The Era of Bitcoin Dominating Crypto Is Over

marsbitPublicado em 2026-06-01Última atualização em 2026-06-01

Resumo

The era of Bitcoin's dominance over the entire crypto market is ending. The crypto economy is now bifurcating into two distinct camps: endogenous assets and exogenous assets. Endogenous assets, like Bitcoin and many traditional cryptocurrencies, derive their value primarily from the broader crypto market's price movements. Their fortunes rise and fall with the market cycle. Exogenous assets, however, are increasingly decoupled from crypto market volatility. These projects, while technically part of the crypto space, have business models and value drivers that operate independently. Examples include Venice, which monetizes private AI inference services; Figure, a fintech firm using blockchain to streamline home equity loans; and stablecoin-related companies like BVNK and Bridge, which see growth unrelated to crypto bull or bear markets. This shift is fundamental. Past narratives of a "blockchain over Bitcoin" focus failed because they lacked sustainable, quantifiable demand and revenue streams that could translate to token value. The current cycle is different: exogenous projects generate real revenue from paying users, and investors are beginning to evaluate them based on fundamentals rather than mere market narrative. While endogenous assets will remain relevant—akin to gold and gold mining stocks in a portfolio—their performance drivers are now distinct from those of exogenous assets. Consequently, analyzing exogenous assets requires a traditional, fundamentals-based app...

Author: Charlie

Compiled by: Luffy, Foresight News

For a long time, the price movements of the entire crypto market have revolved around Bitcoin. Today, that era is coming to an end.

The crypto economy has now diverged into two major camps: endogenous assets and exogenous assets.

The so-called endogenous assets are the traditional crypto categories familiar to the public: the value of these tokens and projects is entirely dependent on the rise and fall of the overall crypto asset market. Exogenous assets, on the other hand, only nominally belong to the crypto track; their value movements are increasingly independent of the crypto market.

Bitcoin's value stems from its inherent attributes and is reflected in its price. Price increases further reinforce the market's perception of its value attributes. At the peak of a bull market, Bitcoin is hailed as 'interstellar universal currency,' the most scarce digital circulating asset in human hands; at the trough of a bear market, it is disparaged as a digital collectible with no cash flow support.

Hyperliquid sits between the two camps. Most of its business still relies on crypto market conditions, but both supply and demand are continuously expanding. Many on-chain financial infrastructures fall into this category, with underlying assets gradually shifting towards tokenized real-world asset categories.

HIP-3 open interest roughly reflects the activity of non-crypto-related trading. Currently, HIP-3 contracts account for about 30% of Hyperliquid's total open interest, whereas in November 2025, this proportion was only 4%. The upcoming HIP-4 prediction market will further drive growth, bringing new trading users and trading targets.

Projects like Venice fall entirely into the exogenous camp; their development logic is completely detached from the crypto market. Although there is some overlap in user base, its business model leans more towards consumer-grade artificial intelligence rather than native crypto products like Uniswap. Uniswap's core business is still users trading various endogenous assets, so its performance naturally fluctuates with asset prices; Venice, however, packages private multimodal inference services and adopts a 'pay-per-use + subscription' fee model.

Venice's only connection to the crypto field is its choice of tokens as a value-carrying medium, and the fact that some of its compute power providers have a crypto industry background. Project lead Erik Voorhees is deeply involved in the crypto industry and believes that, if used properly, tokens can be excellent marketing tools.

Public company Figure is also a typical case. This fintech lending company developed its own blockchain, reducing the approval time for home equity loans to under 5 minutes. For them, blockchain is just supporting technology; the core value lies in the credit business itself.

The large-scale rise of exogenous tracks, whether in the token market or the listed company sector, has profound significance. In the past, because the vast majority of business models were deeply tied to crypto asset prices, pure bottom-up fundamental investing was difficult to implement. The crypto industry has not been without narratives favoring 'blockchain over Bitcoin,' but past cycles always reverted to Bitcoin's performance. The fundamental reason was that these tracks never managed to establish stable demand and generate continuous revenue; even when there was revenue, it couldn't be transmitted to token value. Once token prices stopped rising, the projects lost their support.

