SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240327):市场进入短暂整盘行情,中前端波动率向下回调

Odaily星球日报Publicado em 2024-03-27Última atualização em 2024-03-27

Resumo

数字货币暂缓连日以来的上行趋势,在币价从近期高点轻微回落之后,BTC和ETH在在过去24小时的大部分时间里里分别围绕着70000美元和3600美元小幅震荡,上行空间变得不那么明朗。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240327):市场进入短暂整盘行情,中前端波动率向下回调

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240327):市场进入短暂整盘行情,中前端波动率向下回调

昨日(26 MAR)美国耐用品订单出现近 3 个月以来的首次增长,房价涨速加快,Housing Price 指数同比增长 6.6% ,高于前值的 6.3% 。美债市场表现平静,美国股市则先同样表现出整盘行情后在尾盘遭到大规模的期货抛售最终小幅收跌。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240327):市场进入短暂整盘行情,中前端波动率向下回调

Source: SignalPlus, Economic Calendar

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240327):市场进入短暂整盘行情,中前端波动率向下回调

Source: SignalPlus & TradingView

数字货币暂缓连日以来的上行趋势,在币价从近期高点轻微回落之后,BTC 和 ETH 在在过去 24 小时的大部分时间里里分别围绕着 70000 美元和 3600 美元小幅震荡,上行空间变得不那么明朗,致使期权市场下调了中前端的隐含波动率和 Vol Skew,从交易上也能看到一如 BTC Short 31 MAY 24-85000-C ,BTC Short 5 APR-68000/73000-Strangle,ETH Short 26 APR 24-42000-Straddle 为代表的看跌波动率和看弱上行动能的策略,除此之外,两币种中短期成交大多仍以防守性质的看跌价差策略作为主要基调,BTC 部分成交向中远端发生转移,其中 27 DEC 24 100000-C 获得累积 725 BTC 的大宗买入,为昨日最大开仓头寸。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240327):市场进入短暂整盘行情,中前端波动率向下回调

Source: Deribit (截至 27 MAR 16: 00 UTC+ 8)

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240327):市场进入短暂整盘行情,中前端波动率向下回调

Source: SignalPlus,中前端 ATM Vol 下降

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240327):市场进入短暂整盘行情,中前端波动率向下回调

Source: SignalPlus,Vol Skew 下降

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240327):市场进入短暂整盘行情,中前端波动率向下回调

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240327):市场进入短暂整盘行情,中前端波动率向下回调

Data Source: Deribit,BTC & ETH 交易分布

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240327):市场进入短暂整盘行情,中前端波动率向下回调

Source: Deribit Block Trade

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240327):市场进入短暂整盘行情,中前端波动率向下回调

Source: Deribit Block Trade

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240327):市场进入短暂整盘行情,中前端波动率向下回调

您可在 ChatGPT 4.0 的 Plugin Store 搜索 SignalPlus ,获取实时加密资讯。如果想即时收到我们的更新,欢迎关注我们的推特账号@SignalPlus_Web3 ,或者加入我们的微信群(添加小助手微信:xdengalin)、Telegram 群以及 Discord 社群,和更多朋友一起交流互动。

SignalPlus Official Website:https://www.signalplus.com

Leituras Relacionadas

Why Is DeFi Insurance Unpopular?

The article explores the core reasons why DeFi insurance remains largely unutilized despite its potential to eliminate traditional insurance inefficiencies and malicious claim denials through automated smart contracts. Key points include: 1. **Low Adoption & Minimal Payouts:** Leading provider Nexus Mutual has paid only ~$18M in claims since 2019, dwarfed by single hack losses (e.g., Kelp DAO's $292M loss). 2. **High Correlation Risk:** Unlike traditional insurance (e.g., house fires), DeFi risks (oracle failures, bridge hacks) are systemic and can simultaneously impact multiple protocols, threatening to drain entire insurance pools. 3. **Prohibitive Cost vs. Reward:** For many protocols (Aave, Morpho, Compound), insurance premiums (1.5%-6%) consume a significant portion or even all of the native yield (3%-4%), leaving investors with meager returns. In some cases (Maple Finance, Ethena), premiums can even result in net-negative yields. 4. **Inadequate Capacity:** The total DeFi insurance pool (e.g., Nexus Mutual's $81.56M) is minuscule compared to the hundreds of billions in total value locked (TVL), creating a massive supply-demand gap. 5. **Structural Flaws:** The claims assessment model (e.g., Nexus Mutual's member voting) creates a conflict of interest, as voters bear the loss if a claim is paid. There is also no regulatory mandate forcing DeFi protocols to obtain insurance. The industry is adapting by focusing on preventative measures (e.g., bug bounty coverage) and seeking external capital via reinsurance. However, the fundamental issues of small pool size, correlated risk, and misaligned economic incentives persist. The article concludes that DeFi insurance, like a public lighthouse, provides shared security benefits, but if everyone relies on others to pay for it, no one will, leaving the ecosystem vulnerable.

Foresight NewsHá 17m

Why Is DeFi Insurance Unpopular?

Foresight NewsHá 17m

Ethlabs Founded, Treasury Companies to Fund Ethereum Post-EF

Former Ethereum Foundation (EF) core researchers Ansgar Dietrichs, Barnabé Monnot, Caspar Schwarz-Schilling, Josh Rudolf, and Julian Ma announced the launch of Ethlabs, an independent non-profit R&D lab focused on Ethereum core protocol research and institutional-grade infrastructure. The initiative, backed by over 50 community participants including ETH treasury companies BitMine and Sharplink, Joseph Lubin, Hayden Adams, and Jesse Pollak, aims to make Ethereum the global economic settlement layer. This move comes amidst significant pressure on the EF, which has seen key departures and a strategic narrowing of its focus. A critical funding gap of approximately $30 million annually for core client development, following the expiration of the client incentive program, poses a near-term risk to the network's development. The context includes the evolution of ETH's value narrative. While mechanisms like EIP-1559 and the Merge previously supported the "ultrasound money" thesis, the success of L2 scaling via EIP-4844 has drastically reduced L1 fee revenue, leading to net ETH issuance and challenging that narrative. Ethlabs has listed ETH monetary economics as a primary research focus. Backing from corporate ETH treasuries like BitMine and Sharplink represents a strategic alignment, as these entities' asset values are directly tied to Ethereum's health and adoption. Their support is an investment rather than a pure donation. Ethereum's governance is shifting from a centralized EF model to a distributed network of specialized "manager nodes," including Ethlabs and a streamlined EF. While this promotes efficiency and reduces single-point failure risk, it introduces new challenges in coordination, priority alignment, and filling critical funding gaps across the decentralized ecosystem.

Foresight NewsHá 41m

Ethlabs Founded, Treasury Companies to Fund Ethereum Post-EF

Foresight NewsHá 41m

Trading

Spot
Futuros
活动图片