Calm on the Crypto Market. Why and What's Next

RBK-cryptoОпубликовано 2025-12-24Обновлено 2025-12-24

Введение

The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing a period of calm, with Bitcoin and Ethereum prices showing minimal movement, down less than 1% to approximately $87,000 and $2,930 respectively. The majority of the top 100 cryptocurrencies saw price changes within a narrow 4% range, while the total market cap held steady near $2.95 trillion. Analysts from Wintermute note that despite sustained demand from institutional investors, retail traders are shifting from altcoins to Bitcoin and Ethereum, a move attributed to reduced liquidity ahead of the holidays. They argue that this institutional adoption lays a foundation for mid-term price growth, but emphasize that a Bitcoin rally must occur first to renew investor interest in riskier altcoins. This cautiously optimistic outlook is supported by VanEck, whose analysts predict a high likelihood of price increases in the next six months based on historical correlations between Bitcoin's hash rate and its price. However, short-term sentiment remains negative. The crypto fear and greed index is in the "extreme fear" zone at 24/100, indicating a prevailing tendency toward selling. This is reflected in capital outflows, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs seeing a net outflow of nearly $188 million and Ethereum ETFs losing $95 million on December 23rd, marking the third consecutive session of outflows for Bitcoin funds.

"RBC-Crypto" does not provide investment advice, the material is published for informational purposes only. Cryptocurrency is a volatile asset that can lead to financial losses.

The rates of Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies continue to trade in a narrow range. The prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum fell by less than 1% over the past 24 hours by the morning of December 24, to $87,000 and $2.93 thousand, respectively.

Quotes for about 90% of the top hundred cryptocurrencies in the Coinmarketcap ranking as of 10:00 Moscow time on December 24 changed within a range of about 4%. The biggest price drops were seen in UNI (7%), PUMP (8%), NIGHT (16%). The biggest gains were shown by PIPPIN (19%) and CC (5%). The total capitalization of the crypto market remained virtually unchanged and is around $2.95 trillion.

Despite persistent demand from institutional investors, analysts at major market maker Wintermute noted in a weekly report that the retail sector has begun to shift from trading altcoins towards Bitcoin and Ethereum. The experts explained this process as "declining liquidity ahead of the holidays".

Despite this, Wintermute noted the steady adoption of cryptocurrencies among institutions, corporations, and consumers, which "creates a foundation for medium-term price growth," even if short-term dynamics remain subdued. They also noted that for the crypto market to grow, "first, Bitcoin must grow," and only then will investors' interest in riskier assets, meaning altcoins, return.

Other analysts also express opinions about future growth. In a recent report by asset management company VanEck, experts noted a high probability of price growth in the next six months. The company based this opinion on historical data of the correlation between the dynamics of the hash rate (Bitcoin mining power) and the Bitcoin price.

The crypto market fear and greed index has been in the "extreme fear" zone since mid-December — as of December 24, it is holding at 24 points out of 100. The movement of the indicator suggests that market participants are leaning towards selling off cryptocurrencies.

At the end of the trading session on December 23, spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US recorded a net capital outflow of nearly $188 million, according to SoSoValue. This is the third consecutive trading session with a net capital outflow from Bitcoin funds. Ethereum-based ETFs recorded an outflow of $95 million as of December 23.

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Связанные с этим вопросы

QWhat is the current state of the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices as of the morning of December 24th?

AAs of the morning of December 24th, the price of Bitcoin was around $87,000 and Ethereum was around $2,930, both having decreased by less than 1% over the past 24 hours.

QAccording to Wintermute analysts, what shift is occurring in the retail sector of the cryptocurrency market?

AWintermute analysts noted that the retail sector is shifting away from trading altcoins towards Bitcoin and Ethereum, a trend they attribute to 'decreasing liquidity ahead of the holidays'.

QWhat reason does VanEck give for predicting a high probability of price growth in the next six months?

AVanEck based its prediction on historical data showing a correlation between the dynamics of Bitcoin's hash rate (mining power) and its price.

QWhat does the 'Fear and Greed Index' for the crypto market indicate as of December 24th?

AAs of December 24th, the 'Fear and Greed Index' is at 24 out of 100, placing it in the 'extreme fear' zone, which suggests that market participants are leaning towards selling cryptocurrencies.

QWhat was the net capital flow for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs on December 23rd?

AU.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net capital outflow of nearly $188 million on December 23rd, marking the third consecutive trading session of net outflows for Bitcoin funds.

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