2026-04-22 Quarta

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Monero – Why XMR buyers should wait for this potential opportunity

Monero (XMR) experienced a 7% rally during the Christmas period, rising from $432 to over $460, partly due to a slight decline in Bitcoin dominance. However, the bounce was accompanied by low liquidity and trading volume, making it vulnerable to a reversal. A potential buying opportunity may arise if XMR retests the $400–$420 support zone, which aligns with the 50-day Moving Average—a level that has historically acted as a rebound point. The MACD indicator is nearing a Death Cross, which could push the price toward this support area. A bounce from this level could target $470, representing a potential 15% gain. While the futures market shows no signs of overheating, broader market sentiment remains negative. A shift to positive sentiment could support a stronger recovery. A break below the 50-day MA would invalidate this outlook.

ambcrypto12/29 06:01

Monero – Why XMR buyers should wait for this potential opportunity

ambcrypto12/29 06:01

Bitcoin is About to Choose a Direction, How to Respond Flexibly | Invited Analysis

Bitcoin is approaching a critical directional decision after an extended period of consolidation. Since reaching its all-time high of $126,200 in October, BTC has been in a confirmed medium-term downtrend, with a maximum drawdown of approximately 36% over 82 days. Technical indicators suggest the market is in an oversold area, and a directional breakout is imminent. Last week’s price action validated the analyst’s core view of wide-range oscillation between key levels. Two short-term trades were executed within the defined resistance zone of $89,500–$91,000, yielding a total return of 3.62%. The current analysis suggests that, in the absence of sudden news, a likely scenario involves a final downward move breaking the $80,000 psychological support to flush out remaining long positions before a potential reversal and technical rebound. This week (Dec 29–Jan 4), the market is expected to test the $86,000–$86,500 support region. A break below could lead to a decline toward $83,500–$84,500, while holding may extend the current consolidation. Two short-term trading plans are proposed based on whether this support holds or breaks, using 30% position sizing with strict stop-loss and trailing stop protocols. Key macro events this week include the release of the FOMC meeting minutes and US jobless claims data, which may influence medium-term interest rate expectations and market liquidity sentiment.

marsbit12/29 05:39

Bitcoin is About to Choose a Direction, How to Respond Flexibly | Invited Analysis

marsbit12/29 05:39

Bitcoin is About to Choose a Direction, How to Respond Flexibly | Invited Analysis

Odaily featured market analyst Conaldo provides a weekly trading report on Bitcoin (BTC). Last week, the strategy of shorting within the defined resistance zone of $89,500–$91,000 was successfully performed twice, yielding a total return of 3.62%. The core view that the market would experience wide-range volatility was validated, with price action accurately testing the identified support and resistance levels. From a technical perspective, BTC has been in a confirmed medium-term bearish trend since its historic high on October 6th, with a maximum drawdown of approximately 36% over 82 days. However, multiple technical indicators suggest the market is approaching oversold conditions historically associated with bottoms. Since November 22nd, price has consolidated in a low-range, indicating a balance between bullish and bearish forces and a buildup of energy for a directional breakout. A key possibility is presented: if the market is dominated by major players, a strategic move for bears could be to break down below the critical psychological level of $80,000. This would flush out remaining long positions via panic selling, potentially forming a final bottom before a powerful technical rebound. **This Week's Outlook (Dec 29 - Jan 4):** The market is expected to oscillate with a bearish bias, with the core area to watch being **$86,000–$86,500**. * A break below could lead to a test of the **$83,500–$84,500** support zone. * Holding above could extend the current **$86,500–$91,000** consolidation. **Trading Strategy:** * Maintain a **65% core short position**. * Use **30% of capital** for short-term "spread" opportunities based on support/resistance levels. * Two contingency plans (A/B) are provided for price action relative to the $86,000–$86,500 zone, involving short entries on bounces or breakdowns, with defined stop-loss and take-profit levels. **Key Events to Watch:** * **Fed Meeting Minutes (Wed):** Clarity on internal divisions regarding the timing and pace of rate cuts could impact medium-term liquidity expectations. * **Initial Jobless Claims (Wed):** A sustained increase could reinforce cooling labor market narratives, supporting looser monetary policy expectations. * **Manufacturing PMI Final (Fri):** Will help gauge the "soft landing" narrative and overall risk asset sentiment. *All analysis is based on technical models and is for informational purposes only, not investment advice. DYOR. Market risk exists.*

Odaily星球日报12/29 05:35

Bitcoin is About to Choose a Direction, How to Respond Flexibly | Invited Analysis

