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Wall Street's Top Quantitative Firm Jump Trading Enters the Prediction Market, Is the Era of Retail Investors Over?

Wall Street quantitative trading giant Jump Trading is entering the prediction market sector through strategic partnerships with leading platforms Kalshi and Polymarket. In exchange for providing liquidity, Jump will receive equity stakes in both companies—a fixed share in Kalshi and a performance-based stake in Polymarket tied to its U.S. trading volume. Prediction markets have faced persistent liquidity challenges, with platforms often experiencing shallow order books and wide bid-ask spreads outside of major events. While Kalshi previously engaged SIG as a market maker and Polymarket relied on decentralized incentives and algorithmic traders, both platforms have struggled to maintain stable, deep liquidity consistently. The equity-for-liquidity model aligns incentives: platforms gain access to Jump’s sophisticated, low-latency market-making capabilities, while Jump positions itself to benefit from the sector’s growth—Kalshi and Polymarket are valued at approximately $11B and $9B, respectively. Market making in prediction markets offers potential profits from spreads, incentives, and arbitrage, but it also carries significant risks, including event-driven volatility, limited hedging options, and regulatory uncertainty. While Jump’s advanced infrastructure and cross-asset experience may allow it to capture alpha and leverage equity upside, smaller players face high barriers to entry. The move signals a maturation of the prediction market space, with institutional participation likely to improve liquidity but also centralize influence among top-tier firms.

marsbit02/10 14:39

Wall Street's Top Quantitative Firm Jump Trading Enters the Prediction Market, Is the Era of Retail Investors Over?

marsbit02/10 14:39

Ethereum Remains Under Pressure as Price Consolidates Near $2,000

Ethereum (ETH) is trading near $2,012, down 4.40%, after failing to sustain a recovery above $2,140. The price is consolidating near $2,000, with the broader trend remaining bearish as it trades below all major moving averages. Key support lies at $1,950, followed by the $1,800–$1,700 zone, while resistance is near $2,140 and $2,200. Momentum indicators like RSI and MACD signal continued bearish pressure. Despite analyst Tom Lee's optimistic outlook, technical weakness persists. Meanwhile, the Ethereum Foundation is supporting initiatives to enhance security, and developers are planning upgrades to improve network efficiency.

TheNewsCrypto02/10 14:08

Ethereum Remains Under Pressure as Price Consolidates Near $2,000

TheNewsCrypto02/10 14:08

SwissBorg Launches Withdrawal Protection to Counter Physical Crypto Extortion

SwissBorg, a leading European crypto investment app, has introduced a new security feature called Withdrawal Protection to combat physical extortion attacks. This feature imposes a non-bypassable time delay of 1 to 90 days on all external cryptocurrency withdrawals, preventing immediate asset transfers even if a user is coerced into initiating a transaction. The delay is designed to remove the incentive for real-world "wrench attacks" by eliminating the possibility of instant access to funds. According to SwissBorg CEO Cyrus Fazel, the feature provides users with additional real-world security alongside existing digital safeguards. Once enabled, the delay applies to all external withdrawals and cannot be bypassed—even by SwissBorg support. Trading, portfolio management, and internal transfers remain unaffected. The update is part of SwissBorg’s broader security strategy, which includes MPC keyless technology and Proof of Liabilities. Withdrawal Protection is available in the latest version of the SwissBorg app.

TheNewsCrypto02/10 14:08

SwissBorg Launches Withdrawal Protection to Counter Physical Crypto Extortion

TheNewsCrypto02/10 14:08

Why is ZRO’s price up today? A breakout, a ‘threat’ and more…

LayerZero (ZRO) has surged 14.47% in the past 24 hours, driven by a bullish technical structure. After a rally from $1.20 to $2.39 in January, ZRO retested and held the key $1.46 Fibonacci support level, confirming a bullish reversal. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) showed increased pressure, and the MACD indicated a potential bullish crossover. Key resistance levels are now at $2.39 and $2.67. However, on-chain metrics suggest caution. Exchange net inflows have been positive, indicating potential profit-taking. The declining mean coin age and spikes in dormant circulation further suggest distribution. The 180-day MVRV ratio shows a 6% profit for recent buyers, which may incentivize selling. While the technical outlook remains strong, profit-taking pressure could delay or derail a rally toward $2.69.

ambcrypto02/10 14:02

Why is ZRO’s price up today? A breakout, a ‘threat’ and more…

ambcrypto02/10 14:02

Behind the 2000 BTC Incident: The Fundamental Problem of CEX Ledgers

On February 6, Bithumb, a South Korean cryptocurrency exchange, mistakenly distributed 2,000 BTC each to 249 users due to a unit error during a promotional event—intending to give away 2,000 KRW (≈$1.4) per user. The total erroneous distribution amounted to 62,000 BTC, worth approximately $41.5–44 billion. Although these assets existed only in Bithumb’s internal ledger and not on-chain, they were tradable on the platform, causing BTC/KRW prices to drop nearly 17% within minutes and triggering over $400 million in derivatives liquidations. Bithumb responded within 35 minutes, freezing affected accounts and recovering over 99% of the misallocated BTC. The remaining 1,788 BTC were covered by the exchange’s own funds. The incident exposed a fundamental flaw in centralized exchanges (CEXs): their reliance on internal accounting systems that allow rapid balance adjustments without corresponding on-chain assets. This creates systemic risk, as user balances are essentially IOU entries rather than real assets. The article draws parallels with historical failures like Mt.Gox and FTX, where discrepancies between internal ledgers and actual reserves led to catastrophic collapses. While Bithumb’s quick response limited damage, the event underscores the structural vulnerabilities of CEXs, prompting South Korean regulators to consider stricter oversight. The piece concludes that such incidents highlight the inherent trust asymmetry in CEX operations, where users rely on exchanges to honor ledger entries as real assets—a risk that remains ever-present.

