# Capitulation Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Capitulation", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Strong jobs report shakes the market – Could Bitcoin drop below $60K next?

The strong January U.S. jobs report, which far exceeded expectations, has significantly impacted market sentiment and expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. The probability of a near-term cut fell sharply, increasing volatility. This shift is particularly relevant for Bitcoin, which dipped following the data release. The article argues this reinforces the importance of the upcoming March FOMC meeting in setting the tone for risk assets. Technically, Bitcoin is described as fragile, trapped in a volatile range between $65k and $70k. It has repeatedly failed to turn key resistance levels into support, putting pressure on its current floor. This setup, combined with the macro uncertainty over interest rates, reduces the incentive for short-term holders to remain invested. The mounting headwinds increase the likelihood of a wave of selling (capitulation), which could break the $65k support level and put the $60k threshold at risk.

ambcrypto1h ago

Strong jobs report shakes the market – Could Bitcoin drop below $60K next?

ambcrypto1h ago

Bitcoin Realized Losses Dominate – Bear Market Pressure Intensifies

Bitcoin remains under pressure, struggling below $70,000 with limited upward momentum as market sentiment turns cautious. On-chain data from Darkfost shows realized losses dominate, with a profit-to-loss ratio near 0.25—meaning $4 in losses are locked in for every $1 in profit. This reflects a market where investors who bought near highs are now selling at a loss. Large holders are also reducing exposure, signaling fragile confidence. While recent data hints at slight stabilization, sustained recovery requires the purge of weak hands to rebuild unrealized profits and restore investor trust.

bitcoinistYesterday 04:02

Bitcoin Realized Losses Dominate – Bear Market Pressure Intensifies

bitcoinistYesterday 04:02

Ethereum: Why THIS divergence puts ETH’s $2K at risk!

Ethereum faces a critical test at the $2,000 support level as a sharp divergence emerges between on-chain fear and speculative greed. The Fear & Greed Index hit a historic low of 10, signaling extreme fear and investor losses, with ETH's MVRV-Z score at -0.42 indicating the market value is below realized value. However, it hasn't yet reached the -0.76 capitulation level of 2018. Despite this fear, extreme positive leverage is building, with a notable $122.3 million 15x long position and rising funding rates on exchanges like BitMEX. This divergence between fearful on-chain metrics and aggressive speculative betting creates significant risk, potentially causing a rapid unwind that threatens the key $2,000 psychological support.

ambcryptoYesterday 19:02

Ethereum: Why THIS divergence puts ETH’s $2K at risk!

ambcryptoYesterday 19:02

Derive and Strands Introduce Off-Exchange Custody for On-Chain Derivatives

On February 6th, a sudden and severe market crash occurred across multiple asset classes without a clear catalyst. Bitcoin plunged 16% to $60,000, silver dropped 17%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 1.5%, resulting in $2.6 billion in crypto liquidations. The simultaneous decline in these diverse assets—often seen as a hedge (silver), a growth bet (tech stocks), and a high-risk casino (crypto)—suggests a severe liquidity crisis. In equities, AMD and Alphabet reported strong earnings but provided future guidance that disappointed overly optimistic markets, triggering a sector-wide selloff in chips and tech. The massive capital expenditure plans from Big Tech (over $500 billion collectively) raised concerns that AI is a capital-intensive endeavor rather than a guaranteed profit engine, threatening high valuations. Silver, after a massive 68% rally in January, crashed 50% in three days. Its dual nature as both an industrial metal and a safe-haven asset became a curse. The selloff was exacerbated by increased margin requirements, reduced market maker activity, and the surprise nomination of a hawkish Fed chair by Trump, which reduced fears of inflationary monetary policy. The crypto market, which had been artificially propped up by massive institutional buying throughout 2025, was hit hardest as it is often the first asset sold in a liquidity crunch to cover losses elsewhere. The true epicenter of the crisis may be Japan, where the 40-year government bond yield surged past 4% for the first time. This shattered the foundation of the massive Yen carry trade, forcing global funds to unwind positions in various assets to cover their soaring costs, creating a systemic liquidity black hole.