This cycle is fundamentally different. Now we can clearly see paying user groups and payment logic. Demand in most tracks is quantifiable and is no longer driven purely by sentiment hype. Simultaneously, the mechanisms for tokens as value carriers are continuously improving. Venice's revenue comes from users genuinely paying for AI inference services; even if the overall crypto market declines, its business won't be significantly impacted because it doesn't rely on token price movements. This cycle possesses two core advantages that previous booms lacked: sustainable real usage demand, and investors beginning to invest based on fundamentals rather than market narratives alone.

The stablecoin track in the private market is similar. In March 2026, Mastercard announced it would acquire BVNK for up to $1.8 billion. This company was valued at just $750 million when it completed its Series B round 15 months prior. Another stablecoin-related company, Bridge, was acquired by Stripe for $1.1 billion in February 2025. According to Stripe's annual report, Bridge's current business is growing at four times per year. The development of these companies is completely decoupled from the crypto industry's bull and bear cycles.

This is not to say we are bearish on endogenous assets. Just as gold and even small gold mining companies have their place in an investment portfolio, Bitcoin and a host of endogenous crypto assets also have their place. But the performance drivers and market correlations of the two asset types have fundamentally diverged, and the data confirms this.

This analogy can be visualized: The correlation coefficient between small gold mining stocks and gold prices remains around 0.75 over the long term. This is precisely the current state of the traditional crypto market — a host of crypto assets are like small gold mines, with Bitcoin corresponding to gold. The entire track is leveraged investment against Bitcoin. The blue curve in the chart represents another relationship: Gold and the S&P 500 index exhibit weak linkage due to macroeconomic influences, but each follows its own independent logic. This is also the future direction for exogenous assets. In the long run, these assets will gradually break free from the 'following Bitcoin's ups and downs' trend.

It should be noted that many exogenous assets themselves issue tokens. This phenomenon both confirms the above trend and represents a special case.

Currently, the vast majority of endogenous assets remain highly correlated with Bitcoin's movements. A few exogenous assets show reduced correlation, but due to their short development cycles, they don't yet offer strong reference value. Industry patterns have always been fundamentals first, followed by changes in market relationships.

This change has also completely rewritten the logic of industry analysis. Researching exogenous assets requires fundamental due diligence like analyzing traditional companies: mapping paying user groups, calculating unit economics, and assessing industry moats. Bitcoin price is no longer the primary reference indicator. Analyzing such projects is more akin to fintech investors making judgments, with the extra step of asset custody.

Here are the currently promising exogenous tracks:

  • On-chain exchanges and brokerage service providers
  • Settlement and redemption solutions for long-tail asset tokenization
  • Deep integration of crypto + AI (private inference, distributed open-source model training like Nous Research's Psyche, etc.)
  • New digital banks (Payy and Raycash focusing on privacy protection are worth watching; Aztec and Zama providing programmable privacy infrastructure also have potential)
  • Lending track (Morpho has become mainstream in institutional repo markets; smaller projects like Valinor, 3jane focus on private credit niches)
  • Stablecoin issuers, real-world asset tokenization service providers
  • Payment rails (In general payments, Stripe and Tempo are industry benchmarks; in agent payments, Coinbase currently leads)
  • Non-financial crypto consumer products (Represented by Venice, Collector Crypt; these projects imbue tokens with real-world business value, driving product adoption and marketing empowerment)
  • Agent economy (Core opportunity lies in the access layer for agents, service providers, and creator collaboration ecosystems, which are less replaceable. Cloudflare is ahead in deployment, but whether it will charge for traffic or merely provide basic functional services remains to be seen)

At this stage, investing in equity of related companies remains the safest way to gain exposure to the above tracks; quality token targets are exceptional cases. The role of tokens will only increase as their value-carrying mechanisms continue to optimize, a process requiring joint efforts from regulators and the entire industry. Progress is being made: on the regulatory front, the CLARITY Act is steadily advancing; on the industry side, institutions like Blockworks are promoting market information transparency. The token mechanism still has a long way to go.

