Шансы Трампа и Харрис на победу сравнялись на платформе Polymarket

investing.ruPublicado em 2024-08-08Última atualização em 2024-08-08

Happycoin.club - Шансы Дональда Трампа и Камалы Харрис на победу на президентских выборах в США сравнялись на платформе для ставок в криптовалюте Polymarket.

Вероятность выигрыша обоих кандидатов оценивается в 49%. Однако успешное пари на Трампа принесёт 100% прибыли, а на Харрис – 106%. Судя по всему, это обусловлено тем, что на Дональда поставили больше. На его викторию зарядили $68,4 млн, а на триумф Камалы – $55,9 млн.

Вероятность победы кандидатов на президентских выборах в США

Вера азартных членов криптосообщества в выигрыш Трампа сильно пошатнулась. 16 июля шанс его победы оценивался в 72%, то есть вероятность виктории Дональда снизилась на 32%. А Харрис, наоборот, набрала очки в глазах избирателей. С 16 июля шанс её триумфа вырос более чем в восемь раз.

Сотрудник криптовалютной площадки YouHodler Руслан Лиенха считает, что выигрыш Харрис на выборах сыграет против отрасли цифровых активов. По его словам, инвесторы полагают, что демократы, которых представляет Камала, ужесточат регулирование оборота криптовалют. Соответственно, если Харрис станет президентом, курс биткоина может упасть.

Первенство Трампа, напротив, сулит старт бычьего ралли на рынке BTC, потому что Дональд публично высказался в поддержку цифрового актива и пообещал вкладывать бюджетные деньги в криптовалюту.

Выступление Дональда Трампа на биткоин-конференции

Читайте оригинальную статью на сайте Happycoin.club

Шансы Трампа и Харрис на победу сравнялись на платформе Polymarket

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