marsbitYesterday 13:14

Derive and Strands Introduce Off-Exchange Custody for On-Chain Derivatives

marsbitYesterday 13:14

Bitcoin Correction Accelerates Toward Historic Capitulation Zone – Details

Bitcoin is struggling to hold above $70,000 amid weakening demand and sustained selling pressure, with the current correction reaching approximately 46% from its October 2025 peak of around $124,450. Analyst Axel Adler notes this decline has entered a deeper bearish phase, approaching the historically significant 1.25× Realized Price Band—a level that often distinguishes standard corrections from capitulation. While the current drawdown is less severe than those in previous cycles (such as -93% in 2011 or -76% in 2021–2022), a break below the -50% threshold could signal further downside toward -60% to -70%. Short-term direction hinges on whether Bitcoin stabilizes or breaks lower, reflecting fragile sentiment and thinning liquidity.

bitcoinist2 days ago 05:02

Bitcoin Correction Accelerates Toward Historic Capitulation Zone – Details

bitcoinist2 days ago 05:02

Are Bitcoin Ownership Dynamics Shifting? Short-Term BTC Holders Share Sees Steady Shrinking

Despite Bitcoin reclaiming the $70,000 level, short-term holders remain bearish and are reducing their exposure by selling holdings amid ongoing price pressure. On-chain data shows a steady decline in supply held by short-term investors, indicating a shift toward conviction-driven behavior rather than speculative trading. This trend reflects weakening marginal demand and resembles patterns seen in previous bear markets. Meanwhile, long-term holders are also beginning to face pressure as the correction deepens, with key cohort cost bases being tested. The reaction of long-term holders may play a critical role in determining Bitcoin’s next price movement.

bitcoinist2 days ago 23:02

Are Bitcoin Ownership Dynamics Shifting? Short-Term BTC Holders Share Sees Steady Shrinking

bitcoinist2 days ago 23:02

Analyst’s Bitcoin Price Crash Prediction From May 2025 Resurfaces And It Says The Bottom Is Not In

A previously published Bitcoin price crash projection from analyst KillaXBT, dating back to May 13, 2025, has regained attention for accurately predicting the current market downturn. The model uses rotational market mathematics to identify cycle stages—accumulation, distribution, and breakdown—and signaled that Bitcoin had not yet reached a macro bottom. The analysis highlighted key levels, including accumulation phases that fueled the rally and distribution zones near $115,000–$120,000 where exhaustion signals emerged. The chart correctly anticipated rejections at highs, fading momentum, and eventual breakdowns, with Bitcoin transitioning into mid-range consolidation around $100,000 before falling further. Currently, Bitcoin is trading in a lower distribution band near $70,000, with the model suggesting extended bearish consolidation. Relief rallies lack strength, and volatility remains high on declines. The projection indicates a potential capitulation toward $50,000 to complete the distribution phase, concluding that the true market bottom has not yet been established.

bitcoinist2 days ago 16:01

Analyst’s Bitcoin Price Crash Prediction From May 2025 Resurfaces And It Says The Bottom Is Not In

bitcoinist2 days ago 16:01

Contrary To Popular Belief, This Is Not The Worst Bitcoin Crash In History – Here’s The List

Contrary to popular belief, the recent Bitcoin crash is not the worst in its history. According to Swan CEO Cory Klippsten, the decline from the all-time high of $126,000 to $60,000 (a 52% drop) ranks only as the 9th-largest Bitcoin drawdown. The most significant crash occurred in 2011, when BTC fell 94% from $32 to $2. Other major crashes include an 87% drop from $1,160 to $152 (2013-2015) and an 84% crash from $19,600 to $3,100 (2017-2018). Analyst Michaël van de Poppe noted the appearance of a capitulation candle on the weekly chart, suggesting that the range of $65,000–$70,000 may form a bottom area. While some experts, like Peter Brandt, warn that Bitcoin could still drop to around $42,000, van de Poppe is optimistic, predicting a potential rally toward $85,000. At the time of writing, Bitcoin price is around $71,000, up over 2% in 24 hours.

bitcoinist2 days ago 15:06

Contrary To Popular Belief, This Is Not The Worst Bitcoin Crash In History – Here’s The List

bitcoinist2 days ago 15:06

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