Аналитик рассказал о рисках падения биткоина в январе

cryptonews.ruPublicado em 2024-08-09Última atualização em 2025-01-09

Негативное влияние на динамику криптовалют оказали сообщения о массовом выводе Ethereum из стейкинга — более 500 тыс. ETH за последний месяц. Финансовый аналитик BitRiver Владислав Антонов рассказал 9 января «Известиям» о причинах резкого падения валюты.

По мнению специалиста, снижение курса биткоина в начале января 2025 года связано с благоприятными показателями занятости в США, что увеличило прогнозы о более строгой монетарной политике Федеральной резервной системы. Кроме того, высказывания главы ФРС Джерома Пауэлла о вероятном уменьшении числа снижения процентных ставок в I квартале 2025 года оказали отрицательное влияние на рисковые активы, включая криптовалюты. Ситуацию дополнительно усложнили увольнение председателя CFTC Ростина Бенама, который выступал за более жесткое регулирование криптовалют, и отставка вице-президента ФРС Майкла Барра.

«Негативное влияние на динамику криптовалют оказали сообщения о массовом выводе Ethereum из стейкинга — более 500 тыс. ETH за последний месяц. WisdomTree внесла более 11 тыс. ETH на Coinbase за несколько минут до обвала цен, что также могло повлиять на настроения. Эти факторы вызвали ликвидацию маржинальных длинных позиций примерно на $1 млрд. Падение биткоина создает эффект домино, затрагивая весь криптовалютный рынок», — сказал Антонов.

По его словам, в январе, в условиях коррекционного движения и неопределенности касательно процентных ставок ФРС США, существует вероятность снижения котировок пары BTC/USDT ниже уровня $90,5 тыс. с целью достижения около $88 тыс. Из-за низкой ликвидности рынка криптовалют и осторожности инвесторов возможны падения до $85 тыс.

Текущий курс биткоина составляет $95 тыс. Если цена сможет удержаться выше уровня $93 тыс. и не упадет ниже $90 тыс. до 25 января, это может стать сигналом к новому росту. Сейчас ключевым уровнем сопротивления является отметка в $97 500.

«MicroStrategy и BlackRock продолжают выкупать биткоин на падении, уменьшая его предложение на рынке. Они владеют более 1 млн BTC стоимостью почти $100 млрд. После халвинга 2024 года ключевую цель на 2025 год сохраняю на отметке $160 тыс. к октябрю-ноябрю», — подытожил Антонов.

Ранее, 2 января, партнер Capital Lab Евгений Шатов рассказал «Известиям» о курсе биткоина на первую половину 2025 года. По его словам, будет наблюдаться падение индекса на фоне увеличения числа альткоинов и роста их общей капитализации.

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