Over the weekend, Bitcoin lacked liquidity and trading volume, with volatility severely decreasing. However, the selling pressure trend ended by the weekend, and last night it climbed back to around $90,000.
There are signs of a halt in the decline on the weekly chart. From a macro perspective, there are currently no reasons for a drop. The current range is in a position with limited downside and unlimited upside potential. A rebound is expected to occur within the next month.
In Q1 2026, Trump has vowed to directly distribute ?, so there is considerable hope. However, we will need to analyze the situation when the time comes.
BTC
Current price: $89,240, still in a wide consolidation range. The $89.5K-$90K range is currently seen as the top resistance level (for shorting). A failed breakout will lead to further decline; a bullish move requires a complete breakout above this range. Short-term trading should focus around these support and resistance levels.
The current upper volatility band is at $90,500, and the lower band is at $87,900. Corresponding short-term resistance is at $90,777–$92,410 (avoid shorting), and short-term support is at $85,710–$82,569.
Secondary resistance is at $93,668–$95,240 (enter on pullback after a breakout with volume; if only reached, enter on pullback to short-term resistance). Secondary support is at $83,540–$82,650.
Outside the range: Upwards, the resistance around the $100,000 mark ±$2,000 remains, referenced at $98,110–$101,116. Downwards, support at $79,050–$78,000 is effective, as is support at $75,750–$74,635.
ETH
ETH has finally broken above the $3,000 level after two days of consolidation. Those holding long positions can set breakeven stop-losses or take partial profits. The next targets are the $3,144 and $3,269 levels.
Today, the U.S. stock market will open with a slight downward correction before continuing to rise. Those without long positions can wait for a pullback to around $2,980–$2,950.
SOL
SOL has seen less than a 3% increase over the past three days... quite disappointing. The on-chain profitability is also poor, with major funds only recognizing BTC and ETH. After a rebound this week, it is likely to continue declining to new lows.
The biggest resistance this week is at $134, which is the highest point of the rebound from $116. Shorting near $133.85 offers the best risk-reward ratio for short-term trades. The secondary shorting point is around $131.5.
LIGHT
LIGHT suddenly crashed early this morning, leaving bulls with almost no time to react. For small-cap coins, this is not unexpected but a common occurrence. To be blunt: most people won’t make money on such coins. The cycles are extremely short, the pace is extremely fast, and the outcome is often either sideways distribution or a path to zero.
Currently, the overall position of altcoins is not stable. Don’t rush to go all-in, and don’t be swayed by a few big green candles. At this stage, I’d rather keep coins like $XPIN, $NIGHT, and $BEAT in the watchlist. Don’t rush or chase. Wait for the structure to clarify and signals to emerge before considering action. The market is not short of opportunities; what’s lacking are those who can stay steady when emotions are hottest.
MERL
MERL has touched around $0.50 three times recently, each time pulling back sharply after a brief rise. The selling pressure is heavy, showing typical divergence between volume and price. The unlock volume in December is too concentrated: the 12th, 15th, 16th, and 19th alone add 70 million tokens directly into circulation. With such solid and certain selling pressure and no substantial buying support, the price is likely to decline slowly initially. Once expectations build, it could accelerate downward.
I lean toward shorting on rallies. My short-term target is around the $0.30 support area, with a stop-loss set above $0.52. Before the unlock period, I’d rather stay short than try to withstand this pressure.
PIPPIN
PIPPIN has surged over 200x, with two daily chart peaks followed by pullback. This coin has likely topped out. It’s a shame I missed it during yesterday’s second peak.
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