Major Reasons Why The XRP Price Could Recover And Surge Again

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-01-26Last updated on 2026-01-26

Abstract

Crypto analyst Darkfost suggests the XRP price may be poised for a bullish reversal despite current bearish sentiment. Key reasons include negative funding rates on exchanges like Binance, indicating a high level of short positions. Historically, such market consensus often precedes a price reversal as short squeezes can fuel upward momentum. This pattern occurred twice in 2024, leading to rebounds. Additionally, on-chain data from Santiment shows XRP has entered "Extreme Fear" territory among retail traders, which has historically been a rally starter. At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $1.88, down 19% from its recent high.

Crypto analyst Darkfost has highlighted reasons why the XRP price could soon witness a bullish reversal and potentially reach new local highs. This comes amid bearish sentiment in the market, which on-chain analytics platform Santiment said could set the stage for a reversal in the altcoin’s price.

Why The XRP Price Could Soon See A Bullish Reversal

In a CryptoQuant blog post, Darkfost stated that negative funding rates signal a potential XRP price reversal. The analyst noted that the altcoin is currently trading around 47% below its all-time high (ATH) set in July last year. Furthermore, the altcoin is said to have naturally entered a phase of distribution and correction after a gain of over 600% since November 2024.

Darkfost assured that this type of movement is healthy after such a strong rally for the price. He further remarked that what stands out is the timing of the bearish consensus, as it did not form at the top but rather during a drawdown of more than 50%. Now, there are predominantly short positions on XRP, with funding rates on Binance mostly negative since December, indicating that leveraged short positions have the upper hand.

Source: Chart from CryptoQuant

The analyst noted that historically, the market tends to move against a late consensus. As such, while the accumulation of shorts creates short-term selling pressure, it also builds latent buying pressure. Darkfost said that if the XRP price starts to rise, these short positions could be liquidated, fueling the upward move.

He revealed that a similar pattern has occurred for the token price since 2024. The first was between August and September 2024, and the second was during the April 2025 correction, when funding rates turned negative for a period before a bullish rebound occurred. The analyst stated that this price rebound was due to a shift in investor sentiment and funding rates returning to positive territory.

A Rally Starter For XRP

In an X post, Santiment stated that XRP traders are showing major FUD, which they claimed is usually a rally starter for the XRP price. The on-chain analytics platform revealed that the altcoin has fallen into ‘Extreme Fear’ territory, with small retail traders becoming pessimistic about the token after a 19% decline from its recent high on January 5th.

Santiment noted that historically, this level of bearish commentary has led to price rallies. This is based on the belief that prices move in the opposite direction to retail’s expectations more often than not. The altcoin has dropped again following the recent decline in the broader crypto market, led by Bitcoin. BTC fell below $87,000 yesterday on the back of U.S. political tensions, government shutdown risk, and ahead of this week’s FOMC meeting.

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.88, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

XRP trading at $1.89 on the 1D chart | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com

Related Questions

QAccording to analyst Darkfost, what on-chain signal indicates a potential bullish reversal for XRP price?

ANegative funding rates, which have been mostly negative on Binance since December, signal a potential XRP price reversal.

QWhat historical pattern does Darkfost cite to support the idea of a price rebound for XRP?

ADarkfost cites a pattern from 2024 where funding rates turned negative for a period before a bullish rebound occurred, specifically between August-September 2024 and during the April 2025 correction.

QWhat does Santiment claim about XRP traders' current sentiment and its historical impact on price?

ASantiment claims XRP traders are showing major FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) and have fallen into 'Extreme Fear' territory, which historically has been a rally starter for the XRP price as prices often move opposite to retail expectations.

QWhat was the primary reason cited for Bitcoin's price decline below $87,000, which also affected XRP?

ABitcoin fell below $87,000 due to U.S. political tensions, government shutdown risk, and ahead of the week's FOMC meeting, which led to a decline in the broader crypto market affecting XRP.

QHow much is the XRP price down from its recent high on January 5th, according to the article?

AThe XRP price has declined by 19% from its recent high on January 5th.

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