Odaily星球日报12/29 05:35

Hacker Attack Halves Flow, Rollback Plan Sparks Civil War in Ecosystem

Flow, a Layer 1 blockchain built by Dapper Labs, suffered a major security breach last Saturday when a hacker exploited an execution layer vulnerability, transferring approximately $3.9 million in assets off-chain. The attack caused the price of FLOW to plummet by over 50%, dropping from $0.173 to $0.079, though it later partially recovered to around $0.107. Initially, the Flow Foundation proposed rolling back the network to a checkpoint before the attack occurred, which would have erased all transactions within a six-hour window. This decision was met with strong opposition from ecosystem partners, especially cross-chain bridges like deBridge and LayerZero, who warned that a rollback could cause asset duplication, inconsistencies, and significant losses for legitimate users. Facing community backlash and partner concerns, the foundation abandoned the rollback plan. Instead, it adopted an "Isolation Recovery Plan" developed in coordination with key partners. The new strategy involves no chain reorganization, preserves all legitimate user transactions, and temporarily restricts accounts that received illicitly minted tokens. The network will be restored in multiple stages, with full functionality expected within 24 to 48 hours. The incident has raised questions about network reliability and governance, shifting the crisis from a technical issue to a broader challenge of trust in Flow's decentralized integrity.

marsbit12/29 05:18

Hacker Attack Halves Flow, Rollback Plan Sparks Civil War in Ecosystem

marsbit12/29 05:18

Hacker Attack Cuts Flow in Half, Rollback Plan Sparks Civil War Within Ecosystem

A severe hack targeting the Flow blockchain, developed by Dapper Labs, led to the theft of approximately $3.9 million due to an execution layer vulnerability. The incident caused the token FLOW to plummet by over 50%, dropping from $0.173 to $0.079, though it later partially recovered to around $0.107. Initially, the Flow Foundation proposed rolling back the network to a checkpoint before the attack to remove all transactions within a six-hour window, aiming to eliminate fraudulent activity. However, this plan faced strong opposition from cross-chain bridge partners and community members. Key partners, including deBridge and LayerZero, warned that a rollback could cause severe issues like double-spending and inconsistent asset states across chains, potentially harming legitimate users and bridge operators. Under significant criticism, Flow abandoned the rollback plan and instead adopted an "Isolation and Recovery" strategy. This new approach involves no chain reorganization, preserves all legitimate user transactions, and temporarily restricts accounts that received illicitly minted assets. The recovery is being executed in phases, with Cadence environment repairs prioritized first, followed by gradual reactivation of EVM functionality and cross-chain services. The incident sparked a broader debate about decentralization and chain integrity, with critics arguing that the initial rollback proposal revealed excessive centralization. The revised recovery plan has eased some tensions, but the event remains a significant test for Flow's ecosystem stability and trustworthiness.

Odaily星球日报12/29 05:09

Hacker Attack Cuts Flow in Half, Rollback Plan Sparks Civil War Within Ecosystem

Odaily星球日报12/29 05:09

Cardano’s 10% hike – Will ADA’s price recovery extend into 2026?

Cardano (ADA) has declined to the $0.32–$0.36 support level, erasing all gains from the 2024 U.S. election rally. However, recent technical indicators suggest a potential reversal. A bullish divergence in the daily RSI and a MACD golden cross coincided with a 10% post-Christmas rally. If the support holds, the next targets are the 50-day MA at $0.42 and the former 2025 support at $0.50. Liquidation heatmaps indicate potential upward movement toward $0.39 and $0.42. With most holders at a loss, selling pressure is low, offering a possible buying opportunity. A break below $0.32, however, could push ADA down to $0.24.

ambcrypto12/29 05:03

Cardano’s 10% hike – Will ADA’s price recovery extend into 2026?

ambcrypto12/29 05:03

Steam, Steel, and Infinite Intelligence

The article "Steam, Steel, and Infinite Mind" by Ivan Zhao, CEO of Notion, explores how AI is poised to become the defining technological material of our era, much like steel shaped the Gilded Age and semiconductors enabled the digital age. The author argues that while AI currently mimics past forms—like early films resembling stage plays or AI chatbots resembling search engines—it holds transformative potential. At the individual level, AI can elevate knowledge workers from "bicycles" to "cars," as seen with programmers who now use AI assistants to become dramatically more efficient. However, two key challenges remain: fragmented context across tools and the lack of verifiability in non-programming knowledge work. At the organizational level, AI acts like "steel" for companies, enabling them to scale without the inefficiencies of human communication as a bottleneck. It also parallels the steam engine, which initially replaced water wheels but later allowed entirely new factory designs. Most companies are still in the "water wheel stage," using AI within old workflows rather than reimagining operations around continuous, asynchronous intelligence. On an economic scale, AI could enable a shift from human-scale "Florence-like" organizations to AI-augmented "megacities" of knowledge work—larger, faster, and more complex, but also more powerful. The conclusion urges looking beyond the rearview mirror to imagine and build this new frontier of infinite intelligence.

