Will TRUMP token fall further after 95% crash from ATH?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-02-10Last updated on 2026-02-10

Abstract

The TRUMP token, a Solana-based memecoin, has experienced a severe decline, falling 95.5% from its all-time high of $73.43 in January 2025. It was trading at $3.32, following a 42.5% drop since mid-January 2026. This downturn is attributed to a broader market sell-off, with Bitcoin down 24.9%, and negative sentiment from a Congressional investigation into Trump-backed World Liberty Financial. Market indicators show a bearish structure, with strong selling volume and oversold conditions. A short-term bounce to the $4.4-$4.7 range is possible, but any rally is expected to be rejected, leading to new lows below $3.02 and a continuation of the downtrend.

Official Trump [TRUMP] made its all-time high before U.S. President Donald Trump’s inauguration on the 20th of January, 2025. Since then, the Solana [SOL] based memecoin has been making new lows, with brief periods of respite when the wider market rallies.

The latest such bounce came in the first week of 2026. Since the 14th of January, TRUMP witnessed a 42.5% drawdown and was trading at $3.32 at the time of writing. This represented an 95.5% fall from its $73.43 ATH last year.

The reasons for TRUMP’s drawdown

In three weeks, Bitcoin [BTC] has faced a 24.9% price drop. The Congressional investigation into Trump-backed World Liberty Financial [WLFI] after reports of links with foreign sovereign capital has also impacted the Official Trump market sentiment.

The market structure remained bearish on the 1-day timeframe. The OBV has made new lows after the early January bounce, highlighting strong selling volume. The daily RSI has been hovering around 20 since last Thursday, showing extreme oversold conditions.

The extent of the TRUMP bounce depends on...

The imbalance zone between $3.57 and $4.09 (white box) was the first target for a potential price bounce, and it is likely to act as a short‐term supply area. A retest of $4.40 or $4.72 could trigger the next bearish move.

On the other hand, a strong Bitcoin rally above $74k might lift the memecoin as high as $5.19. However, at the time of writing, this scenario seems less likely given the negligible buying pressure.

Should traders wait for the bounce?

Memecoins tend to exhibit amplified volatility when the market sentiment shifts in the short-term. It is possible this can take TRUMP higher than expected. Hence, traders can wait for a rejection from the local resistances outlined before looking to short the bounce.

In the coming weeks, new lows below $3.02 can be expected, prolonging its year-long downtrend.

Final Thoughts

  • Official Trump was negatively affected by the market-wide sell-off and the World Liberty Financial investigation and faced intense selling.
  • A short-term bounce toward $4.4-$4.7 is possible, followed by continued downward momentum.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

Related Questions

QWhat was the all-time high price of the Official Trump (TRUMP) token and when did it occur?

AThe Official Trump (TRUMP) token reached its all-time high (ATH) of $73.43 on January 20th, 2025, coinciding with U.S. President Donald Trump's inauguration.

QWhat are the two main reasons cited for TRUMP's significant price drawdown?

AThe two main reasons are a 24.9% price decline in Bitcoin (BTC) over three weeks, which dragged down the wider market, and the negative market sentiment from a Congressional investigation into the Trump-backed World Liberty Financial (WLFI) regarding its links with foreign sovereign capital.

QAccording to the technical analysis, what does the daily RSI value around 20 indicate for the TRUMP token?

AA daily RSI value hovering around 20 indicates that the TRUMP token is in an extreme oversold condition.

QWhat is the potential price target for a TRUMP bounce if Bitcoin experiences a strong rally above $74k?

AIf Bitcoin experiences a strong rally above $74,000, it could potentially lift the TRUMP memecoin as high as $5.19.

QWhat is the overall outlook for the TRUMP token's price trend in the coming weeks according to the article?

AThe overall outlook is bearish. The article suggests that while a short-term bounce toward the $4.4-$4.7 range is possible, it is expected to be followed by continued downward momentum, with new lows below $3.02 likely in the coming weeks, prolonging its year-long downtrend.

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