Bitcoin Hashrate Drop Puts Miner Pressure Back In Focus: Analysts
According to VanEck analysts, Bitcoin's hashrate declined 4% as of mid-December, a signal that has often preceded price gains historically. Data shows that when the 30-day hashrate fell, Bitcoin’s 90-day forward returns were positive 65% of the time. Longer-term, a 90-day hashrate drop led to 180-day positive returns 77% of the time, with an average gain of 72%. Miner economics are under pressure, with break-even power costs dropping significantly, forcing less efficient operators offline. Some capacity, particularly in China, has left the network. Meanwhile, rising AI compute demand may further reduce Bitcoin’s hashrate. Despite Bitcoin trading nearly 30% below its October high, miner capitulation has historically set the stage for price stabilization and future gains.
bitcoinist12/23 17:02