But none of these details change a core trend: The driving forces of the crypto market are shifting from a single factor to multiple factors. The focus of industry research is shifting from interpreting Bitcoin price charts to deep-diving into company fundamentals. In the next decade, there will be no need to wonder why the 'crypto market' no longer moves in unison, because the industry landscape has been fundamentally renewed.

Perguntas relacionadas

QAccording to the article, what is the key difference between endogenous and exogenous assets in the crypto market?

AEndogenous assets are traditional crypto assets whose value is completely dependent on the overall crypto market sentiment and Bitcoin's price movements. Their narratives often shift with market cycles. Exogenous assets, while nominally part of the crypto space, derive their value from independent fundamentals, such as real-world demand for specific services (e.g., AI inference, lending, payments). Their business models and revenue streams are increasingly decoupled from the price of Bitcoin or the general crypto market cycle.

QWhat two core advantages does the current cycle possess that previous crypto booms lacked, according to the author?

AThe current cycle possesses two core advantages previous booms lacked: 1) Sustainable, actual usage demand from paying customers, and 2) Investment decisions based increasingly on fundamental analysis of business models and revenue rather than purely on market narratives and speculation.

QUsing the analogy from the article, how is the relationship between traditional crypto assets and Bitcoin described, and how does it contrast with the future of exogenous assets?

ATraditional crypto assets are likened to small gold mining stocks, which have a high correlation (around 0.75) to the price of gold (Bitcoin). They essentially represent leveraged bets on Bitcoin. In contrast, the future for exogenous assets is compared to the relationship between gold and the S&P 500: they may be weakly linked by macroeconomics but largely follow independent, fundamental-driven logic and will gradually decouple from Bitcoin's price movements.

QWhat shift in analytical approach does the article suggest is necessary for evaluating exogenous crypto assets?

AThe article suggests that analyzing exogenous crypto assets requires a shift to a traditional fundamental due diligence approach, similar to analyzing fintech or tech companies. This involves examining the paying user base, unit economics, competitive moats, and business fundamentals. The price of Bitcoin is no longer the primary reference point, with the main additional consideration being the nuances of digital asset custody.

QName three example sectors or companies mentioned in the article that are categorized as exogenous or hybrid crypto assets.

AThree examples are: 1) Venice (a consumer AI service using tokens for payment/marketing), 2) Figure (a fintech lending company using its own blockchain to streamline loan processes), and 3) Hyperliquid (a hybrid platform where a growing portion of its business, like HIP-3 contracts, is based on non-crypto trading activity). Other examples include stablecoin issuers like BVNK, payment channels like Stripe/Tempo, and privacy-focused digital banks like Payy.