比推02/10 13:52

Behind the 2000 BTC Incident: The Fundamental Problem of CEX Ledgers

比推02/10 13:52

AI Can’t Save the Market Alone, But It Can Transform It: How SUBBD Token Redefines Content Economics

While AI cannot single-handedly save the market from volatility, it is a powerful tool for creating efficiency and disrupting legacy industries. The market is shifting focus from speculative AI trading bots to projects that apply AI to solve real-world problems. SUBBD Token exemplifies this trend by targeting the $191 billion creator economy. It uses AI automation and Web3 infrastructure to address issues like high platform fees and censorship, offering creators tools like an AI Personal Assistant and voice cloning. The project has raised $1.47M in its presale and offers a 20% APY for staking to encourage long-term holding and stabilize its token economy.

bitcoinist02/10 13:46

AI Can’t Save the Market Alone, But It Can Transform It: How SUBBD Token Redefines Content Economics

bitcoinist02/10 13:46

Russian Lawmaker Predicts Bitcoin Collapse While Smart Money Rotates into Layer 2 Utility

A Russian lawmaker, Anatoly Aksakov, predicts Bitcoin's collapse due to its lack of state backing, contrasting with strong institutional investment flows. Meanwhile, capital is rotating into Layer 2 infrastructure like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), which integrates Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) to enable high-speed smart contracts on Bitcoin. The project has raised over $31.3M in its presale, attracting significant whale activity. This shift aims to address Bitcoin's scalability issues, adding utility beyond "digital gold" and supporting decentralized applications. Despite regulatory skepticism, market data indicates growing investor confidence in Bitcoin's Layer-2 evolution.

bitcoinist02/10 13:32

Russian Lawmaker Predicts Bitcoin Collapse While Smart Money Rotates into Layer 2 Utility

bitcoinist02/10 13:32

Solana’s Low Fees Create Strong Competition for Base, BNB, and Polygon and Fuel SUBBD Token

Solana's consistently low transaction fees, often below $0.001, are creating intense competitive pressure on rival blockchains like Base, BNB Chain, and Polygon. This cost efficiency is driving retail liquidity toward Solana and shifting market demand toward low-friction utility platforms. A key beneficiary of this trend is SUBBD Token ($SUBBD), which leverages AI and Web3 infrastructure to disrupt the $191 billion creator economy. SUBBD addresses the high commission fees (up to 70%) on Web2 platforms by offering AI-driven tools for content creators, including voice cloning and automated assistants, enabling better monetization and workflow efficiency. The project has raised over $1.47 million in its ongoing presale, signaling strong interest in the convergence of AI and crypto for content monetization.

bitcoinist02/10 13:29

Solana’s Low Fees Create Strong Competition for Base, BNB, and Polygon and Fuel SUBBD Token

bitcoinist02/10 13:29

CZ Pushes Back, Says Traders Must Own Risk, Not Blame Binance

Binance co-founder Changpeng "CZ" Zhao has strongly criticized traders who blame the exchange for their losses, arguing that individuals must take responsibility for their own trading decisions rather than shifting blame during market downturns. He emphasized that negative narratives often rely on speculation, not facts, and that compliance systems, law enforcement, and AML tools—not social media pressure—determine asset mobility. Zhao urged patience, noting that flagged cases are resolved through proper channels. His comments come as crypto markets consolidate, with Bitcoin near $70,000 and Ethereum steady. Zhao reiterated that Binance operates on systematic compliance processes, not reactions to online trends, and that ultimate risk lies with traders, not the platform.

TheNewsCrypto02/10 13:23

CZ Pushes Back, Says Traders Must Own Risk, Not Blame Binance

TheNewsCrypto02/10 13:23

LayerZero (ZRO) Breaks Higher With an 11% Gain: Will It Carry Prices Higher or Trigger a Pullback?

LayerZero (ZRO) has surged by 11.54% in the past 24 hours, breaking above key resistance levels and reaching a high of $2.03. Currently trading at $1.85, its market cap stands at $490.17 million, while daily volume spiked over 128% to $187.7 million. Technical indicators suggest growing bullish momentum: the MACD line is above the signal line, the RSI is at 68.84 (nearing overbought territory), and the Bull Bear Power shows mild bullish control. If buying pressure continues, ZRO could target $1.97. However, a bearish reversal might push the price down to support at $1.79 or even $1.73. The overall crypto market remains volatile, with Bitcoin and Ethereum trading at $68.8K and $2K, respectively.

TheNewsCrypto02/10 13:21

LayerZero (ZRO) Breaks Higher With an 11% Gain: Will It Carry Prices Higher or Trigger a Pullback?

TheNewsCrypto02/10 13:21

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