expanded after an earlier compression. This indicated that price volatility had increased following the breakout.

Even so, KAITO encountered resistance between $0.80 and $0.85. Price momentum slowed around this zone, placing the rally’s next test firmly in view.

Will the token unlock stall KAITO?

The potential reason behind this lag could be the anticipated selling pressure from the upcoming token unlocks.

As per Tokenomist, about 17.60 million KAITO tokens worth $14.93 million would be unlocked in three days’ time. Usually, such activities tend to create selling pressure as they increase the circulating supply in the market.

Source: Tokenomist

Still, with capital to absorb this supply, the price action may continue surging, especially if bulls continue buying.

Therefore, the market structure remains bullish in the short term, but that could change if supply dynamics outweigh capital inflows.


Final Summary

  • KAITO AI rallies 13% in 24 hours as OI reaches the highest level this year and token volume increases by 3x this week.
  • KAITO price broke above a sideways market this month and has been rising, but faces a key test amid the upcoming token unlock.

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Related Questions

QWhat are the key factors driving the recent 13% rally in KAITO's price?

AThe rally is driven by increased trading activity, with Open Interest (OI) reaching its highest level this year at $70.88 million and daily trading volume more than tripling from $15 million to over $47 million. This indicates strong market participation and a build-up of long positions.

QWhat potential challenge could test the sustainability of KAITO's bullish move?

AAn upcoming token unlock could test the rally's sustainability. In three days, approximately 17.60 million KAITO tokens worth $14.93 million will be unlocked, which typically increases circulating supply and can create selling pressure.

QWhat technical level is identified as the next key resistance for KAITO's price?

AKAITO is encountering resistance in the price zone between $0.80 and $0.85. Price momentum has slowed around this area, making it the next key test for the rally.

QHow does the article describe the change in KAITO's market structure?

AThe market structure has shifted to bullish. KAITO broke above the $0.38–$0.54 trading range that had contained it since late March, confirming a bullish structural shift with the breakout occurring in early July.

QAccording to the article, what two conditions will determine if the price surge continues despite the token unlock?

AThe price surge may continue if there is sufficient capital in the market to absorb the increased supply from the unlock and if bulls continue their buying activity. Otherwise, if supply dynamics outweigh capital inflows, the bullish structure could change.

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