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Em contraste com o Bitcoin, que fornece um papel amplamente reconhecido como armazenamento de valor, este token parece focar em aplicações e características mais amplas. Aspectos notáveis incluem: Infraestrutura Blockchain: O token é construído na blockchain Solana, conhecida pela sua capacidade de lidar com transações de alta velocidade e baixo custo. Dinâmicas de Oferta: O OURO DIGITAL tem um fornecimento máximo limitado a 100 quatrilhões de tokens (100P $BITCOIN), embora os detalhes sobre o seu fornecimento circulante ainda não tenham sido divulgados. Utilidade: Embora as funcionalidades precisas não estejam explicitamente delineadas, existem indicações de que o token poderia ser utilizado para várias aplicações, potencialmente envolvendo aplicações descentralizadas (dApps) ou estratégias de tokenização de ativos. Quem é o Criador do OURO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN)? Neste momento, a identidade dos criadores e da equipa de desenvolvimento por trás do OURO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) permanece desconhecida. Esta situação é típica entre muitos projetos inovadores no espaço da blockchain, particularmente aqueles alinhados com finanças descentralizadas e fenómenos de moedas meme. Embora tal anonimato possa fomentar uma cultura orientada pela comunidade, intensifica as preocupações sobre governança e responsabilidade. Quem são os Investidores do OURO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN)? As informações disponíveis indicam que o OURO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) não tem apoiantes institucionais conhecidos ou investimentos proeminentes de capital de risco. O projeto parece operar num modelo peer-to-peer focado no apoio e adoção da comunidade, em vez de rotas de financiamento tradicionais. A sua atividade e liquidez estão principalmente situadas em exchanges descentralizadas (DEXs), como a PumpSwap, em vez de plataformas de negociação centralizadas estabelecidas, destacando ainda mais a sua abordagem de base. Como Funciona o OURO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) A mecânica operacional do OURO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) pode ser elaborada com base no seu design de blockchain e nas características da rede: Mecanismo de Consenso: Ao aproveitar o exclusivo proof-of-history (PoH) da Solana combinado com um modelo de proof-of-stake (PoS), o projeto assegura uma validação eficiente das transações, contribuindo para o alto desempenho da rede. Tokenomics: Embora mecanismos deflacionários específicos não tenham sido extensivamente detalhados, o vasto fornecimento máximo de tokens implica que pode atender a microtransações ou casos de uso de nicho que ainda estão por definir. Interoperabilidade: Existe o potencial para integração com o ecossistema mais amplo da Solana, incluindo várias plataformas de finanças descentralizadas (DeFi). No entanto, os detalhes sobre integrações específicas permanecem não especificados. Cronologia de Eventos Chave Aqui está uma cronologia que destaca marcos significativos relacionados ao OURO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN): 2023: O lançamento inicial do token ocorre na blockchain Solana, marcado pelo seu endereço de contrato. 2024: O OURO DIGITAL ganha visibilidade ao tornar-se disponível para negociação em exchanges descentralizadas como a PumpSwap, permitindo que os utilizadores o negociem contra SOL. 2025: O projeto testemunha atividade de negociação esporádica e potencial interesse em envolvimentos liderados pela comunidade, embora não tenham sido documentadas parcerias ou avanços técnicos notáveis até ao momento. Análise Crítica Forças Escalabilidade: A infraestrutura subjacente da Solana suporta altos volumes de transações, o que pode aumentar a utilidade do $BITCOIN em vários cenários de transação. Acessibilidade: O potencial preço de negociação baixo por token pode atrair investidores de retalho, facilitando uma participação mais ampla devido a oportunidades de propriedade fracionada. Riscos Falta de Transparência: A ausência de apoiantes, desenvolvedores ou um processo de auditoria publicamente conhecidos pode gerar ceticismo em relação à sustentabilidade e confiabilidade do projeto. Volatilidade do Mercado: A atividade de negociação depende fortemente do comportamento especulativo, o que pode resultar em volatilidade significativa dos preços e incerteza para os investidores. Conclusão O OURO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) surge como um projeto intrigante, mas ambíguo, dentro do ecossistema em rápida evolução da Solana. Embora tente aproveitar a narrativa do “ouro digital”, a sua divergência do papel estabelecido do Bitcoin como reserva de valor sublinha a necessidade de uma diferenciação mais clara da sua utilidade pretendida e estrutura de governança. A aceitação e adoção futuras dependerão provavelmente da abordagem da atual opacidade e da definição mais explícita das suas estratégias operacionais e económicas. Nota: Este relatório abrange informações sintetizadas disponíveis até outubro de 2023, e desenvolvimentos podem ter ocorrido além do período de pesquisa.

92 Visualizações TotaisPublicado em {updateTime}Atualizado em 2025.05.13

O que é $BITCOIN

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