Gold Tops Safe Haven Assets, According To Bank Of America—Can Bitcoin Compete?

bitcoinistPublicado em 2024-10-19Última atualização em 2024-10-19

Resumo

For years, the financial community has debated on the best and safest investment during uncertain times. For most conservative traders...

For years, the financial community has debated on the best and safest investment during uncertain times. For most conservative traders and investors, bonds are an obvious choice. But for the younger set and tech-savvy individuals, Bitcoin is a better option. Despite fiscal challenges and current global economic trends, gold remains the best bet for analysts at Bank of America.

According to Bank of America, gold remains solid, regardless of falling or even higher interest rates. Interestingly, the bank is silent on Bitcoin’s role in the financial markets. However, many leading American banks are starting to get friendly, with Bank of America’s Merrill Lynch and Wells Fargo offering Bitcoin ETFs to their eligible clients.

Bank Of America: Gold A Better Hedge Against Inflation

Bank of America analysts say gold remains a prime choice in the current economic landscape. While the bank includes Bitcoin and the blockchain in conversations, it remains cautious. The bank adds that gold is a logical choice for investors and central banks, while gold is a better hedge against inflation and highly volatile currencies.

Also, gold is seen as a better investment than Bitcoin since many expect crypto to potentially fall, especially due to the reported US PPI inflation of 1.8%, which is up from the expected 1.6%. An increase in PPI means that inflation will put pressure on the economy, which in turn may motivate the Federal Reserve to increase interest rates. Since there are still economic uncertainties, gold has become a reliable investment.

Bitcoin is now trading at $67,755. Chart: TradingView

Gold Seen To Hit $3,000 Level

Bank of America estimates that gold prices can reach the $3,000 level. This prediction is backed by the planned policies of the two US presidential candidates, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Both candidates support fiscal expansion, thus boosting spending.

The bank estimates that spending can grow 7 to 8% annually by 2030 due to the candidates’ pledges to support defense, climate, and demographic policies. And if the market continues to assume more debt, an increased market volatility can push more investors into gold.

Image: Deutsche Digital Assets

Many central banks are also diversifying and boosting their reserves. Reserves have increased from 3% to 10% over the decade, and demand from Western investors has risen recently. In short, the Bank of America sees gold as a better long-term safe investment.

BoFA Remains Cautious On Blockchain & Bitcoin

Like many financial institutions, Bank of America is slowly embracing blockchain’s potential. Bitcoin is being recognized as another alternative to gold as a hedge against inflation. Blockchain’s decentralization and capped supply also make it an ideal investment vehicle.

Now that Bitcoin and altcoins are growing in popularity, it’s only a matter of time before top banks like Bank of America include them in their investment strategies.

Featured image from CryptoTab Browser, chart from TradingView

Christian Encila

Christian Encila

Christian, a journalist and editor with leadership roles in Philippine and Canadian media, is fueled by his love for writing and cryptocurrency. Off-screen, he's a cook and cinephile who's constantly intrigued by the size of the universe.

Leituras Relacionadas

WSJ: Unveiling the Secret Jury That Controls Disputes on Polymarket

Last month, Garrick Wilhelm lost a $567 bet on the Polymarket prediction platform about whether a ceasefire would be reached with Hezbollah. When a truce was announced, some traders argued it counted, but Wilhelm disagreed. The dispute was settled not by Polymarket, but by a decentralized group of UMA token holders who vote on such disagreements. As trading surges, resolving ambiguous outcomes is a growing challenge for prediction markets. Unlike competitors like Kalshi that decide internally, Polymarket outsources dispute resolution to UMA. Its token holders, mostly anonymous and with voting power weighted by holdings, arbitrate cases. Critics argue this system is prone to manipulation, as voters can also bet on the same markets they judge. A Wall Street Journal analysis found that over the past year, at least 60% of active UMA voters had corresponding Polymarket accounts and held positions in disputes they voted on. Voting power is also concentrated among a few large holders. Polymarket says only 0.2% of bets go to UMA and that the system disperses authority. Its founder has acknowledged flaws and promised fixes. UMA's backers deny any proven manipulation, dismissing critics as sore losers. The platform penalizes voters in the minority to incentivize "correct" outcomes. Disputes are rising, covering topics from a streamer's pregnancy announcement to Iran. This model also helps Polymarket argue it's an offshore platform outside U.S. regulation, a shift made after a 2022 settlement with the CFTC. Some losing traders have formed groups to protest, targeting entities like UMA.rocks, which aggregates votes. Its founder says traders often blame UMA for their own mistakes. A recently ousted committee member, Scout, admitted to both betting and voting but argued involved voters research more thoroughly. He highlighted the dilemma: "Either you have conflicted traders deciding, or you have uninformed outsiders voting. There is no perfect answer right now."