marsbit12/29 04:56

Steam, Steel, and Infinite Intelligence

marsbit12/29 04:56

Steam, Steel, and Infinite Intelligence

Steam, Steel, and Infinite Intelligence Each era is defined by its core technological material: steel forged the Gilded Age, semiconductors enabled the digital age, and now, AI arrives as infinite intelligence. History shows that those who master the material define the era. Today, AI often resembles a supercharged search engine, but we are in an uncomfortable transition period. The future of knowledge work can be envisioned through historical metaphors. At the individual level, AI transition is like moving from a bicycle to a car. Top practitioners, like programmers, are already becoming managers of infinite intelligence, achieving 30-40x productivity gains. For others to follow, two key problems must be solved: fragmented context across dozens of tools and a lack of verifiability for general knowledge work. Once these are addressed, billions will move from "bicycles" to "cars" and eventually to "autopilot." For organizations, AI is the new steel and steam. Companies historically lose efficiency as they scale, burdened by human-scale communication. AI, like steel, can provide coherent context and decision-making support, allowing companies to scale without decay. Like the steam engine, it will enable a complete reimagining of workflows beyond simply replacing old tools, moving from water wheels to powerful, always-on intelligence. For the entire economy, this shift mirrors the transition from a human-scale city like Florence to a modern megacity. The knowledge economy, which constitutes nearly half of US GDP, still operates on a human scale. With AI, we will build "Tokyo"—organizations of thousands of humans and AIs, operating across time zones, synthesizing decisions with precise human input. This will be faster and more leveraged, though initially disorienting. We are still in the "water wheel" stage of AI, plugging chatbots into human-designed workflows. The challenge is to stop looking through the rearview mirror and start building the next skyline with the new materials of infinite intelligence.

深潮12/29 04:47

Steam, Steel, and Infinite Intelligence

深潮12/29 04:47

Reading Trends from Data: The Logic Behind the Crypto Market Rebound and Potential Risks

Analysis of the crypto market rebound and underlying risks, based on data for the week of Dec 20-26. Bitcoin found technical support at the $85,000 level, bouncing from a low of $84,500. While a technical rebound is underway, key data suggests the market is not yet on a solid footing for a sustained trend reversal. Key short-term data points show mixed picture: * **Stablecoins:** Net issuance remained negative at -$326M, but the outflow rate slowed by 60% week-over-week. * **BTC ETFs:** Net outflows worsened significantly to -$664.37M, a crucial headwind. A return to net inflows is deemed essential for a true reversal. * **OTC Premiums:** USDT and USDC premiums fell to 97.86% and 98.36% respectively, indicating weak demand and persistent capital outflows. * **ETH ETFs:** Outflows narrowed considerably to -$139.53M from the previous week, providing some relative stability for Ethereum. Mid-term on-chain data revealed minor accumulation by addresses holding 100-1K BTC, while larger wallets (10K-100K BTC) reduced holdings. Strong筹码 accumulation was noted near the $87,100 price point, suggesting it could become a key support level. The altcoin market (TOTAL3) saw a modest 1.95% gain but overall sentiment remained weak. Key observations include: * Low trading activity and a subdued market sentiment index. * BTC dominance held high at 65.76%, indicating altcoins continue to underperform Bitcoin. * Meme coins and high-profile tokens saw sporadic gains, but lacked sustained, broad-based momentum. * TVL across major chains saw minor increases, with Base chain standing out with a 4.76% TVL growth. In conclusion, while technical indicators suggest a potential for rebound from oversold conditions, persistent ETF outflows, weak stablecoin demand, and low altcoin momentum highlight significant underlying risks. The market requires a fundamental shift in capital flows, particularly into ETFs, to confirm a durable upward trend.

marsbit12/29 04:13

Reading Trends from Data: The Logic Behind the Crypto Market Rebound and Potential Risks

marsbit12/29 04:13

Crypto Is More Than Speculation, Becoming a Holiday Gift Option for Gen Z

Cryptocurrency is emerging as a potential holiday gift option for Gen Z, though their attitudes remain complex and divided. While some young people are open to receiving digital assets like Bitcoin or Ethereum as gifts—viewing them as entry points into investing or symbols of a democratized financial future—many prefer more stable investments tied to long-term goals, such as stocks, real estate, or retirement accounts. The article highlights personal stories, like that of 22-year-old Wyatt Johnson, who lost nearly half his investment in Solana during the 2021 crypto crash but remains open to crypto gifts. Others, like Russell Kai, prefer traditional, government-backed assets due to crypto’s volatility and lack of security. Despite recent market downturns—Bitcoin fell nearly 35% from its October peak—some see the dip as a buying opportunity. However, financial experts caution that crypto should only form a small part of a diversified portfolio. Overall, Gen Z’s willingness to engage with crypto is tempered by economic pressures and a preference for stability in an uncertain financial landscape.

比推12/29 04:12

Crypto Is More Than Speculation, Becoming a Holiday Gift Option for Gen Z

比推12/29 04:12

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