12月4日：BTC、ETH、SOL 、VSN、HYPE行情分析

金色财经Publicado em 2025-12-04Última atualização em 2025-12-04

加密市场继续回暖。BTC已连续3日修复，重回93k，接近30日均线94k。这或许和美联储QT结束、宏观流动性宽松等利好有关。

CEX 山寨跟随大盘，昨天只有机器人赛道的sapien 拉翻倍了，其余都是弱势拉升，不过有数据的山寨还不错，比如 ena hype pump 等；

BTC

BTC93-93.8K 关键价格区间，阻力位动能减弱，震荡通道上涨，潜在的极速通道模型，三段式回踩反弹，前两次都是触及下跌趋势线附近下跌，这次呢？

第一次下跌后反弹12%，耗时10天；

第二次下跌后反弹10%，耗时一周；

第三次下跌后反弹16%目前，耗时12天

BTC现阶段还是围绕前期震荡区间93000附近，上方筹码密集区在96000附近，当前走降息反弹行情，反弹幅度较大，虽然有机会，但追高需谨慎。

从清算地图上看，上方有清算96000附近需求，而下方有回踩9万、8.8万的需求，一般关键位都会反复磨后才会突破，关键位也是机会位。

ETH

ETH这波属于4h级别主升浪上涨形态，也可以理解成w底，这波高点预计在分割线1.618附近，对标价格3380-3400区间，计划在这个位置进场做空，短期不要进场做空了。

目前ETH到比较强的压力了 ,来看有回调需求,没有做多的可以关注3120 -3080 。

SOL

SOL一鼓作气，再而衰三而竭。前晚拉的最猛，昨晚次之，今天就有点拉不动了。触底123后反弹到146.85，目前为止还没有正常的回踩，而146.85处于1日boll上轨，不回踩140以下没有必要补仓。

146.85上方的阻力点再就是150.75、157。如果146这里没有7个点以上的回撤，那么到150-154也会有8-11个点的回撤，因为150是个整数关口，不会一下两下站得稳，所以150.5-154这里会诞生一个做空机会。站稳144.25-141.85后，才会再上攻157。

VSN

合规版 Web3 + RWA 基础设施L1,上了B安Alpha，日线长期在一个标准下降通道里充分换手，最近在通道上沿附近放量抬头，有明显“想走出通道”的迹象；这个节点叠加 Alpha 上线，属于典型的结构 + 叙事共振位——风险还在，但赔率开始变好看。

HYPE

HYPE已出现明显顶背离，价格接近平行高点并伴随 MACD 动能衰竭。若同时与比特币和以太坊出现共振回调，则提供短线做空机会。但需注意此类币波动更高，仓位与风险管理更重要。

航情瞬息万变，具体进出场位置根据实时去决定，每一波暴跌后迎来的都是星辰大海，对后续行情布局相当迷茫的可以关注甜梦,交硫葳：RFGH8689

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