marsbitHá 22m

WSJ: Unveiling the Secret Jury That Controls Disputes on Polymarket

marsbitHá 22m

China's AI Circle Has Just Established a Pecking Order, and Capital Is Already Changing the Rules Again

The article describes how the valuation logic for major Chinese AI model companies has undergone three dramatic shifts between 2022 and 2026, driven by capital's changing priorities. The first phase (around 2022) was **technology-driven valuation**, where funding was based on model performance and benchmark scores. This logic was disrupted when DeepSeek's R1 model demonstrated that comparable capabilities could be achieved at a fraction of the cost, challenging the notion of technical superiority as an unassailable moat. The second phase shifted to **IPO window-driven valuation**. Following favorable listing conditions in Hong Kong, capital flowed to companies like Zhipu and MiniMax with the clearest path to a public listing. However, this focus on liquidity over fundamentals became apparent as their Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) lagged far behind international peers like Anthropic. The third and current phase is **national strategy-driven valuation**. This shift was marked by the state-backed "Big Fund" leading a major investment in DeepSeek, signaling that leading domestic AI models are now viewed as strategic national assets comparable to semiconductor manufacturing. This new logic, combined with soaring US valuation benchmarks (e.g., OpenAI at $850B), propelled the combined valuation of China's top AI firms ("The Four Dragons"/"Five Strong") past 1 trillion RMB. The article presents a "pricing leap model": each shift is triggered by a key event that invalidates the old logic, leading to rapid capital reallocation under a new narrative before its flaws (particularly the gap in fundamental ARR metrics) become evident. It concludes that the next major test for these valuations will be a return to scrutinizing core business fundamentals, specifically ARR growth, suggesting a fourth pricing shift is imminent.

marsbitHá 48m

China's AI Circle Has Just Established a Pecking Order, and Capital Is Already Changing the Rules Again

marsbitHá 48m

'Stock God' Trump's 3,642 Trades Disclosed: The 'Perfect Closed Loop' of Policy and Portfolio

Summary: Donald Trump's First Quarter stock trades, totaling 3,642 transactions, have been disclosed. While the White House maintains the trades were managed by an advisor and complied with disclosure laws, they reveal a portfolio heavily aligned with his policy agenda. The trades show a rotation away from major tech stocks like Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta, and into semiconductor and AI hardware companies such as NVIDIA, AMD, Broadcom, Dell, and Intel. Notably, Trump's account purchased Dell stock before he publicly praised the company, after which its stock rose. The Dell family also pledged funds to a Trump-affiliated policy project. A critical case is Intel. The Trump administration converted $8.9 billion in CHIPS Act subsidies into a 9.9% equity stake, making the U.S. government Intel's largest shareholder. Months later, Trump's personal account also bought Intel stock. This intertwines national industrial policy with potential personal financial interest. Unlike typical insider trading concerns, this situation creates a "closed loop": policy decisions (e.g., subsidies, tariffs, crypto regulation) can boost the value of his holdings, and those holdings may, in turn, influence future policy directions. This blending of presidential power and personal portfolio, while legally disclosed, raises profound questions about conflicts of interest that current rules do not address.

marsbitHá 1h

'Stock God' Trump's 3,642 Trades Disclosed: The 'Perfect Closed Loop' of Policy and Portfolio

marsbitHá 1h

Dialogue with Figure Robotics Founder: Behind the $39 Billion Valuation Lies Ambition to Mass-Produce Millions of Units

Title: Figure's Founder on the $39B Valuation and the Ambition to Mass Produce a Million Humanoid Robots In a Sourcery podcast interview, Figure founder and CEO Brett Adcock discusses the rapid rise of his humanoid robotics company. With a valuation that surged 15x in 18 months to $39 billion, Figure aims to create general-purpose humanoid robots for work in factories and homes. Adcock states that the company's primary goal is to make robots that perform real, paid work autonomously. He shares Figure's aggressive scaling plan: producing thousands of robots this year, with an ultimate ambition to reach one million units annually. Adcock explains Figure's vertically integrated strategy, designing its own motors, sensors, and joints to control its supply chain and destiny. He details the challenges, including achieving long-term, reliable, end-to-end autonomous operation—a feat no one has yet accomplished. The biggest risk is executing this complex vision at scale, but Adcock believes the potential market is enormous, representing a significant portion of global GDP. The interview also covers his departure from OpenAI, citing that Figure's internal AI team eventually surpassed OpenAI's capabilities for robotics applications. Adcock concludes by highlighting his focus for the year: large-scale commercial deployment of robots and advancing toward a "general robot" capable of any human task, potentially seeing the first signs of AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) in the physical world at Figure.

marsbitHá 1h

Dialogue with Figure Robotics Founder: Behind the $39 Billion Valuation Lies Ambition to Mass-Produce Millions of Units

marsbitHá 1h

Trading

Spot
Futuros
活动图片