【重磅解读】293万枚BTC被链上转账,ETH多空比下降趋势

火币资讯Publicado em 2022-08-23Última atualização em 2022-08-24

Resumo

BTC跌幅扩大后未确认亏损增加,链上交易活跃,关注震荡中的机会。

1、 BTC酝酿横盘下跌

4小时K线图中显示,BTC正在酝酿横盘后的破位下跌走势,价格短期回撤到20900美元附近,进一步下跌的可能性较大。布林线短线收口以后,BTC没能企稳在布林线中轨以上,意味着价格短期横向调整为进一步下跌做准备。

本次BTC若能进一步回调,下跌或将很快触及前期低点17622美元上方。考虑到近期BTC换手相对充分,BTC一旦跌破了19000美元,套牢盘将快速增多,反过来推动BTC价格跌幅创新高。

2、未确认亏损大幅度反弹

从BTC的未确认的亏损规模来看,随着BTC价格再次回撤,未确认的亏损规模显著反弹。数值上看,8月22日未确认的亏损规模反弹至0.397%,距离前期高位0.52非常接近。可见,BTC短线跌幅虽然不大,却在极短时间里套牢了持币投资者。套牢盘增加反过来打压价格反弹空间,因此低吸时机还要耐心等待。

3、 链上交易量维持稳定

BTC在8月23日的链上转账数量多达293.2万枚BTC,说明链上交易量依然维持活跃状态。从6月13日开始,BTC链上交易量维持稳定,说明在价格回撤期间,BTC的换手率有增无减。链上转账非常活跃,意味着BTC的价格还可能持续较大波动。链上转账价值较高,投资者换手了大量BTC的情况下,新入市投资者也相应的增多。新入市投资者的盈利有限,对价格波动相对敏感,因此可继续关注BTC强震的可能性。

4、ETH盘整

ETH价格横盘运行在布林线下轨附近,成交量处在萎缩状态,使得价格反弹预期较弱。RSI占比回落速度较快,表明ETH下跌的交易日很多。据此判断,目前ETH在1600美元附近迹象寻求多空争夺结果。预期价格仍然以整理调整为主。静待短期内消化抛压后,在考虑入市抄底。

5、ETH多空比下降

近期ETH的合约多空比处在明确的下降趋势中,明确8月22日的多空比依然高于50,数值显示为0.505,多方实力表现较强。尽管如此,不得不怀疑ETH的调整节奏正在加快中。随着多空比持续表现不佳,预期近期ETH价格难以持续强劲涨幅,震荡中运行是较大概率事件。

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