Messari: разработчики Polymarket готовят запуск токена POLY и масштабный аирдроп

cryptonews.ruPublicado em 2025-10-16Última atualização em 2025-10-24

Платформа предсказаний Polymarket, работающая на блокчейне Polygon, готовится к запуску собственного токена POLY и анонсированного аирдропа. Об этом сообщил директор по маркетингу компании Мэттью Моддабер, отметив, что выпуск криптовалюты станет ключевой частью стратегии расширения площадки после возвращения на рынок США.

По данным внутреннего отчета Messari, Polymarket уже обработала более $7,7 млрд торгового объема в 2025 году, а ее оценка достигла $8 млрд–$9 млрд после инвестиций на $2 млрд от материнской компании Нью-Йоркской фондовой биржи. Рост платформы стал одним из самых заметных в секторе Web3-прогнозов, что вызвало оживленные дискуссии о грядущем распределении токенов среди активных пользователей.

Запуск POLY находится на паузе до завершения регуляторных процедур. При этом аналитики оценивают вероятность проведения токен-генерационного события (TGE) в 2026 году. В случае успешного запуска Polymarket намерена перейти от выплат в USDC к новой модели стимулов, основанной на распределении токенов и очков активности.

Механика будущего аирдропа, по предварительным данным, будет учитывать деятельность пользователей, объем торгов и прибыльность сделок. Платформа отслеживает как общую сумму ставок, так и показатель прибыли и убытков (PNL). Владельцы кошельков с результатами свыше $1 тыс. попадают в топ-0,51%, а обеспечившие торговые объемы свыше $50 тыс. — в 1,74% участников.

Ожидается, что система распределения будет многоуровневой. Крупные участники получат наибольшие доли, тогда как пользователи с умеренными объемами могут рассчитывать на 25%–30% общего пула. Спекуляции указывают, что в расчет будут также приниматься сложные торговые стратегии — использование нескольких кошельков, участие в арбитраже и создание ликвидности без явных признаков спам-активности.

Leituras Relacionadas

MORPHO tests key resistance after Solana launch—Will the breakout hold?

Morpho (MORPHO) has officially launched on the Solana network, with trading now available on DEXs like Raydium and Jupiter. Following the news, the token's price surged 8.34% in 24 hours, accompanied by significant increases in trading volume (105%) and Open Interest (18%), indicating strong short-term bullish momentum. This aligns with a recent forecast setting a $60 price target for MORPHO. Technically, the token has been consolidating within a range, approximately between $1.64 and $2.28, since April. A recent 43% rally from June 23 has pushed the price to test key resistance. While the RSI supports the upward move, the Accumulation/Distribution indicator suggests underlying selling pressure remains. Although a bullish breakout appears to be forming, analysts urge caution. The price has attempted to break out of this range twice since May, only to reverse back toward the $1.60 support level each time. For a confirmed bullish trend, a daily close above the late-May swing high of $2.42 is needed. Traders are advised to wait for this confirmation or have clear exit strategies, as the current $2.20-$2.42 zone represents a critical supply area that could trigger another reversal.

ambcryptoHá 6m

MORPHO tests key resistance after Solana launch—Will the breakout hold?

ambcryptoHá 6m

The First to Ride the Hype of Robinhood Chain: Arbitrum, Up Nearly 20%

ARB rose nearly 20% recently, becoming one of the top-performing major L2 tokens. The catalyst was the launch of Robinhood Chain, an RWA-focused Layer 2 built on Arbitrum's Orbit tech. A key driver is the revived "Arbitrum Expansion Program" (AEP), a revenue-sharing rule from 2024 requiring independent Orbit chains to give 10% of their net protocol revenue to the Arbitrum ecosystem. While smaller chains already paid this, Robinhood Chain, with its significant TradFi backing, is the first large-scale tenant to make the mechanism economically meaningful. Despite impressive early metrics (over 35k addresses, $2.5B TVL, $1B+ DEX volume in its first week), Robinhood Chain's current contribution to Arbitrum's treasury is minor (~$14.7k net revenue). The price surge reflects a narrative-driven premium on AEP's future potential, given Robinhood's vast off-chain assets. The situation mirrors Optimism's "landlord" model with OP Stack, which is now facing a decline as its major tenant, Base, plans to leave. Similarly, analysts question if the high-earning Robinhood Chain will eventually follow Base's path and seek independence from Arbitrum's tech stack, especially as its activity already benefits Ethereum more directly through ETH fee burns.

marsbitHá 48m

The First to Ride the Hype of Robinhood Chain: Arbitrum, Up Nearly 20%

marsbitHá 48m

US Stocks Are at an Extremely Fragile Moment as Earnings Season Kicks Off

U.S. stocks are entering a high-stakes earnings season amidst what analysts describe as an "extremely fragile" market environment. While major indices show subdued volatility, underlying pressures from geopolitics, monetary policy expectations, and mixed credit market signals are building. UBS's proprietary "Turbu-lens" market fragility indicator has reached 0.9, its highest level since September 2025, historically a precursor to a sharp spike in the VIX volatility index. The risk is amplified by elevated earnings expectations. Analysts project robust profit growth for Q2—24% for the S&P 500 and 12% for the Stoxx 600—but recent upward revisions mean disappointment could trigger outsized market moves. Current low VIX levels are seen as misleading and temporary, with the earnings season likely to push volatility higher. Market internals reveal significant stress, with single-stock volatility exceeding index volatility by more than threefold. This divergence suggests a potential convergence that could drive a sharp rise in index-level volatility. Given likely continued sector rotation, UBS suggests single-stock options may offer better tactical hedging opportunities than broad index hedges. Further pressures stem from rising oil prices, which threaten to keep inflation and interest rate expectations elevated, and a cautious credit market where CDS spreads have not confirmed the equity rally's strength. For investors, UBS recommends focusing on pair-wise correlation trades to navigate expected stock-specific volatility, highlighting sectors like Tech, Energy, and Financials in the U.S. and Energy, Tech, and Consumer Discretionary in Europe.

marsbitHá 51m

US Stocks Are at an Extremely Fragile Moment as Earnings Season Kicks Off

marsbitHá 51m

US Stocks Are at a Time of 'Extreme Fragility' as Earnings Season Begins

U.S. stocks are in an "extremely fragile" state as earnings season begins. Despite low index-level volatility, internal pressures are mounting due to geopolitical tensions, monetary policy expectations, and credit market signals. UBS's market fragility indicator, "Turbu-lens," has reached 0.9, its highest level since September 2025, historically a precursor to sharp VIX spikes. High earnings expectations for Q2—24% for the S&P 500 and 12% for Europe's Stoxx 600—amplify the risk of market disappointment. While the VIX is currently low, this calm is seen as temporary and likely to rise with earnings reports. Notably, single-stock volatility is over three times higher than index volatility, indicating extreme internal market divergence. This gap is expected to narrow, potentially triggering a surge in broader market volatility. Rising oil prices near $80/barrel maintain inflation concerns, keeping the Federal Reserve cautious and pushing 10-year Treasury yields toward 4.6%. Credit markets also show caution, with CDS spreads not fully endorsing the recent equity rally. For hedging, UBS suggests single-stock or pair-wise correlation trades in sectors like U.S. tech, energy, and financials, and European energy, tech, and consumer discretionary, as index-level hedges may be less effective amid expected sector rotation during earnings.

链捕手Há 53m

US Stocks Are at a Time of 'Extreme Fragility' as Earnings Season Begins

链捕手Há 53m

Will Maple Finance [SYRUP] extend rally as TVL hits $2.2B? THESE metrics say…

Maple Finance's SYRUP token rallied 14%, driven by strong fundamental growth. The protocol's assets under management hit $4.6 billion in H1 2026, an 81% year-on-year increase, while total value locked (TVL) surged past $2.2 billion. A key driver is the recent launch of syrupUSDG on Robinhood, which saw over $200 million in inflows. On-chain data shows about 18% of SYRUP's supply is staked, tightening market availability. Additionally, the protocol reported strong yields, outperforming industry benchmarks. A proposed revenue-linked buyback program could further support the token's value, with buybacks scaling up to 30% of monthly revenue if it exceeds $2 million.

ambcryptoHá 1h

Will Maple Finance [SYRUP] extend rally as TVL hits $2.2B? THESE metrics say…

ambcryptoHá 1h

Trading

Spot